Frozen Tools Forensics: The Good, The Bad, The Ugly on Goalies

Chris Kane

2020-02-07


If you have played fantasy hockey for any length of time, you have been frustrated by goalies. Particularly in recent years the sting of spending a lot of draft capital on a sure thing goalie (be it draft pick or auction dollars) only to have that goalie blow up in your face has become all too common. How are goalies returning investment in 2019-20? Anecdotally, not great. If you drafted Sergei Bobrovsky you probably aren’t all that happy at the moment. Andrei Vasilevskiy didn’t have the best start either, though Tampa as a whole has been better as of late.

This week we are going to take a look at goalie performance (using another helpful Frozen Tools Report) and throw in a little bit of info on average draft position just to make it interesting.

First up I pulled the Quality Starts report on the Frozen Tools Reports page. Quality Starts is a handy stat to look at when thinking about goalie performance. It enables us to capture the goalie starts that would be useful for fantasy purposes. The report also gives us info on Really Bad Starts, which as the name of the stat implies are not at all desirable and tend to blow up your fantasy week.

Currently, the top page of our report looks like this:
 


Darcy Kuemper leads the way for goalies that have actually played a reasonable number of games, followed by James Reimer and Thatcher Demko? Those are definitely not names that were popping up a lot in pre-draft rankings. In this view, we do need to account for games played, and they are both around 20. That low number of games played is certainly less valuable in many formats than Carey Price’s 44 games but still demonstrates that when they see ice time you likely want them on your team.

If we sort by Really Bad Starts instead we see that