Looking Ahead: Ducks Won’t Be Foul

Adam Daly-Frey

2021-03-05

All fantasy owners need help in the short term AND the long term. The Looking Ahead feature identifies one player to plug into lineups in the short term, a second to invest in for the long term, a third to bench for the coming week, and a fourth who will struggle to meet expectations for some time. All players discussed are selected based on their upcoming schedule.

Note: With COVID news coming out of the blue, this article could be stale by Friday evening. It's important as always to pay attention to twitter and the site (especially the Ramblings) to keep abreast of all fantasy-relevant changes. The schedule portion of this article will continue as always, but be prepared to react quickly if games get postponed. All stats updated through Wednesday, Mar. 3rd

 The Immediate Fix (Grab this guy and use him for the next several days)

Cam Fowler, D, Anaheim Ducks (Available in 95 percent of Yahoo! Leagues) – Fowler's been an ignored piece for most of the season, which is due to a combination of being on Anaheim, and having Kevin Shattenkirk take Fowler's spot on the "top" power play; so far this season, Fowler's been the much better fantasy option, with 2G-10A in 23 games so far on 5.4 percent shooting compared to Shattenkirk's 0G-6A line with the same number of shots on goal for each (37).

Playing over 22 minutes per game and with no Hampus Lindholm in the lineup for the foreseeable future (placed on injured reserve), Fowler's a great short-term add for teams light on defensemen or teams that lost a star like Cale Makar to injury. Fowler's made even more enticing by the fact that Anaheim has a great schedule this month (see below), and should be available given his low ownership.

The Building Block (Buy now, sit back and enjoy the production)

Pavel Zacha, C, New Jersey Devils (Available in 69 percent of Yahoo! Leagues) â€“ The sixth-overall pick just six years ago has yet to really perform close to expectations – he hit his career-high in points last year with just 32 in 65 – but through the first 18 games of the season, Zacha's performed tremendously well with 6G-8A and is playing as a top-line center. With Nico Hischier starting the year on injured reserve and since returning to injured reserve, Zacha's competition for top center is only Jack Hughes and a 35-year old Travis Zajac, which means minutes should be free for Zacha.

That increase in role has also led to an increase in ice time, as Zacha's current ice time of 16:51 per game is a 40-second increase over last season and a full minute and a half over his career average. It's important to note that Zacha's currently shooting an unsustainable 18.2 percent which will plummet, but Zacha's a double-digit career shooter (10.1 percent) and his current point pace combined with the opportunity in front of him make him a long-term buy. This is a speculative add and would only be recommended in deep leagues but he's worth a long look.

The Odd Man Out (His short-term value is cause for concern)

Miro Heiskanen, D, Dallas Stars (Owned in 79 percent of Yahoo! Leagues) â€“ Heiskanen's major breakout came in the post-season last year when he popped for 6G-20A in 27 playoff games, while playing just under 26 minutes per night, which was a big factor on why he's rostered as a top-25 defenseman.

Heiskanen hasn't hit those post-season highs this season, with only nine assists through the first 17 games and only 24 shots on net so far and he's playing 23:27 per game – which is a great number, but two minutes less per night than during the breakout – and is still stuck on the second power play unit. With Dallas really struggling to score lately (six goals in their past five games) and Heiskanen's struggles to pick up points, he's not someone that needs to be dropped or dealt but he's definitely someone who fantasy players should be concerned about.

The Anchors (They'll do nothing but disappoint even over the long haul)

Mike Hoffman, W, St. Louis Blues (Owned in 83 percent of Yahoo! Leagues) â€“ At the start of the season, it looked like there was nobody in a better position to sneak a low ADP and score at an elite level: Hoffman scored 65 goals and 64 assists in just 151 games as a Florida Panther, and he was getting the perfect opportunity to play on a Blues team that was without its top winger in Vlad Tarasenko.

Unfortunately for Hoffman and those who drafted Hoffman, the speedy winger's been shifted to the third line for St. Louis and younger wingers like Zach Sanford and Jordan Kyrou have been getting the opportunities instead. With the return of Tarasenko just literal days away, that's just one more player that Hoffman will have to compete with for ice time; on the topic of ice time, Hoffman's averaging just 15:31 per game this season and in his last three games he's sitting below 14 minutes. He's topped 17 minutes just seven times already.

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Hoffman has still scored well – 6G-10A in 22 games and a huge +10, and he's a volume shooter which is great in leagues that track that. Don't expect the scoring to continue as the ice time diminishes though, and it would make sense to ship him to a team before Hoffman finds himself in the Jeff Skinner zone.

Love 'Em (These squads are sure to pay dividends in the coming days)

This period runs from March 5 to March 17

Washington – Playing on off-days always helps fantasy-wise, and Washington play three of those this period, with games on Friday the 5th, Sunday the 7th and Monday the 15th. Those are three of seven games the Caps will play this period, which breaks down as three games against the Flyers and one each against the Bruins, Devils, Sabres and Islanders.

Edmonton – Although scoring only one goal total in three games against the Maple Leafs doesn't scream "have confidence in this team!", the Oilers have a phenomenal upcoming schedule and this would be the best time to use their secondary scoring. Edmonton will play three games on the road (Calgary twice and Vancouver) and four home games (Calgary once and Ottawa three times.)

Anaheim – The Ducks also get the full seven games this period, and while three of those come against the Avalanche – all in Colorado – the Ducks will also get to play against the Kings and Sharks. The Ducks haven't scored at a high clip so far this season, but there's no better time than this period to get started.

Leave 'Em (These squads will leave fantasy owners sorely disappointed in the short term)

Detroit – The Red Wings get a mini break after playing Carolina on Thursday night, with Detroit not playing a game until Tuesday the 9th – their first game of the period and one of only four games between the 5th and 17th. Based on volume, the Red Wings should be avoided, but Detroit also has to play two tough opponents in Tampa Bay and Carolina (twice each.)

Nashville – Losing important players in Ryan Ellis and Luke Kunin will always hurt a team as shallow as the Predators – who have scored two goals or less in 14 of their 22 games so far – and with the Predators playing six games this period (which only a few teams are doing), they're a team to avoid. Nashville will play road games against Tampa Bay and Carolina (twice each) with a game in Dallas, with their lone home game against Florida.

Chicago – The Blackhawks have been a happy surprise offensively this year – they've scored four or more goals in seven of their 23 games so far and have yet to be shut out – but Chicago has also played the Red Wings six times and put up 25 goals in those games. Chicago plays in a tough division when the Red Wings are excluded, and that comes up in the Blackhawks' upcoming schedule: two games each against Tampa Bay, Dallas and Florida, with only the games against Tampa coming at home.

March 5 to March 11
Best Bets
WSH 5.0175 – Away BOS PHI PHI- Home NJD NJD
PIT 4.405 – Away BUF- Home PHI NYR NYR
VGK 4.37 – Away SJS SJS MIN MIN – Home
TBL 4.37 – Away CHI CHI DET DET- Home
NYI 4.3575 – Away – Home BUF BUF BOS NJD
Steer Clear
DET 1.995 – Away – Home TBL TBL
OTT 2.945 – Away CGY EDM EDM – Home
SJS 3.045 – Away – Home VGK VGK STL
WPG 3.0875 – Away MTL TOR TOR- Home
TOR 3.0975 – Away VAN – Home WPG WPG
March 6 to March 12
Best Bets
EDM 4.83 – – Home CGY OTT OTT OTT
ANH 4.425 – Away COL – Home LAK LAK SJS
PIT 4.405 – Away BUF – Home PHI NYR NYR
NYI 4.3575 – Away – Home BUF BUF BOS NJD
DAL 4.3575 – Away – Home CBJ NSH CHI CHI
Steer Clear
DET 1.995 – Away – Home TBL TBL
CHI 2.7075 – Away DAL DAL – Home TBL
SJS 3.0875 – Away ANH- Home VGK STL
WPG 3.0875 – Away MTL TOR TOR – Home
TOR 3.0975 – Away VAN – Home WPG WPG
March 7 to March 13
Best Bets
WSH 5.16 – Away PHI PHI PHI- Home NJD NJD
ANH 4.83 – Home LAK LAK SJS SJS
EDM 4.7775 – Away VAN- Home OTT OTT OTT
PHI 4.4625 – Away – Home WSH BUF WSH WSH
TBL 4.4275 – Away CHI DET DET – Home NSH
Steer Clear
DET 1.995 – Away – Home TBL TBL
ARI 2.755 – Away COL COL MIN – Home
LAK 3.04 – Away ANH ANH COL – Home
COL 3.045 – Away – Home ARI ARI LAK
MIN 3.045 – Away – Home VGK VGK ARI
March 8 to March 14
Best Bets
ANH 4.83 – – Home LAK LAK SJS SJS
EDM 4.7775 – Away VAN – Home OTT OTT OTT
TOR 4.29 – Away OTT- Home WPG WPG WPG
CBJ 4.2 – Away – Home FLA FLA DAL DAL
COL 4.2 – Away – Home ARI ARI LAK LAK
Steer Clear
CGY 2.205 – Away – Home MTL MTL
NYR 2.565 – Away PIT BOS BOS – Home
NSH 2.7075 – Away CAR CAR TBL – Home
CHI 2.755 – Away DAL DAL FLA – Home
FLA 2.865 – Away CBJ CBJ – Home CHI
March 9 to March 15
Best Bets
TBL 4.485 – Away DET DET – Home NSH NSH
PHI 4.405 – Away NYR- Home BUF WSH WSH
TOR 4.29 – Away OTT – Home WPG WPG WPG
EDM 4.4675 – Away VAN CGY- Home OTT OTT
OTT 4.2525 – Away EDM EDM – Home TOR VAN
Steer Clear
MIN 2.94 – Away – Home VGK ARI ARI
ARI 2.945 – Away COL MIN MIN – Home
DET 2.9925 – Away – Home TBL TBL CAR
SJS 3.135 – Away ANH ANH VGK- Home
STL 3.145 – Away LAK- Home VGK VGK
March 10 to March 16
Best Bets
ANH 4.53 – Away COL- Home LAK SJS SJS
EDM 4.4675 – Away VAN CGY – Home OTT OTT
COL 4.4625 – Away – Home ARI LAK LAK ANH
OTT 4.2525 – Away EDM EDM – Home TOR VAN
BUF 4.2475 – Away NJD- Home PIT PIT WSH
Steer Clear
NYR 2.665 – Away BOS BOS – Home PHI
NSH 2.7075 – Away CAR TBL TBL – Home
CHI 2.945 – Away DAL FLA FLA – Home
DET 2.9925 – Away – Home TBL CAR CAR
CBJ 3.045 – Away – Home FLA DAL DAL
March 11 to March 17
Best Bets
CGY 4.41 – – Home MTL MTL EDM EDM
OTT 4.3575 – Away EDM – Home TOR VAN VAN
WPG 4.295 – Away TOR TOR – Home MTL MTL
PHI 4.295 – Away NYR NYR- Home WSH WSH
BUF 4.2475 – Away NJD – Home PIT PIT WSH
Steer Clear
NSH 2.7075 – Away CAR TBL TBL – Home
MIN 2.835 – Away – Home ARI ARI ARI
CHI 2.945 – Away DAL FLA FLA – Home
DET 2.9925 – Away – Home TBL CAR CAR
CBJ 3.045 – Away – Home FLA DAL DAL

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