Looking Ahead: Duck Hunt

Andrew Santillo

2021-12-03

The Immediate Fix (Grab this guy and use him for the next several days)

Jamie Drysdale, D, Anaheim Ducks (Available in 93% of ESPN leagues, 30% Fantrax, 81% Yahoo)

Anaheim plays five times next week. Five. That's like last season’s weird COVID schedule games in a week. They also play Friday night vs Calgary, so for those able to add and drop players freely without a claim date or time might even be able to sneak Drysdale in by then. Part of fantasy isn't so much making the right add or claim, it's doing it at the right time and using the schedule to your advantage. If you're able to roster say three defensemen and are flexible with which players can move in and out of your lineup, then having a player go five times in a matchup period is extremely ideal.

So why Drysdale instead of a different defenseman on the Ducks or even a forward? My worry is the way that Anaheim has been shifting their lines around as well as the uncertain date on Getzlaf's return. However, Drysdale has been playing a more consistent role on Anaheim's top defensive pair and quarterbacks the first power-play unit, both of which has done for most of this season. The numbers are good too for Drysdale, he's averaging 19:58 time on ice and has three goals and nine assists so far on the season. For rosters that need an extra man, I think this is an excellent player to target, plus hey, if we've learned anything over the past couple weeks it's that apparently the Ducks are the best club in hockey?

The Building Block (Buy now, sit back and enjoy the production)

Jesper Bratt, LW/RW, New Jersey Devils (Available in 77% of ESPN leagues, 43% Fantrax, 62% Yahoo)

Did anyone have the Devils second line being great on their NHL 2021-'22 BINGO card? There is a lot to like with Bratt, and the chemistry between his line mates.

For the month of November and now into December (Is it really already December?) The Devils second line has consisted of Bratt along with Dawson Mercer at center and Andreas Johnsson on his opposite wing and this line has been good and it's no small sample. In lines with over 100 minutes played so far this season, the Devils' second line is top three in expected goals percentage, and second in expected goals for per 60 minutes behind someone named Auston Matthews and his line.

If you wanted to go to anyone on this line as an addition, by all means I think it's great play. The reason I'm highlighting Bratt is because he has been the most of the three as of late with 18 points in his last 15 games. He's on New Jersey's second power-play unit, but this is a club that typically shares power-play time between both the first and second groups. If this unit continues to play the way that they have, this might be a great low owned spot to get ahead in your league. From a DFS prospective New Jersey two is usually an excellent filler spot with a more expensive line.

The Odd Man Out (His short-term value is cause for concern)

Jesse Puljujarvi, RW, Edmonton Oilers (Owned in 66% of ESPN leagues, 91% of Fantrax, 65% Yahoo)

Puljujarvi was skating on Edmonton's top line throughout the first month or so of the season and saw some power-play time as well. He was great to add on to any Oilers top line stack in DFS and in fantasy he was a nice player to have that could dunk an assist or two to either McDavid or Draisaitl. The reason he's now on odd man out is well, that's exactly what he is, now seeing time on Edmonton's third line. Oilers head coach Dave Tippett came out and said that this is in no way a demotion for Puljujarvi and sure, maybe it's not.

Puljujarvi can possibly get some softer matchups on the bottom six, but for fantasy this a worry. His season average for ice time is just over 17 minutes, however in the past week that number has dropped to around 13 and a half minutes. I'm not saying he can't be productive with less ice time in a different role but let's face it, not seeing time with McDavid is not exactly advantageous for putting up numbers in fantasy.

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The Anchors (They’ll do nothing but disappoint even over the long haul)

Jeff Petry, D, Montreal Canadiens (Owned in 65% of ESPN leagues, 70% of Fantrax, 70% Yahoo)

I wouldn't say that things are going great in Habsland this season and in fantasy it's been a nightmare as well. Petry has been a great player to roster in the past, but this season has not gone well for the 33-year-old defensemen.

The ownership numbers on him are very high across all platforms and I get it, Petry is a player who in the past four seasons has been up or over 40 points and is someone who both hits and blocks shots. This season so far in 24 games played the numbers are staggeringly low with just two points. He's still playing solid minutes but I don't see the turnaround coming, and honestly if you were looking to roster a Montreal defensemen Ben Chiarot might be a more viable option for you.

Love ‘Em (These squads are sure to pay dividends in the coming days)

This period runs from December 3rd to December 15th

Anaheim – As I mentioned earlier a very busy schedule upcoming for the Ducks is drawing me to them. Any club that helps fill a lineup is a Love ‘Em in my book.

NY Rangers – The Rangers have been moving forwards all around their lineup recently and yes, not the greatest even strength club but a busy schedule means plenty of chances to roster some Rangers in your lineup.

St. Louis – What do I love? A nice full schedule and to add to that they will play four games next week all on home ice. What do I not love would be COVID. Like last week with the Isles it's worth mentioning that Jordan Binnington will miss at least four games in protocol. Whether or not other members of the Blues will be affected or not remains to be seen, but it is something to keep an eye out for.

Leave ‘Em (These squads will leave fantasy owners sorely disappointed in the short term)

Ottawa – A pretty light and spread-out schedule upcoming is taking me off of them, this club hasn't looked great as of late, and I understand much of it may have to do with the club's COVID outbreak. In the past two weeks the Sens have the lowest expected goals for, I'd caution rostering them upcoming.

Boston – The B's have a western Canadian road trip upcoming where they'll be going into some tough matchups with back-to-back games vs Vancouver and Edmonton and then a tilt with Calgary.

Arizona – Arizona grades out pretty poorly in the Looking Ahead steer clear section. I mean…Maybe Karel Vejmelka has a couple more 46-save shutouts on the horizon?

Friday, December 3rd to Thursday, December 9th, 2021
Best Bets
NY Rangers 4.15 – Away CHI – Home SJS CHI COL
NY Islanders 4.09 – Away DET OTT – Home CHI NSH
Chicago 4.09 – Away NYR NYI MTL – Home NYR
Columbus 4.06 – Away WSH TOR – Home SJS ANA
Anaheim 3.98 – Away WAS BUF CBJ – Home CGY
 
Steer Clear
Buffalo 1.86 – Away CAR – Home ANA
Florida 1.90 – Away STL – Home STL
Pittsburgh 1.95 – Away VAN SEA
Arizona 2 – Away DAL – Home VGK
New Jersey 2.01 – Away WPG – Home PHI
Saturday, December 4th to Friday, December 10th, 2021
Best Bets
Nashville 4.30 – Away DET NYI NJD – Home MTL
Colorado 4.14 – Away OTT PHI NYR – Home DET
NY Rangers 4.09 – Away CHI BUF – Home CHI COL
NY Islanders 4.09 – Away DET OTT – Home CHI NSH
Chicago 4.09 – Away NYR NYI MTL – Home NYR
 
Steer Clear
Arizona 1.95 – Away DAL – Home FLA
Seattle 2 – Home PIT WPG
New Jersey 2.10 – Home PHI NSH
Ottawa 2.15 – Home COL NYI
San Jose 2.68 – Away CBJ – Home CGY MIN
Sunday, December 5th to Saturday, December 11th, 2021
Best Bets
Philadelphia 5.04 – Away NJD VGK ARI – Home TBL COL
Dallas 4.25 – Away VGK LAK SJS
NY Islanders 4.19 – Away OTT – Home CHI NSH NJD
Tampa Bay 4.04 – Away PHI MTL TOR OTT
Anaheim 4.04 – Away WSH BUF CBJ PIT
 
Steer Clear
Florida 2.04 – Away STL ARI
Ottawa 2.15 – Home NYI TBL
Carolina 2.42 – Away WPG CGY EDM
Boston 2.57 – Away VAN EDM CGY
Detroit 2.70 – Away STL COL – Home NSH
Monday, December 6th to Sunday, December 12th, 2021
Best Bets
Anaheim 4.94 – Away WSH BUF COL PIT STL
St.Louis 4.36 – Home FLA DET MTL ANA
Dallas 4.25 – Away VGK LAK SJS – Home ARI
Colorado 4.05 – Away PHI NYR – Home DET FLA
Philadelphia 4.03 – Away NJD VGK ARI – Home COL
 
Steer Clear
Ottawa 2.15 – Home NYI TBL
Boston 2.57 – Away VAN EDM CGY
Edmonton 2.68 – Home MIN BOS CAR
Detroit 2.70 – Away STL COL – Home NSH
San Jose 2.79 – Home CGY MIN DAL
Tuesday, December 7th to Monday December 13th, 2021
Best Bets
St.Louis 4.36 – Home FLA DET MTL ANA
Nashville 3.99 – Away DET NYI NJD NYR
NY Rangers 3.98 – Away CHI BUF – Home COL NSH
Anaheim 3.94 – Away BUF CBJ PIT STL
Calgary 3.88 – Away SJS CHI – Home CAR BOS
 
Steer Clear
Los Angeles 1.89 – Home DAL MIN
Seattle 2 – Home WPG CBJ
Pittsburgh 2.05 – Away WSH Home ANA
Ottawa 2.15 – Home NYI TBL
Arizona 2.15 – Home FLA PHI
Wednesday, December 8th to Tuesday, December 14th, 2021
Best Bets
St.Louis 4.31- Away DAL – Home DET MTL ANA
New Jersey 4.24 – Away NYI PHI – Home PHI NSH
Philadelphia 4.19 – Away NJD VGK ARI – Home NJD
Colorado 4 – Away NYR – Home DET FLA NYR
Dallas 3.99 – Away VGK LAK SJS – Home STL
 
Steer Clear
Ottawa 1.85 – Away FLA – Home TBL
Arizona 2.15 – Home FLA PHI
Washington 2.19 – Away BUF – Home PIT
Edmonton 2.73 – Home BOS CAR TOR
Los Angeles 2.75 – Away TBL – Home DAL MIN
Thursday, December 9th to Wednesday, December 15th, 2021
Best Bets
St.Louis 4.31 – Away DAL – Home DET MTL ANA
NY Rangers 4.08 – Away BUF COL ARI – Home NSH
Seattle – Away SJS ANA – Home WPG CBJ
Chicago 3.90 – Away MTL TOR – Home CGY WSH
Nashville 3.89 – Away NYI NJD NYR – Home CGY
 
Steer Clear
Ottawa 1.85 – Away FLA Home TBL
Boston 2.62 – Away EDM CGY – Home VGK
Edmonton 2.73 – Home BOS CAR TOR
Los Angeles 2.75 – Away TBL – Home DAL MIN
Toronto 2.76 – Away EDM – Home TBL CHI

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UPCOMING GAMES

Dec 27 - 19:12 DET vs TOR
Dec 27 - 19:12 BUF vs CHI
Dec 27 - 19:12 CBJ vs BOS
Dec 27 - 19:12 N.J vs CAR
Dec 27 - 20:12 DAL vs MIN
Dec 27 - 20:12 STL vs NSH
Dec 27 - 21:12 UTA vs COL
Dec 27 - 22:12 S.J vs VGK

Starting Goalies

Top Skater Views

  Players Team
KIRILL MARCHENKO CBJ
DYLAN HOLLOWAY STL
DMITRI VORONKOV CBJ
LUKE HUGHES N.J
MATT CORONATO CGY

Top Goalie Profile Views

  Players Team
LUKAS DOSTAL ANA
LOGAN THOMPSON WSH
JOHN GIBSON ANA
JET GREAVES CBJ
MACKENZIE BLACKWOOD COL

LINE COMBOS

  Frequency COL Players
22.0 VALERI NICHUSHKIN NATHAN MACKINNON ARTTURI LEHKONEN
16.9 LOGAN O'CONNOR JOEL KIVIRANTA PARKER KELLY
16.6 MIKKO RANTANEN CASEY MITTELSTADT ROSS COLTON

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