Fantasy Take: Goodrow heading to Tampa Bay

Michael Clifford

2020-02-24

With the way the season has gone, it was obvious that San Jose would be sellers heading into the deadline. They'd had a couple guys already be shipped out when their biggest deal of the day came down: Barclay Goodrow was traded to Tampa Bay, along with a third-round pick this year, in exchange for a 2020 first-round pick and Anthony Greco. Greco is just a contract thrown in to make everything work.

Let's break it down.

 

To Tampa Bay

Goodrow is someone even hardcore fantasy players would only have a passing knowledge of. He's 26 years old (actually turns 27 later this month) and this was his first year of playing outside the bottom-6. Part of that was the exodus of talent in the summer mixed in with injuries that hit this year, but part of it is that he's not a bad player, particularly on the defensive side.

Over the last three years, per Evolving Hockey, Goodrow's even-strength defensive impact per 60 minutes is 20th in the NHL out of 313 forwards with at least 2000 minutes played in that span. Other forwards in the 15-25 range: Anthony Cirelli, Blake Coleman, Brandon Tanev, Mark Stone, Mikael Granlund, and Ondrej Kase. That is some impressive company. One thing I will say is this has largely been done in a lesser role, but to that end, he won't be asked to play 20 minutes a night in Tampa as he had been for the last month in San Jose. Rather, he'll be asked to play 14-15 minutes a night, which is much closer to what he had been playing earlier in the year. By adding both Goodrow and Coleman, it seems Tampa Bay had bolstering their defensive impact in mind.

Now, again per EW, Goodrow's offensive impacts are considerably worse. That, when combined with the impending TOI drop, makes it unlikely he has much fantasy value, even if he is going to a great offensive team. He'll still have value in banger leagues because of the hits he can bring, but I wouldn't expect some sort of jump offensively. That makes him likely unplayable in points-only leagues.

Goodrow can play all three forward positions but I expect him to be somewhere on the third line playing with Blake Coleman. It should push one of Tyler Johnson or Yanni Gourde to the fourth line (my guess is Gourde, as he's spent a good chunk of time there post-Christmas). Not sure it helps the third line offensively, but they're about to get a lot better defensively.

This does open up another centre spot for the Sharks, who are still without Logan Couture and Tomas Hertl. Antti Suomela makes sense as a beneficiary, though he's nicked up right now. Joel Kellman could see a short-term boost as well, at least until Suomela is back in the lineup.

 

Who this helps

Antti Suomela

Andrei Vasilevskiy

Joel Kellman

 

Who this hurts

Yanni Gourde

Sharks goaltending

Evander Kane

UPCOMING GAMES

Mar 29 - 12:03 PHI vs PIT
Mar 29 - 15:03 CHI vs L.A
Mar 29 - 15:03 N.J vs CAR
Mar 29 - 15:03 WPG vs VGK
Mar 29 - 19:03 STL vs MIN
Mar 29 - 20:03 EDM vs ANA
Mar 29 - 21:03 COL vs NSH
Mar 29 - 22:03 S.J vs ARI

STARTING GOALIES

  • No data at this moment.

HOT PLAYERS

  Players Team GP G A P
EVGENI MALKIN PIT 5 4 7 11
ADAM FOX NYR 4 1 6 7
JAKUB VORACEK PHI 6 0 10 10
NATHAN MACKINNON COL 5 2 6 8
MIKA ZIBANEJAD NYR 29 25 19 44
NIKITA KUCHEROV T.B 24 16 20 36
KEVIN FIALA MIN 11 9 7 16
EVANDER KANE S.J 7 5 5 10
KYLE CONNOR WPG 7 8 2 10
RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS EDM 17 8 16 24

LINE COMBOS

  Frequency STL Players
23.2% BRAYDEN SCHENN JADEN SCHWARTZ ALEXANDER STEEN
22.8% SAMMY BLAIS RYAN O'REILLY DAVID PERRON
18.6% IVAN BARBASHEV MACKENZIE MACEACHERN OSKAR SUNDQVIST

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