Saturday NHL Game Picks – February 17

Adam Mark

2018-02-17

Another 5-1 Saturday and I'm edging ever closer to the coveted 66% target I set out for every year, hopefully with games becoming more predictable I'll get there in the new few weeks. I've been a bit surprised this week with some of the money lines I saw and took full advantage of a few that made me shake my head. Most recently was the Islanders/Hurricanes game on Friday which had the Canes at near -200. While it wasn't a sure bet that New York would win, I liked what I saw in their game on Thursday and was more than happy to ride them as underdogs.

 

It's definitely the time of year where hot hands and mini streaks should be ridden hard. With playoffs looming, "micro-trends" are something I pay much more close attention too that I normally would earlier in the season. For instance, Calgary's game against Nashville on Thursday is a prime example. Calgary has gone 5-3 in their last 8, with all 5 wins coming on the road. Even with Mike Smith out, I was very certain the Flames were going to show up in Music City. 

 

Lastly, it's also the time of year where I start taking some extra gambles on parlays. With certain matchups being so heavily favoured, throwing in a 5-game parlay can result in some pretty nice payouts if you're lucky. I don't recommend going all in on these, especially as Hail Marys, but they can be a great cherry on top when you're picking well.

 

On to today's games:

 

Personal Record: 195-133 (59%)

Dobber Record: 65-37 (64%)

 

Los Angeles @ Buffalo (1:00 PM EST)
 

Pick: Los Angeles – Visitor Team Victory – V

Confidence Level: 3.5/5

 

New Jersey @ Tampa Bay (7:00 PM EST)
 

Pick: Tampa Bay – Home Team Victory – H

Confidence Level: 4/5

 

Toronto @ Pittsburgh (7:00 PM EST)
 

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Pick: Pittsburgh – Home Team Victory – H

Confidence Level: 4/5

 

Montreal @ Las Vegas (7:00 PM EST)
 

Pick: Las Vegas – Home Team Victory – H

Confidence Level: 5/5

 

Detroit @ Nashville (8:00 PM EST)
 

Pick: Nashville – Home Team Victory – H

Confidence Level: 5/5

 

Boston @ Vancouver (10:00 PM EST)
 

Pick: Boston – Visitor Team Victory – V

Confidence Level: 5/5

 

 

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UPCOMING GAMES

Nov 16 - 13:11 BOS vs STL
Nov 16 - 16:11 SEA vs NYI
Nov 16 - 19:11 CAR vs OTT
Nov 16 - 19:11 T.B vs N.J
Nov 16 - 19:11 PHI vs BUF
Nov 16 - 19:11 MTL vs CBJ
Nov 16 - 19:11 FLA vs WPG
Nov 16 - 19:11 TOR vs EDM
Nov 16 - 19:11 PIT vs S.J
Nov 16 - 20:11 MIN vs DAL
Nov 16 - 20:11 L.A vs DET
Nov 16 - 22:11 VAN vs CHI

Starting Goalies

Top Skater Views

  Players Team
JONATHAN LEKKERIMAKI VAN
UVIS BALINSKIS FLA
JASON ROBERTSON DAL
WYATT JOHNSTON DAL
VALERI NICHUSHKIN COL

Top Goalie Profile Views

  Players Team
TRISTAN JARRY PIT
CAM TALBOT DET
ANDREI VASILEVSKIY T.B
JUSTUS ANNUNEN COL
MACKENZIE BLACKWOOD S.J

LINE COMBOS

  Frequency DET Players
23.0 VLADIMIR TARASENKO MARCO KASPER JONATAN BERGGREN
21.4 PATRICK KANE ANDREW COPP J.T. COMPHER
20.3 LUCAS RAYMOND DYLAN LARKIN ALEX DEBRINCAT

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