Looking Ahead: Fiala and the Predators Have a Favourable Schedule
Adam Daly-Frey
2017-11-24
All fantasy owners need help in the short term AND the long term. The Looking Ahead feature identifies one player to plug into lineups in the short term, a second to invest in for the long term, a third to bench for the coming week, and a fourth who will struggle to meet expectations for some time. All players discussed are selected based on their upcoming schedule. Stats in this article updated through November 15th
The Immediate Fix (Grab this guy and use him for the next several days)
Jakub Vrana, LW, Washington (Available in 92 percent of Yahoo! Leagues) – Vrana should go under the Building Block section given what an extreme talent he is, but Caps’ coach Barry Trotz has yo-yo’ed the rookie up and down the lineup already. The reason to pick him up now – even with Washington’s lighter schedule – is that he’s finally playing alongside Evgeny Kuznetsov (and TJ Oshie). He produced immediately with that line, scoring two goals on five shots against Ottawa; he also has shown he can produce no matter where he sits in the lineup, putting up 4G-4S on 52 SOG in his other 21 games.
The Building Block (Buy now, sit back and enjoy the production)
Kevin Fiala, LW, Nashville Predators (Available in 94 percent of Yahoo! Leagues) – With Nashville having a great upcoming schedule, the time is now to grab Fiala before his value is shown to the rest of the NHL. The young Swiss forward looked great in the playoffs for Nashville last year before breaking his leg (2G on 12 shots in five games) and has carried that over this year: 2G-11A in 20 games, but since the Kyle Turris trade, Fiala has put up six of those 11 points in only six games. He’s also fired 18 shots in those six games, and should stick alongside Turris and Craig Smith for the foreseeable future.
The Odd Man Out (His short-term value is cause for concern)
Bryan Little, C, Winnipeg (Owned in 23 percent of Yahoo! Leagues) – For having Nikolaj Ehlers and Patrik Laine as his main linemates Little’s stat line is incredibly disappointing: 2G-7A with only 25SOG and only two of those assists coming on the power play. He’s currently averaging a full three minutes less than his peak years in Winnipeg – he averaged 17:33 last year but 19-20 the five preceding years. With Mathieu Perreault back from injury `to take away even more PP time Little’s value is slipping even as Winnipeg’s schedule picks up.
The Anchors (They’ll do nothing but disappoint even over the long haul)
Alex Wennberg, C, Columbus (Owned in 36 percent of Yahoo! Leagues) – There’s a good argument to be made about keeping Wennberg around given his underlying stats – specifically, in salary cap or keeper leagues – but his value these days is lower than it’s ever been. Wennberg is currently injured, but with the play of Nick Foligno/Pierre-Luc Dubois/Brandon Dubinsky at centre, Wennberg’s role is getting more and more tenuous; to date in his 18 games played, Wennberg has only 1G-8A, and for a low-volume shooter his ceiling is limited if the points aren’t coming.
Love ‘Em (These squads are sure to pay dividends in the coming days)
Nashville – With seven games during this stretch – only one being a back-to-back – and the emergence of secondary scoring since acquiring Kyle Turris, Nashville owners should be rejoicing. The Preds face some very high-event teams in Carolina, Anaheim, Chicago, and Dallas. After scoring 23 goals in their past 6 games, this team is red hot.
Montreal – Sitting 28th in Goals For, Montreal has been a disappointment so far, but it’s not for lack of trying: they’ve fired 828 shots in 23 games (36/game), best in the league. Shooting only 6.4% as a team isn’t sustainable given some of the talent they have, and with games against Buffalo, Ottawa, and Detroit (twice in a home-road split) they should find the back of the net again. Good time to buy Habs players!
Winnipeg – The Jets also have seven games upcoming, with only one back-to-back on their Friday/Saturday West Coast swing. They have some soft games against Ottawa and Detroit as their highlights, but on volume and the talent of their big guns, should be rolled out without looking back.
Leave ‘Em (These squads will leave fantasy owners sorely disappointed in the short term)
Washington – The Capitals are disappointing in that they FINALLY reunited Backstrom and Ovechkin, just to have the lightest part of their season upcoming (bye week excepted). Washington does get the advantage of hosting four of their five games, but they all come against very tough competition in Los Angeles, San Jose, Columbus, Chicago and Toronto.
Detroit – The Red Wings have only five games in this period and have struggled offensively for most of November, an 8-2 win against Calgary aside. Their schedule isn’t the toughest – no back-to-backs and two games against Montreal – but on volume and games against Los Angeles and Winnipeg, ‘Wings players should be used with caution.
Carolina – Although their shots are finally starting to click, Raleigh’s team will need to “rally” during this stretch; the ‘Canes also have five games, as they face the suddenly incredible-defensively Columbus and have a road-home back-to-back (NYR-FLA). They also get Nashville at home, which is no picnic.
November 24th to November 30th |
Best Bets |
MIN 4.415 – Away STL WPG – Home COL VGK |
NSH 4.2575 – Away STL CAR – Home CHI VAN |
CGY 4.2475 – Away DAL COL – Home TOR ARI |
EDM 4.2 – Away BUF BOS – Home ARI TOR |
MTL 4.1375 – Away DET- Home BUF CBJ OTT |
Steer Clear |
CAR 2.855 – Away CBJ – Home TOR NSH |
STL 2.8875 – Home NSH MIN ANH |
BUF 2.9025 – Away MTL – Home EDM TBL |
PHI 2.9025 – Away PIT – Home NYI SJS |
WSH 2.945 – Away TOR – Home TBL LAK |
November 25th to December 1st |
Best Bets |
WPG 4.1475 – Away SJS COL – Home MIN VGK |
MTL 4.1375 – Away DET – Home BUF CBJ OTT |
FLA 3.9475 – Away NJD NYR – Home CHI SJS |
VGK 3.9 – Away ARI MIN WPG- Home DAL |
CHI 3.9 – Away FLA NSH – Home ANH DAL |
Steer Clear |
WSH 1.895 – Away TOR – Home LAK |
BOS 2.0475 – Home EDM TBL |
DAL 2.09 – Away VGK CHI |
CAR 2.7075 – Away CBJ NYR- Home NSH |
TOR 2.74 – Away CGY EDM – Home WSH |
November 26th to December 2nd |
Best Bets |
NSH 4.305 – Away CAR – Home CHI VAN ANH |
MTL 4.19 – Away DET – Home CBJ OTT DET |
EDM 4.1525 – Away BOS CGY- Home ARI TOR |
CHI 3.9 – Away NSH DAL- Home ANH DAL |
FLA 3.895 – Away NJD NYR CAR- Home SJS |
Steer Clear |
WSH 1.8375 – Home LAK CBJ |
COL 2.205 – Home WPG NJD |
NYI 2.2575 – Home VAN OTT
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DET 2.745 – Away MTL- Home LAK MTL |
STL 2.75 – Away MIN- Home ANH LAK |
November 27th to December 3rd |
Best Bets |
CHI 4.845 – Away NSH DAL – Home ANH DAL LAK |
WPG 4.2425 – Away COL – Home MIN VGK OTT |
DAL 4.2325 – Away VGK CHI COL- Home CHI |
MTL 4.19 – Away DET – Home CBJ OTT DET |
ARI 4.1425 – Away EDM CGY VGK- Home NJD |
Steer Clear |
NYI 2.2575 – Home VAN OTT |
BOS 2.095 – Away PHI – Home TBL |
DET 2.745 – Away MTL – Home LAK MTL |
NYR 2.1525 – Home FLA CAR |
STL 2.75 – Away MIN – Home ANH LAK |
November 28th to December 4th |
Best Bets |
NSH 4.3575 – Home CHI VAN ANH BOS |
DAL 4.2325 – Away VGK CHI COL – Home CHI |
ARI 4.1425 – Away EDM CGY VGK – Home NJD |
CGY 4.3575 – Home TOR ARI EDM PHI |
VGK 4.01 – Away MIN WPG – Home DAL ARI |
Steer Clear |
NYR 2.1525 – Home FLA CAR |
PIT 2.2 – Away BUF – Home BUF |
MIN 2.31 – Home VGK STL |
ANH 2.66 – Away STL CBJ NSH |
DET 2.745 – Away MTL – Home LAK MTL |
November 29th to December 5th |
Best Bets |
WPG 4.4425 – Away COL DET- Home VGK OTT |
COL 4.41 – Home WPG NJD DAL BUF |
MTL 4.3475 – Away DET – Home OTT DET STL |
NSH 4.2575 – Away DAL- Home VAN ANH BOS |
DAL 4.09 – Away CHI COL – Home CHI NSH |
Steer Clear |
TOR 2.0425 – Away EDM VAN |
EDM 2.0475 – Away CGY – Home TOR |
PHI 2.0475 – Away CGY – Home BOS |
SJS 2.66 – Away FLA TBL WSH |
OTT 2.8025 – Away MTL NYI WPG |
November 30th to December 6th |
Best Bets |
NSH 4.2575 – Away DAL – Home VAN ANH BOS |
CGY 4.2575 – Away TOR- Home ARI EDM PHI |
DAL 4.09 – Away CHI COL – Home CHI NSH |
VGK 3.9575 – Away MIN WPG – Home ARI ANH |
WSH 3.885 – Home LAK CBJ SJS CHI |
Steer Clear |
NYR 1.9575 – Away PIT – Home CAR |
TBL 2.0475 – Home SJS NYI |
STL 2.6075 – Away MIN MTL – Home LAK |
SJS 2.66 – Away FLA TBL WSH |
OTT 2.85 – Away NYI WPG ANH |
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Thanks for featuring Fiala; how about Smith, do you think he has equal potential worthy of a long-term waiver pick up?