Goldipucks and the Three Skaters: Travis Konecny, Nick Suzuki & Pierre-Luc Dubois

Rick Roos

2021-11-17

Welcome back to Goldipucks and the Three Skaters, a play on words of the Goldilocks and the Three Bears story. Instead of there being three bowls of porridge though, I cover three skaters and declare one too hot (i.e., doing unsustainably better than he should), another too cold (i.e., doing unsustainably worse), and a third “just right” (i.e., producing where he should be). In addition, I also assign each a rating of 1-10, indicating how hot (rated 7-10, where 10 is the most unsustainably hot), cold (rated 1-4, where 1 is the most unsustainably cold), or “just right” (rated 4-7, where 5.5 is the most “just right”) he is.

We've reached a point where enough games have been played to try and assess the "story behind the story" for players and, in turn, to figure out how things should unfold over the rest of the season. With that in mind, the three skaters on tap this week are Travis Konecny, Nick Suzuki, and Pierre-Luc Dubois. Are you up to the task of picking which of the three is too hot, who is too cold, and who is "just right?" Pause here to lock in guesses then read on to see if you scored a hat trick! Data for all players is current through Friday 11/12.

Travis Konecny (12 games, 4 G, 4 A, 35 SOG, 2 PPPts, 17:20 TOI, 3:02 PP, 57.4% PP%)

Everything was going according to plan for Konecny, who saw his points per game rise from his first season to his second then from his second to his third, before a major breakout in his fourth, which saw him score at an 76 point pace. Naturally great things were expected for 2020-21; but Konecny saw his scoring rate drop considerably, leaving poolies to wonder if his 2019-20 production was a temporary blip, or if, instead, his stumble in the 2020-21 season was the aberration. While things might improve in future years, for now the real Konecny is closer to what we saw last season.

Konecny is shooting more than he ever has, and by a lot, plus he's averaging more ice time than in his successful 2019-20 campaign. Why then is he not scoring more? Shouldn't his increased SOG and ice time rates lead to him reaching the same level as 2019-20, or even better? No, because for one his individual shooting percentage in 2019-20 was 17.0%, with him having a career rate of 12.3% outside of that season. Right there he likely lucked into seven more goals than he should've tallied in 2019-20. Accordingly, his point total would've been only 54 in 66 games, for a scoring rate of 67 points.

The oth