The Four Best New Line Combos After the Trade Deadline
Brennan Des
2018-02-27
This week we take a quick look at how teams might incorporate new acquisitions from Monday’s Trade Deadline into their lineup. For a recap on what happened yesterday, I highly recommend you check out Dobber’s trade tracker. The boys did a great job of providing instant analysis on every trade.
Evander Kane – Logan Couture – Tomas Hertl
There’s reason to believe Kane sees time beside Pavelski this season, as the two played together in the KHL during the 2012-2013 lockout. However, Kevin Kurz – who covers the Sharks for The Athletic – thinks Kane debuts alongside Couture and Hertl on Tuesday night. After a scorching start to the season that saw him tally 19 points in his first 20 games, Kane has cooled off considerably, with just five points in his last 20 contests. We should expect something in between going forward, but I really think this change of scenery will prove to be beneficial. This fresh start with the Sharks will allow him to play meaningful hockey again, he can look forward to his first career playoff game. This isn’t just me speculating, Kane himself told The Athletic:
“Excited probably doesn’t do it enough justice to how I feel. I’m looking forward to having the opportunity of possibly playing in the playoffs, and just hoping to add as much as I can to that group, and hope to get us in there and go on a long run.”
The hope is for Kane to use his size and strength to create more space for a ‘skill’ guy like Tomas Hertl. Hertl hasn’t had an ideal season with just 33 points in 60 games, and a single point in his last five contests. I expect Kane will bring new energy to this line, allowing Hertl to improve his production going forward. Logan Couture on the other hand just needs to keep doing what he has been doing – 21 points in his last 25 games? Not too shabby.
Jake DeBrusk – David Krejci – Rick Nash
The Bruins’ used the trade deadline as an opportunity to prove they’re more than a one line team. Personally, I think they paid a steep price for a depth-scoring rental. However, Nash was acquired for more than just point production, as he still plays a very effective two-way game. Prior to the trade, Boston’s second line featured Jake Debrusk, David Krejci and Ryan Spooner. That trio wasn’t exactly trusted in both ends of the ice, as each of them hovered around the 70% mark for offensive zone start %. Since scoring 42 goals back in 2014-2015, injuries have prevented Nash from reaching even the 25-goal mark. At the age of 33, it’s no secret that his offensive production is on the decline. However, with Nash’s defensively responsible style, coach Bruce Cassidy will be able to deploy this new second line in more situations. Perhaps this leads to an increase in ice-time for David Krejci, who is currently averaging only 16:45, despite playing 18-20 minutes in previous seasons. Nash’ presence can also be beneficial for rookie Jake DeBrusk’s development.
After being drafted 14th overall in 2015, DeBrusk is having a respectable rookie season, with 30 points in 56 games. One thing I’d keep an eye out for is his shot total, and if it drops now that he’s playing with a high-volume shooter in Rick Nash. For more information on the 21-year-old’s development, check out what DobberProspects has to say over here.
Nikolaj Ehlers – Paul Stastny – Patrik Laine
Even before the Jets acquired Paul Stastny, I considered their forward core to be elite. Now it’s just ridiculous. Upon first glance, Stastny’s 40 points in 63 games aren’t the most impressive. But then you realize 29 of those points have come at 5on5. That’s as many as Phil Kessel. That’s more than Sidney Crosby or Tyler Seguin. What does this mean? Well, even though Stastny is expected to be a part of the special team units, he doesn’t have to rely on power-play production. This is reassuring because Winnipeg boasts more PP options than St. Louis, so Stastny probably won’t be seeing as much time with the man advantage. A couple of those ‘PP options’ will be playing alongside the former Blue. Patrik Laine has 67 goals in 135 career games. Nikolaj Ehlers is on pace for another 60-point season. You don’t need me to sell you on the high quality of Stastny’s new linemates, I’m just intrigued to see if the trio finds instant chemistry.
Tomas Tatar – Cody Eakin – Alex Tuch
“We went into the deadline with one thing circled on our board and that was adding one more top-nine forward, and we accomplished that today.”
Considering GM George McPhee referred to Tatar as a ‘top-nine forward’, I would expect him to debut on the third line, likely replacing Ryan Carpenter. It’s hard to demote Carpenter when he has seven points in his last six games, but Tuch’s development appears more important to the team going forward. Selected 18th overall in 2014, Tuch is seeing a sheltered 14:53 of ice-time with plenty of power-play exposure (2:16). I don’t see Tatar cracking the top-six this season because of how good Vegas’ first two lines have been together. It’s hard to imagine them disturbing the great chemistry of Jonathan Marchessault – William Karlsson – Reilly Smith, or David Perron – Erik Haula – James Neal. Neal’s offensive output has been the ‘worst’ of the six and he’s still on pace for 30 goals…
With all that being said, Tatar is not necessarily chained to a bottom-six role. George McPhee went on to tell The Athletic that:
“He can play all over the lineup. First line, second line, right wing, left wing. He scores goals and plays hard enough and competes.”
He has been a pretty consistent 20-goal scorer in the National Hockey League, and all that Vegas touched turns Golden, so…
For the latest injury updates and line combinations, follow me on Twitter @BrennanDeSouza!
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I’m intrigued by Hertl, who comes off waivers tomorrow in my league, and his new opportunity. What would be your recommendation when comparing Hertl, Stasny, and a guy like Zetterberg (also available tomorrow)?
I like Stasny’s opportunity but it’s still the third line. Hertl will be 2nd line and maybe keeps his PP1 spot. Zetterberg is playing a lot on the first line and PP1 so he intrigues me just out of time on ice. Thoughts?
I know I’m not the author, but I think you’re pretty spot on. I’m excited about Stastny, but keep in mind Ehlers is only getting about 14 minutes a night lately playing on the 3rd line and PP2, so he’s going to lose upwards of 4-5 minutes a night of playing time and I’m not sure how that effects his production- its not like he was playing alongside scrubs in STL, he spent a fair amount of the season with Tarasenko on his wing or if not then at least guys like Schwartz, Steen, etc. I wonder if we’re forgetting just who he is? A great 2 way center whose probably capped at about 55-60 points.
If Kane goes next to Hertl, that’s an instant boost for that line, but I’m still not sold on Hertl or that he’ll see much benefit from Kane- most of the boost will go to Couture, much like it did Eichel in BUF. Zetterberg is probably the most reliable option here, but you’d have to think DET should be handing the keys over to the kids for the rest of the year.
Depends on what you need, really. There’s a solid argument for all 3. I’d put Stastny and Zetterberg above Hertl, though, as I think Kane will spend time with Pavelski’s line too. I’d probably go Stastny myself, especially if I didn’t have any other Jets on my team, just to have a piece of that pie.
Yeah and early looks from San Jose is that Kane is on the top line with Pavelski and Hertl is next to Couture and Boedker. I didn’t realize that Couture, Kane, and Hertl are all left-handed shots so it’s unlikely they’ll line up together.
Stasny’s 5v5 numbers are pretty good tho, and so maybe it is worth a shot, even with less time on ice, just for the exposure to Laine and Ehlers. Plus, if there is any injury to the top two centers, Stasny slides up in value.
With limited moves left to make, it’s hard to rush out and make a pick, but maybe I grab Stasny for now and see how this week plays out. I’ll have enough room to adjust and worst-case could just stream this spot in playoffs. Thanks for the reply.
Out of those three I think I like Stastny the most, but it’s close. The way I see it, he has the greatest potential to provide you with above average production. I’m expecting Hertl and Zetterberg to put up 10-13 more points in the final 20 games of the season, but could see Stastny being a small step above at maybe 14-17? It looks like Evander Kane will at least debut with Pavelski and Donskoi, so it’s hard to say if Hertl will ever benefit from Kane’s presence. While Zetterberg closed out last season with 22 points in 22 games, I expect the Red Wings to give their youth greater roles (Mantha, Larkin, Bertuzzi) for the rest of this season, to properly evaluate where the team is headed. The Jets paid a high price for Stastny, and I think they’re going to make the most of that investment. The fact that Stastny waived his no movement clause to go to Winnipeg shows me he’s excited to be part of the team. I know the mental aspects of hockey are often disregarded but it has to be exciting to leave a six-game losing streak behind and join a team that is very much contending for the cup. I wouldn’t get too caught up in labels like “second” or “third” line because there’s really no drop off in talent. If anything I’d consider Ehlers-Stastny-Laine to be the team’s second line now, but I’ll keep an eye out on ice-time going forward. Patrik Laine has 67 goals over the past two seasons (135 games), behind only Kucherov, Ovechkin, Matthews, and Malkin. Stastny’s old line mate Tarasenko? 63 goals in 145 games.
Thank you. I’m looking at him as a replacement for Bergeron so it’s obviously a tall task for anyone to replace what he provided me. Hertl is worth more in my league format b/c of his hits, blocks, and PIM contributions but I also am strong in those stats, so my priority is to focus on replacing Bergeron’s points as much as possible. I think Stasny is that guy with three games this week, and four games in my playoff week (I should have a bye next week thankfully). I’ll play the rest by ear, and may even work out adding Hertl and Stasny. And maybe I’ll get lucky and get out of my semifinals with Bergeron returning in three weeks (knock on wood).
I’ve already been thinking about dropping Rust before 3/12 (PIT only has two games that week) in order to maximize my games played. Stasny plays Monday and Tuesday 3/12 – 3/13 which also provides flexibility with PIT on Wed and Thursday.
Some quick follow up notes:
1. Looks like Kane will debut alongside Joe Pavelski and Joonas Donskoi https://twitter.com/KKurzNHL/status/968553376706322433
2. Ivan Barbashev (2014 2nd round pick) and Nikita Soshnikov will be part of St. Louis’ top-six tonight.
https://twitter.com/jprutherford/status/968540114564591616
3. Chris Stewart (claimed off waivers yesterday) is on Calgary’s top line with Johnny Gaudreau and Sean Monahan
https://twitter.com/WesGilbertson/status/968538172497022977
4. Tyler Bertuzzi (2013 2nd rounder) takes Tatar’s spot in Detroit beside Dylan Larkin and Andreas Athanasiou
https://twitter.com/AnsarKhanMLive/status/968520717926125570
I know TB made a mark, but I think the Stastny trade will turn out to be the trade of the deadline. Good playmaker, and great in the circle. There are now no holes in that lineup.
How long before Kane throws his first little fit?
Uh, what about the best of ’em all — Guentzel/Sheary-Brassard-Kessel?