Eastern Edge: Good Players on Bad Teams to Watch For
Brennan Des
2021-08-17
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In fantasy hockey, many good players remain undervalued because they play for bad teams. Since the average fantasy hockey league includes plus/minus as a category, there's a general tendency to avoid players on bad teams. Rebuilding rosters seem more likely to concede goals and lose games, leading to lots of 'minus' players. Unfortunately, it's rarely that simple as we often see 'minus' players on good teams and 'plus' players on bad teams. As such, it seems futile to plan for such an unpredictable category. More importantly, plus/minus is just one category and shouldn't hold as much weight as more offensively oriented stats. If a player is strong offensively, they can contribute to multiple categories, like goals, assists, shots and power-play points. As a result, there's no use putting so much stock into one category like plus/minus if it means taking a discount across multiple offensive categories. Ignoring plus/minus when building your fantasy roster opens up a lot more options and saves you the hassle of predicting a relatively inconsistent statistic. Without further ado, let's get to some good players that are undervalued in fantasy leagues because they play for bad teams.
The Sabres finished dead-last in the league last year, winning just 15 of their 56 games and conceding 61 more goals than they scored. Things look even more bleak next year as Sam Reinhart and Rasmus Ristolainen have already been traded away, with Jack Eichel expected to follow in the coming months. As you can imagine, not a single skater who played a major role with the team last year finished the season with a plus-rating. With next year's projected roster looking even worse, we're likely to see minuses across the board again. However, if you can get past plus/minus, Casey Mittelstadt could provide some underrated offense for your fantasy team. The 22-year-old forward took great strides last season as he posted 17 points in his final 21 appearances. He should step into a consistent top-six role next year, leading to more ice time at both even strength and on the power play. He's likely to fall in fantasy drafts because he's unproven and surrounded by a lacklustre supporting cast, but there's a fair amount of upside due to his talent and projected ice time. The Sabres aren't completely devoid of talent either as Mittelstadt will still share the ice with strong players like Rasmus Dahlin and Victor Olofsson.
When I think of good players on bad teams, Brady Tkachuk and Thomas Chabot are two of the first players that come to mind. From a fantasy perspective, both players have established that their offensive production and peripheral stats far outweigh any struggles in the plus/minus department. The same may soon be said about their teammate Drake Batherson, who scored 16 goals in his final 40 games last season. Although Ottawa has struggled with the man advantage in recent years, Batherson led the team with a respectable 15 power-play points through 56 games last season. The 23-year-old forward also racked up 102 hits in the process, making him all the more valuable in multicategory leagues. We're probably still a few years from the Senators hitting their stride and Batherson realizing his full potential. However, they're an underrated team at present and Batherson will have plenty of exposure to talented players like Tkachuk and Chabot. He'll probably be available in the late rounds of your fantasy draft, making him a low-cost pick with plenty of upside.
The Blue Jackets have been busy during the offseason, so a lot of attention is still on players that were involved in recent transactions. Patrik Laine is on everyone's radar as he recently signed a one-year deal with the team. We're all eager to see how the sharpshooter will perform now that he's free from defensively-minded coach John Tortorella. Jakub Voracek has also been in the news cycle recently as he was just traded to Columbus in exchange for Cam Atkinson. There's been plenty of talk about how Voracek's playmaking abilities would perfectly complement Laine's goal-scoring prowess. With all eyes on Voracek and Laine, there hasn't been as much discussion surrounding the player expected to play between them on Columbus' top line. With Max Domi expected to miss the first few months of the season as he recovers from shoulder surgery, the stage is set for Jack Roslovic to start the year as Columbus' first-line center. Roslovic posted 34 points in 48 games last year, which translates to 58 points in your typical 82-game season. He benefitted from favourable deployment as he started most of his shifts in the offensive zone. Fortunately, a line of Voracek, Roslovic and Laine should continue seeing similar deployment next year due to their offensively skewed skillset. If your fantasy league tracks faceoff stats, Roslovic's dual position eligibility allows you to slot him in at the wing – where he can rack up faceoff wins to supplement those amassed by players in your center-only slots. Getting faceoffs from the wing gives you a significant boost in the category.