Cap League Goalie Rankings – September 2021

Alexander MacLean

2021-09-26

Here are the top 62 goalies to own in your salary cap league – September 26th, 2021 edition.

The September version is out just in time for your fantasy drafts this year, so who might it be worth focusing on. Well, this is the last year of bargain contracts for Jack Campbell, Vitek Vanecek, and Cal Petersen, while Pavel Francouz could join that list as well is he shows he's back to full health – for now, missing all of last season is really holding down his ranking.

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As always, the volume starts are sprinkled in after that, with Vasilevskiy as the pricy, but nonetheless the highest-quality fantasy option. Robin Lehner, Alex Nedeljkovic, and Josef Korenar were the biggest risers, all due to trades. Lehner lost his biggest competition for the crease, so he adds volume to an incredible win rate and ratio set. The other two will be volume starters on bad teams. Both have a bit of upside, but be wary of some tough games along the way.

Kevin Lankinen almost swapped places with Lehner after Marc-Andre Fleury was traded to Chicago. Lankinen won't see nearly the volume of last season, but he is still on a bargain contract and the team in front of him should improve over last season's record (though that is in part due to Fleury). The other goalie that dropped like a stone in the rankings was Jake Oettinger, who went from likely losing his competition (Anton Khudobin) in the expansion draft, to having two NHL goalies in front of him (or three if Bishop is healthy). Oettinger is still the highest upside option that Dallas has, but he is not likely to see many starts this season, which really depresses his value.

Standard pre-rankings note:

This isn't meant to be a be-all and end-all rating system for you to use without thinking and just trade your players for anyone above them on the list that you can find, but used with some foresight for managing salaries, I'm hoping that the list can help you mine value in trades, and at the draft table.

Cap hit is used for the player cost, so if your league uses salary or AAV, please account for that, as it can greatly change the impact of rookies. The rankings are set up so as to provide the most value in the current season, while providing some value in future years, based on modeling for predicted salary increases and production growth.

The stats used for the goaltenders attempt to balance both ratio stats as well as volume. For those of you with variations towards either end of the spectrum, leaning more towards volume or rate stats, you will want to account for that change in value. Same thing goes for setting variations such as: number of teams, salary space, or roster positions. This list is made to be a baseline guide for player evaluation, and to promote discussion and understanding of how to optimize rosters in a cap league setting.

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The goalie list comes not only with a rankings system, but with value tiers. The tiers (also computed by a formula of mine) represent a more general view on a goalie's value taking into account a few overarching factors. Cheap backups can have higher ratings but show up lower down the tier rankings. The high ranking is due to their low cap hits coupled with an established floor with some possible upside. The lower tier is a result of them having uncertain volume, and the lower likelihood of hitting their upside in any given year. In general, aim to have the highest rated players if you are looking to be most cap efficient, but use the tiers if you just want to focus on having the best goalies and you are comfortable paying a little more for that security (my preference is usually to lean towards the more cap efficient options because of how variable goalies can be).

If you note a mistake, or have any further questions about the ranking system, please let me know. You can find me on Twitter here @alexdmaclean.

I'm not perfect, and the rankings won't be either. Comments help with optimizing the values.

We're sticking with the +/- 5.0 rating that Dobber uses on all of his rating schemes as the range for approximately equivalent value. The skater and goalie rankings are synched so that the value of a skater against a goalie can be compared, though the scale of the ratings has changed a little since the last update.

All salary info is courtesy of capfriendly. Without further ado, the rankings:

RankNameAgeCap HitYrsRatingTierPrev Rnk
1Calvin Petersen26$858,3331262.213619932
2Jack Campbell29$1,650,0001251.995921521
3Vitek Vanecek25$716,6671190.444530533
4Andrei Vasilevskiy27$9,500,0007178.848166916
5Connor Hellebuyck28$6,166,6663176.866637117
6Robin Lehner30$5,000,0004176.6601829122
7Tristan Jarry26$3,500,0002174.768706325
8Alex Nedeljkovic25$3,000,0002171.3769693235
9Semyon Varlamov33$5,000,0002168.062657718
10Philipp Grubauer29$5,900,0006163.0239333114
11Igor Shesterkin25$5,666,6674161.3102391221
12Juuse Saros26$5,000,0004160.531281115
13Ilya Samsonov24$2,000,0001160.091803224
14Darcy Kuemper31$4,500,0001157.8331837213
15Kaapo Kahkonen25$725,0001156.6313241432
16Mackenzie Blackwood24$2,800,0002147.2958365310
17Kevin Lankinen26$800,0001144.204247959
18Jordan Binnington28$6,000,0006142.8922193312
19Jacob Markstrom31$6,000,0005138.6694693316
20Cam Talbot34$3,666,6662137.5048575417
21Ilya Sorokin26$4,000,0003136.560243231
22Josef Korenar23$750,0001134.68292355NR
23Adin Hill25$2,175,0002129.4465513536
24Linus Ullmark28$5,000,0004124.4285257518
25Marc-Andre Fleury36$7,000,0001124.2364803325
26John Gibson28$6,400,0006119.6337095329
27Casey DeSmith30$1,250,0001118.333547430
28Frederik Andersen31$4,500,0002117.8812485420
29Thatcher Demko25$5,000,0005116.9837191434
30Jeremy Swayman22$925,0002110.7962447328
31Elvis Merzlikins27$4,000,0001110.1135818226
32Mike Smith39$2,200,0002110.0115672351
33Carter Hart23$3,979,0003109.2673671411
34Joonas Korpisalo27$2,800,0001107.8128355519
35Anton Khudobin35$3,333,3332100.2141702541
36Jake Oettinger22$925,0001100.121538644
37Brian Elliott36$900,000198.55412056643
38Petr Mrazek29$3,800,000391.95132007323
39Chris Driedger27$3,500,000386.07955638437
40Jaroslav Halak36$1,500,000185.7193655640
41Antti Raanta32$2,000,000284.19343065638
42Spencer Knight20$925,000284.01268097445
43Thomas Greiss35$3,600,000183.76838551647
44Jake Allen31$2,875,000282.79791536546
45Martin Jones31$2,000,000180.8642964660
46Alexandar Georgiev25$2,425,000178.21690995552
47Sergei Bobrovsky33$10,000,000577.57200321350
48David Rittich29$1,250,000177.06988622656
49Anthony Stolarz27$950,000276.857833676NR
50Braden Holtby32$2,000,000175.73077676658
51Ville Husso26$750,000175.3764704553
52Matt Murray27$6,250,000375.25614811455
53Jonathan Bernier33$4,125,000275.09413828533
54James Reimer33$2,250,000274.53174211542
55Carey Price34$10,500,000563.40203236457
56Pavel Francouz31$2,000,000161.11108295339
57Laurent Brossoit28$2,325,000260.36412599654
58Filip Gustavsson23$787,500258.833631663NR
59Tuukka Rask34053.88722138427
60Eric Comrie26$750,000153.615073745NR
61Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen22$778,333152.93643576562
62Aaron Dell32$750,000150.836NR

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