Looking Ahead: Terry, Buchnevich, Wheeler, the Avalanche, and More
Andrew Santillo
2021-11-12
The Immediate Fix (Grab this guy and use him for the next several days)
Troy Terry, RW, Anaheim Ducks (Available in 32% of ESPN leagues, 20% Fantrax, 32% Yahoo) – Searching for an immediate fix? Need to win a category in a nine-cat league? Looking for a winger in a pinch that's on an, oh let's say, a twelve-game point streak? Just add water! Or well, Troy Terry.
I'm not the first person to write about Terry here and looking at the ownership percentages, not the first one to the party, but it's hard to ignore the numbers that Terry has been putting up and just how much it could help any fantasy team in a league where he's still available. He has 16 points in his past 13 games, leads Anaheim in even strength and power-play goals, and in three of the last five games he has played over 20 minutes. This is a player who's career high in points sits at 20 (in 48 games), which likely, he will pass before you sit down for Thanksgiving dinner here in the States. It's not so much the long-term outlook we're interested in here but catching the right player at the right time. If you're already a Troy Terry owner I would lean on not moving him in a trade unless you already have the depth to replace him or can get either a need in return, it may be worth riding this point streak out for as long as you can. Remember, "trends are your friends" Terry could be the player to swing a matchup in your direction.
The Building Block (Buy now, sit back and enjoy the production)
Bowen Byram, D, Colorado Avalanche (Available in 71% of ESPN leagues, 17% Fantrax, 46% Yahoo) – There haven't been too many positives so far for the Avs thus far but if there's one bright spot it's been the play of their 24-year-old defensemen.
So far this season Bryam has been up and down the defensive lineup for Colorado while other d-men have missed time and Byram has looked great in each role that he has been asked to play. He leads all Colorado defensemen with eight points while usually not seeing much power play time at all. I think the reason to look at Bryam in a long-term role is the opportunities he may see down the road (Colorado fan close your ears here), this may just be a tough going season for the Avs. The injuries have been piling up all over this lineup and they have so far not played anywhere close to the President's Trophy winning club they were last season. Sure, a lot of that has to do with defense and that's just my point. If Colorado continues to slide, I don't think it's out of the realm of possibility that they would move Bryam to left-defense next to Cale Makar or move a defensive piece all together giving Bryam more of a role on the top pair. There are a couple moveable contracts here and just reading the tealeaves I don't see why if a turnaround doesn't happen why Joe Sakic wouldn't look to make moves? Again, speculation but if Bryam is going to get more opportunities this is a player I really like and could be a great asset to have, especially for those in dynasty leagues.
The Odd Man Out (His short-term value is cause for concern)
Pavel Buchnevich, RW, St.Louis Blues (Owned in 74% of ESPN leagues, 82% of Fantrax, 50% Yahoo) – Is there a such thing as having too much talent on a roster? In the case of the Blues it's starting to look like it, and with that comes players seeing less time on the top six of a club.
Buchnevich came into St.Louis from the N.Y. Rangers and was slated next to Ryan O'Reilly on the top line before a suspension to come back and move down on the top six. During the Blues most recent contest vs Winnipeg he saw mostly bottom six time paired with Ivan Barbashev on his opposite wing, and while that's not a bad forward combo, he's not seeing time with the St.Louis top six or skates on the top power play unit for the Blues. Buchnevich still gets plenty of ice time even when St.Louis shortens their bench in crunch time in the third period of games but I worry with how deep the Blues are that if he is not in the advantageous spot of seeing opponents bottom six.
The Anchors (They’ll do nothing but disappoint even over the long haul)
Blake Wheeler, C/RW, Winnipeg Jets (Owned in 94% of ESPN leagues, 90% of Fantrax, 84% Yahoo) – Just looking through these ownership numbers across all platforms for Wheeler and I'm convinced it has to be 2015 not 2021? If that's the case how good of a player do you think this Connor McDavid might be for Edmonton and what did everyone think of the Mad Men finale? I think it's just name value that's driving ownership here but there's better options out there, including some on his team in Winnipeg.
Winnipeg has done quite a bit of shuffling up and down their lines but the most recent iteration has Wheeler on the top line with Mark Scheifele, both of whom have not score yet this season. Now, Wheeler did miss some time due to COVID protocols which hurt his numbers compared to the rest of the club, but I don't see much turnaround here for the ownership that he's getting and in league that score hits and blocked shots, Wheeler is just not the player he was five seasons ago that throws his weight around or gets in front of shots. In leagues that track +/-, Wheeler has been below average defensively and if you're rostering him in a salary cap league there are just better and cheaper options out there to help. From a DFS standpoint as well, this is a player that is usually fairly expensive that seemingly always draws ownership, I would look elsewhere up and down Winnipeg's forward grouping if you're looking to roster a Jet.
Love ‘Em (These squads are sure to pay dividends in the coming days)
This period runs from November 12th to November 24th
Tampa Bay – Hold your applause until the end here, there's plenty of Bolts to go around on the upcoming schedule, and with Tampa being one of the more higher owned clubs in fantasy and DFS that is excellent news. Okay, go ahead and clap now.
Pittsburgh – It's weird seeing Pittsburgh at the bottom of the metro and their numbers have ben ho-hum to start but they are beginning to get players back and even with their record hovering around .500, there's a lot to like from a DFS perspective as good filler stacks. The second line of Jason Zucker – Evan Rodrigues – Kasperi Kapanan has an expected goals percentage of 68.7% and that's with over 75 minutes played.
NY Rangers –The Rangers have a loaded schedule upcoming which means that we're going to be seeing a lot of Igor Shesterkin upcoming. He's second in goals saved above expected per 60 minutes and fourth in save percentage on unblocked shots.
Leave ‘Em (These squads will leave fantasy owners sorely disappointed in the short term)
Boston – Last week we were all playing as much Boston first and second lines as we could but on the horizon Boston has a very light schedule. Tough stretch for fantasy owners looking to fill holes in their lineups.
NY Islanders – I'm just checking here, but the Isles are still a team right? Starting the season on a 13, yes 13, game road trip and not playing many games in the near future is taking me off of them. This will bounce back in Isles owners favor later in the season but for now we have to wait to roster them.
Colorado – A regular here on the Leave Em category. Another upcoming week of Colorado playing two games. Wash, rinse, repeat.
*Solemn Remembrance Day in Canada and Veteran's Day in the United States, thank you to all who have served.
Friday, November 12th to Thursday, November 18th, 2021 |
Best Bets |
Pittsburgh – Away OTT WSH MTL – Home BUF |
Columbus 4.34- Away ARI Home WSH NYR DET |
St.Louis 4.17- Away CAR – Home EDM ARI SJS |
Carolina 4.10 – Away VGK ANA – Home PHI STL |
Calgary 4.09 – Away TOR OTT PHI BUF |
Steer Clear |
NY Islanders 1.76 – Away TBL FLA |
Seattle 1.89 – Home MIN CHI |
Los Angeles 1.96 – Away WPG – Home WSH |
Boston 2.21 – Away NJD – Home MTL |
Colorado 2.21 – Away VAN – Home SJS |
Saturday, November 13th to Friday, November 19, 2021 |
Best Bets |
Pittsburgh 4.44 – Away OTT WSH MTL – Home BUF |
St.Louis 4.17 – Away CAR – Home EDM ARI SJS |
NY Rangers 4.07 – Away CAR TOR – Home NJD MTL |
Detroit 4.06 – Away CBJ DAL VGK – Home MTL |
New Jersey 3.96 – Away NYR FLA – Home BOS OTT |
Steer Clear |
Chicago 0.95 – Away SEA |
NY Islanders 1.76 – Away TBL FLA |
Los Angeles 1.96 – Away WPG – Home WSH |
Boston 2.21 – Away NJD – Home MTL |
San Jose 2.52 – Away COL MIN STL |
Sunday, November 14th to Saturday, November 20th, 2021 |
Best Bets |
St.Louis 4.31- Away DAL – Home EDM ARI SJS |
NY Rangers 4.21 – Away TOR OTT – Home NJD MTL |
Pittsburgh 4.16 – Away WSH MTL TOR – Home BUF |
Washington 4.04 – Away ANA LAK SJS – Home PIT |
Calgary 4.04 – Away OTT PHI BUF NYI |
Steer Clear |
Chicago 1.76 – Away SEA EDM |
Buffalo 1.80 – Away PIT – Home CGY |
Colorado 1.95 – Away VAN SEA |
Los Angeles 2 – Home WSH CAR |
Seattle 2 – Home CHI COL |
Monday, November 15th to Sunday, November 21st, 2021 |
Best Bets |
NY Rangers 4.37 – Away TOR OTT – Home MTL BUF |
Minnesota 4.02- Away FLA TBL – Home MTL BUF |
Arizona 4.01 – Away STL LAK – Home CBJ DET |
Washington 3.99 – Away ANA LAK SJS SEA |
Detroit 3.99 – Away CBJ DAL VGK ARI |
Steer Clear |
Boston 1.94 – Away PHI – Home CGY |
Colorado 1.95 – Away VAN SEA |
Anaheim 2 – Home WSH CAR |
Buffalo 2.70 – Away PIT NYR Home CGY |
Winnipeg 2.70 – Away EDM VAN – Home EDM |
Tuesday, November 16th to Monday November 22nd, 2021 |
Best Bets |
St.Louis 4.47 – Away DAL – Home ARI SJS VGK |
NY Rangers 4.37 – Away TOR OTT – Home MTL BUF |
Nashville 4.10 – Away TOR OTT MTL – Home ANA |
Pittsburgh 4.02 – Away MTL TOR WPG – Home BUF |
Minnesota 4.02 – Away FLA TBL – Home SJS DAL |
Steer Clear |
Boston 1.94 – Away PHI – Home CGY |
NY Islanders 2.69 – Away FLA – Home CGY TOR |
Chicago 2.76 – Away SEA EDM VAN |
Florida 2.78 – Home NYI NJD MIN |
Philadelphia 2.78 – Home CGY TBL BOS |
Wednesday, November 17th to Tuesday, November 23rd, 2021 |
Best Bets |
Pittsburgh 4.35 – Away OTT WSH – Home FLA BUF |
Toronto 4.18 – Away PHI BUF – Home CGY NSH |
Ottawa 4.10 – Away NJD – Home LAK PIT CGY |
Minnesota 4.06 – Away ARI VGK SEA – Home SJS |
Detroit 4.01 – Away CBJ DAL – Home WSH MTL |
Steer Clear |
Tampa Bay 1.84 – Home FLA NYI |
Los Angeles 1.95 – Away OTT WPG |
Seattle 2.05 – Home ANA MIN |
Colorado 2.31 – Home VAN SJS |
San Jose 2.57 – Away WPG COL MIN |
Thursday, November 18th to Wednesday, November 24th, 2021 |
Best Bets |
Tampa Bay 4.14 – Away PHI – Home NJD MIN PHI |
Calgary 3.81 – Away BUF NYI BOS – Home CHI |
Chicago 3.56 – Away SEA EDM VAN CGY |
Nashville 3.29 – Away OTT MTL – Home ANA |
Los Angeles 3.26 – Home WSH CAR ARI |
Steer Clear |
Anaheim 1.75 – Away NSH – Home CAR |
New Jersey 1.76 – Away FLA TBL |
NY Islanders 1.79 – Home CGY TOR |
Boston 1.94 – Away PHI – Home CGY |
Florida 1.94 – Home NJD MIN |