Fantasy Take: Gostisbehere Shipped to Arizona

Michael Clifford

2021-07-22

"The desert around their walls is called the Garden of Bones. Every time the Qartheen shut their gates, the garden grows."

I thought of that quote from the second season of the Game of Thrones when I found out that Shayne Gostisbehere had been traded to Arizona. Here are the particulars:

The Flyers paid the 'Yotes to take the Ghost contract off their hands, an indication of both the market for a 4/5 PP defenceman making around $4.5M annually in a flat-cap era and Arizona's intention this offseason. They need more futures, and need to build for the future. The team, as assembled, including any prospects, is nowhere near the calibre of Colorado or Vegas.

And so, the Garden of Bones grows. Datsyuk, Hossa, Pronger, Ladd, etc. This has been going on for years. You'd think with all the bad contracts they've taken on, they'd have assembled a good, young team by now.

What Arizona gets

Ghost is a contentious player, both in fantasy and the real world. We saw his upside, as he had an 82-game pace from 2015-18 of 56 points. That has fallen off a cliff over the last three years, all the way down to an 82-game pace of 35 points.

Something changed. With Ghost, we can see it very clearly. From CJ Turtoro's viz, we can see that in 2017-18, his 65-point season, he had uber-elite transition/playmaking stats:

That is 95th percentile-or-better in both zone entries and exits, and the 85th percentile in shot assists. There is a very good reason why he was an elite offensive defencemen for the bulk of three seasons.

📢 advertisement:

But, like I said, something changed. This was 2019-20, only two seasons later:

Now, we'd be remiss if we didn't mention his injuries. He played the 2018-19 season with a knee injury and seemingly played with one in 2019-20 as well. Nagging knee injuries for two years will put a serious hamper on any player's ability to produce.

By my eye, and by some of the stats, 2021 was a rebound season. It may not look like it by his stats, but he did pace out to 40 points/82 games and his play-driving metrics, both at 5-on-5 and on the PP, were similar this past season to his last great season in 2017-18. By both my eye and by some of the underlying metrics, Ghost had a more Ghost-like season this year. But the team's goaltending made everyone look bad and now here we are.

It'll be hard for Ghost to really bounce-back fantasy-wise in Arizona. There just isn't enough scoring talent. He can be a 40-point guy with consistent top PP minutes but if those minutes go to Jakob Chychrun instead, he may not be fantasy viable at all. How they use him will determine whether he can be rostered or not.

Leave A Comment

UPCOMING GAMES

Jan 23 - 19:01 DET vs MTL
Jan 23 - 19:01 NYR vs PHI
Jan 23 - 19:01 CAR vs CBJ
Jan 23 - 19:01 BOS vs OTT
Jan 23 - 20:01 MIN vs UTA
Jan 23 - 20:01 STL vs VGK
Jan 23 - 21:01 CGY vs BUF
Jan 23 - 21:01 EDM vs VAN
Jan 23 - 22:01 ANA vs PIT
Jan 23 - 22:01 SEA vs WSH
Jan 23 - 22:01 S.J vs NSH

Starting Goalies

Top Skater Views

  Players Team
LANE HUTSON MTL
PAVEL DOROFEYEV VGK
JIRI KULICH BUF
KAAPO KAKKO SEA
ADAM FANTILLI CBJ

Top Goalie Profile Views

  Players Team
SPENCER KNIGHT FLA
JACOB MARKSTROM N.J
JUUSE SAROS NSH
DARCY KUEMPER L.A
DUSTIN WOLF CGY

LINE COMBOS

  Frequency T.B Players
24.6 NIKITA KUCHEROV BRANDON HAGEL ANTHONY CIRELLI
20.0 NICK PAUL ZEMGUS GIRGENSONS CONOR GEEKIE
17.0 BRAYDEN POINT JAKE GUENTZEL MICHAEL EYSSIMONT

DobberHockey Podcasts

Fantasy Hockey Life: Western Conference Buys and Sells

Victor and Jesse make the rounds of the Western Conference with an argument on opne buy and one sell for each team. We talk Jackson LaCombe, Mason McTavish, Martin Pospisil, Nazem Kadri, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Matthew Savoie, Drew Doughty, Kevin Fiala, William Eklund, Thomas Bordeleau, Shane Wright, Chandler Stephenson, Tom Willander, Jake DeBrusk, Victor Olofsson, Noah […]

Keeping Karlsson Short Shifts – The Wilkes-Jarry Penguins

Elizabeth and Lewis are back to take listeners through a host of power play changes that are giving managers the opportunity to get exposure to great players off the waiver wire, including Philly, Jersey, and Tampa talk. They also cover Jarry’s AHL demotion, Cooley’s ascension to the top-line and powerplay, and injuries to Tavares and Hintz. The duo wrap up with some hot and cold streak deep dives, including discussion of the Red Wings crazy powerplay success in the last ten games, whether Erik Gustafsson is rosterable or an overperforming illusion, Fantilli’s continued success, Merilainen as Hamburglar 2.0, and whether Schenn’s success and Neighbours’ lack thereof are likely to continue.

FIND US ON FACEBOOK

📢 advertisement: