Geek of the Week: Should We Reach for the Stars?

Ben Burnett

2019-11-10


It’s been a tale of two halves for the Dallas Stars in 2019-20. The annual off-season winners got off to an awful 1-7-1 start, before ripping off seven wins in their next eight games. On an individual level, a number of the Stars’ biggest name players struggled to start the season. Through those first nine games, Roope Hintz was the only forward really carrying his weight fantasy-wise, with six points. Perennial fantasy studs like Tyler Seguin, Alex Radulov, and Jamie Benn were all under half a point per game through that stretch. Since that mid-October turnaround, we’ve seen players like Seguin and Radulov emerge, as well as signs of life from new UFA signing Joe Pavelski.

The Stars have a few players that I think it’s pretty simple to give advice for: Seguin? He’s gonna be a stud. Radulov looks like he is likely to fall off from last year’s total, but still very much a rosterable player in all leagues; Miro Heiskanen is a hold / add in all leagues while he has the opportunity to snatch PP1 duties with the news John Klingberg is out. The question I’m looking at this week, is which of the other fantasy-relevant players are worth buying, dropping, or holding. So let’s take a look at the Stars players who may skirt the line between rosterable and dropworthy.

Jamie Benn

The former Olympic gold-medal winner has six points in the team’s first 17 games this year. That 29-point pace is bound to regress somewhat, but is it enough to make him a must own in fantasy circles? His ice time, power play usage, and shot rates have consistently fallen for a few years now.

The positives for Benn include a way-too-low shooting percentage (2.7 percent) and a lion’s share of his recent even strength time playing alongside Seguin and Radulov. In bangers’ leagues, Benn is averaging more than two hits per game for the first time since his rookie season in 2009-10.

Expectations should be tempered for the former multi-cat stud. While his shooting luck will improve, he’ll need to shoot more to help that matter much. Right now if we regressed his percentages to league average, here’s where we might expect Benn to finish 2019-20:

*Players’ SH projections will be built into the Pace total.
 

 

GP

ATOI

G

A

PTS

SOG