Cap League Goalie Rankings
Alexander MacLean
2020-09-26
The Salary Cap League Rankings are here! All of the top 62 goalies.
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Here are the top 62 goalies to own in your salary cap league – September 26 edition. The list is finally here! The skater list has been coming out for a full year, and there are now goalie rankings to add to the equation.
The goalie list comes not only with a rankings system, but with value tiers. The tiers (also computed by a formula of mine) represent a more general view on a goalie's value taking into account a few overarching factors. Players such as Alex Stalock and Cal Petersen have higher ratings but show up lower down the tier rankings. The high ranking is due to their low cap hits coupled with an established floor with some possible upside. The lower tier is a result of them having uncertain volume, and the lower likelihood of hitting their upside in any given year. Unsurprisingly the first tier includes Carter Hart (also the rankings leader), Andrei Vasilevskiy, Jordan Binnington, and Vezina winner Connor Hellebuyck. These are your sure things, though they don't necessarily give you the best bang for your buck they will be worth the money that you pay them.
The new wave of Russian goalies is looking to take over, however the tier rating is cautious with ranking them as there is more uncertainty with them than you get with most goalies (and that is saying something). In general, aim to have the highest rated players if you are looking to be most cap efficient, but use the tiers if you just want to focus on having the best goalies and you are comfortable paying a little more for that security.
Standard pre-rankings note:
This isn't meant to be a be-all and end-all rating system for you to use without thinking and just trade your players for anyone above them on the list that you can find, but used with some foresight for managing salaries, I'm hoping that the list can help you mine value in trades, and at the draft table.
Cap hit is used for the player cost, so if your league uses salary or AAV, please account for that, as it can greatly change the impact of rookies. The rankings are set up so as to provide the most value in the current season, while providing some value in future years, based on modeling for predicted salary increases and production growth.
The stats used for the goaltenders attempt to balance both ratio stats as well as volume. For those of you with variations towards either end of the spectrum, leaning more towards volume or rate stats, you will want to account for that change in value. Same thing goes for setting variations such as: number of teams, salary space, or roster positions. This list is made to be a baseline guide for player evaluation, and to promote discussion and understanding of how to optimize rosters in a cap league setting.
If you note a mistake, or have any further questions about the ranking system, please let me know. You can find me on Twitter here @alexdmaclean. I'm not perfect, and the rankings won't be either. Comments help with optimizing the values.
We're sticking with the +/- 5.0 rating that Dobber uses on all of his rating schemes as the range for approximately equivalent value, and yes, the skater and goalie rankings are synced so that the value of a skater against a goalie can be compared.
All salary info is courtesy of capfriendly. Without further ado, the rankings:
Name | Age | Cap Hit | Yrs | Rating | Tier | |
1 | Carter Hart | 22 | $730,833 | 1 | 265.21 | 1 |
2 | Igor Shesterkin | 24 | $925,000 | 1 | 197.05 | 2 |
3 | Ilya Samsonov | 23 | $925,000 | 1 | 193.27 | 2 |
4 | Alex Stalock | 33 | $785,000 | 2 | 186.92 | 4 |
5 | Pavel Francouz | 30 | $2,000,000 | 2 | 176.05 | 2 |
6 | Juuse Saros | 25 | $1,500,000 | 1 | 159.25 | 3 |
7 | Calvin Petersen | 25 | $858,333 | 2 | 150.55 | 5 |
8 | Jordan Binnington | 27 | $4,400,000 | 1 | 150.04 | 1 |
9 | Connor Hellebuyck | 27 | $6,166,666 | 4 | 148.71 | 1 |
10 | Thatcher Demko | 24 | $1,050,000 | 1 | 138.44 | 4 |
11 | David Rittich | 28 | $2,750,000 | 1 | 138.07 | 3 |
12 | Frederik Andersen | 30 | $5,000,000 | 1 | 137.04 | 2 |
13 | Ilya Sorokin | 25 | $2,000,000 | 1 | 128.24 | 3 |
14 | Andrei Vasilevskiy | 26 | $9,500,000 | 8 | 126.94 | 1 |
15 | Philipp Grubauer | 28 | $3,333,333 | 1 | 126.72 | 3 |
16 | Joonas Korpisalo | 26 | $2,800,000 | 2 | 123.36 | 3 |
17 | Ben Bishop | 33 | $4,916,666 | 3 | 121.68 | 2 |
18 | Jaroslav Halak | 35 | $2,250,000 | 1 | 121.52 | 3 |
19 | Tuukka Rask | 33 | $7,000,000 | 1 | 118.61 | 2 |
20 | Petr Mrazek | 28 | $3,125,000 | 1 | 117.66 | 4 |
21 | Elvis Merzlikins | 26 | $4,000,000 | 2 | 114.99 | 3 |
22 | Darcy Kuemper | 30 | $4,500,000 | 2 | 114.72 | 2 |
23 | Robin Lehner | 29 | $0 | 0 | 113.46 | 4 |
24 | Kaapo Kahkonen | 24 | $0 | 0 | 111.88 | 4 |
25 | Jacob Markstrom | 30 | $0 | 0 | 110.08 | 3 |
26 | John Gibson | 27 | $6,400,000 | 7 | 109.89 | 3 |
27 | Mackenzie Blackwood | 23 | $0 | 0 | 109.78 | 4 |
28 | Jonathan Bernier | 32 | $3,000,000 | 1 | 106.50 | 3 |
29 | Devan Dubnyk | 34 | $4,333,333 | 1 | 106.20 | 6 |
30 | Braden Holtby | 31 | $0 | 0 | 105.77 | 4 |
31 | Pekka Rinne | 37 | $5,000,000 | 1 | 105.22 | 6 |
32 | Matt Murray | 26 | $0 | 0 | 104.57 | 4 |
33 | Corey Crawford | 35 | $0 | 0 | 103.14 | 6 |
34 | Jack Campbell | 28 | $1,650,000 | 2 | 102.03 | 5 |
35 | Tristan Jarry | 25 | $0 | 0 | 101.41 | 3 |
36 | Mikko Koskinen | 32 | $4,500,000 | 2 | 100.24 | 5 |
37 | Laurent Brossoit | 27 | $0 | 0 | 99.53 | 5 |
38 | Anton Khudobin | 34 | $0 | 0 | 96.95 | 4 |
39 | Semyon Varlamov | 32 | $5,000,000 | 3 | 95.35 | 5 |
40 | James Reimer | 32 | $3,400,000 | 1 | 95.11 | 5 |
41 | Chris Driedger | 26 | $850,000 | 1 | 94.94 | 3 |
42 | Linus Ullmark | 27 | $0 | 0 | 90.72 | 5 |
43 | Antti Raanta | 31 | $4,250,000 | 1 | 90.34 | 5 |
44 | Thomas Greiss | 34 | $0 | 0 | 87.59 | 6 |
45 | Marc-Andre Fleury | 35 | $7,000,000 | 2 | 86.08 | 5 |
46 | Jake Allen | 30 | $4,350,000 | 1 | 84.72 | 4 |
47 | Brian Elliott | 35 | $0 | 0 | 84.58 | 6 |
48 | Cam Talbot | 33 | $0 | 0 | 83.79 | 5 |
49 | Sergei Bobrovsky | 32 | $10,000,000 | 6 | 81.23 | 4 |
50 | Carey Price | 33 | $10,500,000 | 6 | 79.80 | 3 |
51 | Mike Smith | 38 | $0 | 0 | 79.38 | 6 |
52 | Alexandar Georgiev | 24 | $0 | 0 | 78.51 | 5 |
53 | Carter Hutton | 34 | $2,750,000 | 1 | 73.90 | 6 |
54 | Adin Hill | 24 | $800,000 | 1 | 67.87 | 5 |
55 | Martin Jones | 30 | $5,750,000 | 4 | 65.68 | 5 |
56 | Curtis McElhinney | 37 | $1,300,000 | 1 | 65.41 | 6 |
57 | Jonathan Quick | 34 | $5,800,000 | 3 | 62.05 | 6 |
58 | Malcolm Subban | 26 | $0 | 0 | 54.43 | 5 |
59 | Aaron Dell | 31 | $0 | 0 | 52.46 | 5 |
60 | Jimmy Howard | 36 | $0 | 0 | 52.38 | 6 |
61 | Ville Husso | 25 | $750,000 | 2 | 42.73 | 3 |
62 | Marcus Hogberg | 25 | $700,000 | 1 | 41.12 | 5 |