Cap League Goalie Rankings – November 2021

Alexander MacLean

2021-11-26

Here are the top 62 goalies to own in your salary cap league – November 26th, 2021 edition.

Jack Campbell has been in a league of his own this year. It was something that fantasy managers may have been aware of in cap leagues at the moment, but to see it so drastically outlined really hits it home. He is the only goalie listed as a tier-one option at the moment (usually this list has two or three), and his rating is head and shoulders, knees and toes above the rest of the competition. This will only last until the end of the season though, as a large extension is looming for him. It will also be interesting to see how a healthy Petr Mrazek affects things in the Maple Leafs' crease. For now though, it's all Campbell.

We also saw big rises from Frederik Andersen, Scott Wedgewood, and James Reimer, who may be the surprise goalie of the season right now. Wedgewood is in this picture due to the volume, as we really can't expect him to keep up even a 2.5 GAA in Arizona. Andersen however may be able to keep his numbers where they are all season long, and looks to be a lot more comfortable when he's not wearing blue.

On the flip side, both Alex Nedeljkovic and Semyon Varlamov dropped out of the top-10, as they aren't seeing the volume that was expected to this point – though Varlamov can't fully be blamed as he has missed most of the season thus far due to injuries. Neither has been putting up spectacular numbers in the games they have played either, and as a result they have mostly just been anchors on your cap league teams thus far. With the Islanders finally playing at home again, a healthy Varlamov should rebound nicely with some excellent stats during his starts every second game. Meanwhile, Nedeljkovic just looks to be stuck splitting with Tomas Greiss, who has actually been the better goalie thus far. Detroit has been winning a few more games than expected, but their defense isn't quite at the level of the Islanders, and as a result the goalie rates will be less valuable to fantasy owners over the coming months.

Standard pre-rankings note:

This isn't meant to be a be-all and end-all rating system for you to use without thinking and just trade your players for anyone above them on the list that you can find, but used with some foresight for managing salaries, I'm hoping that the list can help you mine value in trades, and at the draft table.

Cap hit is used for the player cost, so if your league uses salary or AAV, please account for that, as it can greatly change the impact of rookies. The rankings are set up so as to provide the most value in the current season, while providing some value in future years, based on modeling for predicted salary increases and production growth.

The stats used for the goaltenders attempt to balance both ratio stats as well as volume. For those of you with variations towards either end of the spectrum, leaning more towards volume or rate stats, you will want to account for that change in value. Same thing goes for setting variations such as: number of teams, salary space, or roster positions. This list is made to be a baseline guide for player evaluation, and to promote discussion and understanding of how to optimize rosters in a cap league setting.

The goalie list comes not only with a rankings system, but with value tiers. The tiers (also computed by a formula of mine) represent a more general view on a goalie's value taking into account a few overarching factors. Cheap backups can have higher ratings but show up lower down the tier rankings. The high ranking is due to their low cap hits coupled with an established floor with some possible upside. The lower tier is a result of them having uncertain volume, and the lower likelihood of hitting their upside in any given year. In general, aim to have the highest rated players if you are looking to be most cap efficient, but use the tiers if you just want to focus on having the best goalies and you are comfortable paying a little more for that security (my preference is usually to lean towards the more cap efficient options because of how variable goalies can be).

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If you note a mistake, or have any further questions about the ranking system, please let me know. You can find me on Twitter here @alexdmaclean.

I'm not perfect, and the rankings won't be either. Comments help with optimizing the values.

We're sticking with the +/- 5.0 rating that Dobber uses on all of his rating schemes as the range for approximately equivalent value. The skater and goalie rankings are synched so that the value of a skater against a goalie can be compared, though the scale of the ratings has changed a little since the last update.

All salary info is courtesy of capfriendly. Without further ado, the rankings:

RankNameAgeCap HitYrsRatingTierPrev Rnk
1Jack Campbell29$1,650,0001220.510703112
2Vitek Vanecek25$716,6671154.602382733
3Calvin Petersen27$858,3331148.975625931
4Tristan Jarry26$3,500,0002135.659327627
5Robin Lehner30$5,000,0004130.30732526
6Igor Shesterkin25$5,666,6674129.5985913311
7Ilya Samsonov24$2,000,0001126.7635462213
8Andrei Vasilevskiy27$9,500,0007123.317739924
9Darcy Kuemper31$4,500,0001122.2307641314
10Connor Hellebuyck28$6,166,6663121.183192825
11Jacob Markstrom31$6,000,0005117.885602319
12Frederik Andersen32$4,500,0002116.1664802328
13Kaapo Kahkonen25$725,0001114.5858895415
14Jeremy Swayman23$925,0002113.8223465430
15Juuse Saros26$5,000,0004111.962056212
16Ilya Sorokin26$4,000,0003111.143975321
17John Gibson28$6,400,0006104.0715983326
18Alex Nedeljkovic25$3,000,0002102.580421838
19Jordan Binnington28$6,000,000699.63747504318
20Scott Wedgewood29$825,000197.002256394NR
21Cam Talbot34$3,666,666296.48427419520
22Carter Hart23$3,979,000393.45237776433
23Mackenzie Blackwood24$2,800,000291.71223445416
24James Reimer33$2,250,000291.55226145554
25Casey DeSmith30$1,250,000190.88075031527
26Kevin Lankinen26$800,000188.99924188517
27Elvis Merzlikins27$4,000,000182.9862378231
28Dan Vladar24$750,000280.8541745NR
29Joonas Korpisalo27$2,800,000180.40734734534
30Jake Oettinger22$925,000180.11424854436
31Adin Hill25$2,175,000279.71622231523
32Philipp Grubauer29$5,900,000679.66319261210
33Jake Allen31$2,875,000277.90641685444
34Thatcher Demko25$5,000,000577.64013581429
35Marc-Andre Fleury36$7,000,000176.7874117325
36Braden Holtby32$2,000,000174.09274899650
37Semyon Varlamov33$5,000,000270.9535161929
38Jaroslav Halak36$1,500,000170.86314945640
39Sergei Bobrovsky33$10,000,000570.4758474247
40Ville Husso26$750,000169.56692923551
41Spencer Knight20$925,000268.6435537442
42David Rittich29$1,250,000164.93614421648
43Linus Ullmark28$5,000,000464.35316206524
44Jonathan Bernier33$4,125,000263.94738095553
45Eric Comrie26$750,000163.83630753560
46Martin Jones31$2,000,000163.55680457645
47Brian Elliott36$900,000162.58979112737
48Thomas Greiss35$3,600,000161.62641006643
49Anton Khudobin35$3,333,333258.19290338535
50Antti Raanta32$2,000,000257.46007316641
51Pavel Francouz31$2,000,000157.38706818356
52Anthony Stolarz27$950,000255.34655875649
53Alexandar Georgiev25$2,425,000150.52007176546
54Matt Murray27$6,250,000350.32047134452
55Craig Anderson40$750,000150.255122376NR
56Mike Smith39$2,200,000247.55602513432
57Carey Price34$10,500,000546.85883892555
58Petr Mrazek29$3,800,000343.88149925338
59Laurent Brossoit28$2,325,000242.98148037657
60Filip Gustavsson23$787,500242.87257581458
61Aaron Dell32$750,000142.29496399662
62Tuukka Rask34Unsigned041.51956207559

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