Looking Ahead: Niederreiter, Rodrigues, Oettinger, Toews, and More
Andrew Santillo
2021-12-10
Welcome back to another week of Looking Ahead, where we look ahead to the next week or so of NHL action and where fantasy owners can help or hurt their lineups. We will look at players to add, players possibly worth dropping, and teams that could have some tough schedules. Let's hop to it.
The Immediate Fix (Grab this guy and use him for the next several days)
Nino Niederreiter, LW/RW, Carolina Hurricanes (Available in 55% of ESPN leagues, 67% Fantrax, 81% Yahoo) – Could I interest anyone in seven points in his past six games and skating on Carolina's top line? Plus is there a more fun name to have on your roster like Nino Niederreiter? Answer there would be yes there's two, Jani Hakanpaa and the shot block bot himself, Artyom Zub. Regardless, there's a lot to like with what Niederreiter can help bring in the short term.
The Canes shift their lines around pretty frequently, but the latest iteration has had Niederreiter on the top line with Sebastian Aho and Teuvo Teravainen and that's a very good thing for his offensive upside. It seems like everything Aho touches turns to gold for a player that is excellent creating offense with whoever he is paired with. The Canes don't have a line that has stuck together for over 75 minutes of ice time so this could be a great short-term addition so long as Neiderreiter remains on the top line.
The Building Block (Buy now, sit back and enjoy the production)
Evan Rodrigues, C/RW, Pittsburgh Penguins (Available in 89% of ESPN leagues, 53% Fantrax, 68% Yahoo) – The Penguins have mixed up their top line a fair bit this season but it's not because they have been trying out different line combos, it has been navigating both injuries and COVID. When Bryan Rust went out due to a lower body injury it drew Evan Rodrigues onto the top line and if I'm Pittsburgh, I'd consider keeping him there even after Rust returns.
Rodrigues has been a great surprise for Pens fans and fantasy owners this season and what's made him so good are his shot rates; he has a SOG per 60 rate of 11.7 and just in the past five games alone has 26 shots on goal. Now one piece of news as of late is that his line mate Jake Guentzel is now considered week to week with an upper body injury and that could hurt Rodrigues's offensive production with Guentzel off to a scorching start to the season and a 13-game points streak. It looks like Kasperi Kapanen will draw into his spot on the top line with Rodrigues and Sidney Crosby and we'll have to see how that line works as a unit with almost zero ice time together as a trio. Rodrigues is playing top power play time and with Crosby who is looking more and more like himself following a COVID absence, adding Rodrigues might be a sneaky way to get excellent offensive production moving forward. On the DFS side of things this line is almost always fully correlated on power play one and with Guentzel out that makes this line even cheaper to full stack. I'll take a fully correlated line with in-check ownership at a decent price wherever I can get it.
The Odd Man Out (His short-term value is cause for concern)
Jake Oettinger, G, Dallas Stars (Owned in 60% of ESPN leagues, 65% of Fantrax, 54% Yahoo) – Look I get it, the goalie landscape is hard to navigate, especially in larger leagues where you start more than one netminder. For right now Jake Oettinger has some value but that might be coming to an end in the very near future.
The notifications started coming through this week that Ben Bishop is now back to playing and is starting games in the AHL which, barring any sort of setback, means that he will soon be back in Dallas. All of this points to Jake Oettinger being, well, the odd man out as I cannot see the Stars sending down Braden Holtby or Anton Khudobin instead of Oettinger. It's not a bad strategy at times to roster two or more goalies from the same club, especially one like Dallas where the workload is split but with Bishop coming back it could be the case where that workload is mainly rotated between himself and Braden Holtby. For Oettinger owners I would keep an eye on the news at just how close Bishop is to coming back to make sure you're not essentially burning a roster spot.
The Anchors (They’ll do nothing but disappoint even over the long haul)
Jonathan Toews, C, Chicago Blackhawks (Owned in 66% of ESPN leagues, 55% of Fantrax, 30% Yahoo) – It's been a very slow first 25 games for The Captain, so much so he has to be considered as an Anchor moving forward.
Toews scored his first goal of the year Thursday night, but most of his offensive production this far is his nine assists. Not exactly the fantasy production you're looking for from a top line center. Toews missed last season with a medical condition but just eye test here, he isn't really behind the play at all and has a good faceoff percentage and defensive numbers so we can't necessarily look to missing time as the reason for his current slump. If we're going to look at anything here it's that he's posting the lowest 5 on 5 shooting percentage of his career of 7.6, he's just not putting pucks on net. Maybe this is just small steps getting back into form but at the current pace of a 30-point season I think it might be the time to take a stroll down waiver wire avenue.
Love ‘Em (These squads are sure to pay dividends in the coming days)
This period runs from November 10th to December 16th
Carolina – They'll have a road tilt vs Minnesota that could pose as a challenge for this club but then come back to Raleigh for a nice homestand to finish next week. Carolina has players all up and down their roster that are highly owned in most leagues that makes Carolina a Love 'Em club this week.
Vancouver – I think we can all agree that Bruce Boudreau might not be able to solve every problem the Canucks have on the ice, but his track record has shown that at the very least their offense should improve. There's plenty of spots to like on this roster and with four games next week this is a fantastic spot for Vancouver coming up.
Boston – Okay everyone knows the drill here: Boston has a busy schedule coming up so that means plenty of chances to roster their first line. What makes the B's is a Love Em isn't just the amount of games they'll be playing coming up, but the clubs be seeing. Home matchups vs the Islanders, Canadiens, and Senators.
Leave ‘Em (These squads will leave fantasy owners sorely disappointed in the short term)
Anaheim – This week five games, next week two. It's the ebb and flow of a regular season schedule, the Ducks are a stay away next week.
San Jose – The Sharks also have a very light schedule coming up, it's a chance to get James Reimer back on the roster but until then Adin Hill should see the bulk of the workload.
Buffalo – The Sabres have a back-to-back vs the Rangers and Capitals to round out this week and then go on the road to play Winnipeg, Minnesota, and Pittsburgh. Yikes.
Friday, December 10th to Thursday, December 16th, 2021 |
Best Bets |
Florida 4.35 – Away ARI COL – Home OTT LAK |
Philadelphia 4.29 – Away VGK ARI MTL – Home NJD |
NY Rangers 4.18 – Away BUF COL ARI – Home NSH |
New Jersey 4.13 – Away NYI PHI – Home NSH VGK |
Minnesota 4.05- Away LAK VGK – Home CAR BUF |
Steer Clear |
Dallas 2.09 – Away SJS – Home STL |
Winnipeg 2.26 – Away VAN – Home BUF |
Los Angeles 2.46 – Away TBL FLA – Home MIN |
Ottawa 2.56 – Away FLA TBL – Home TBL |
Chicago 2.65 – Away TOR – Home CGY WSH |
Saturday, December 11th to Friday, December 17th, 2021 |
Best Bets |
Anaheim 4.16 – Away PIT STL – Home SEA ARI |
St.Louis 4.15 – Away DAL – Home MTL ANA DAL |
NY Rangers 4.09 – Away COL ARI – Home NSH VGK |
Minnesota 4.05 – Away LAK VGK – Home CAR BUF |
Nashville 3.89 – Away NYR CHI – Home CGY COL |
Steer Clear |
Detroit 2.02 – Away CAR – Home NYI |
Winnipeg 2.21 – Home BUF WSH |
Los Angeles 2.46 – Away TBL FLA- Home MIN |
Ottawa 2.56 – Away FLA TBL Home TBL |
Colorado 2.69- Away NSH – Home FLA NYR |
Sunday, December 12th to Saturday, December 18th, 2021 |
Best Bets |
NY Rangers 4.09 – Away COL ARI- Home NSH VGK |
Florida 3.97 – Away COL MIN – Home OTT LAK |
Carolina 3.96 – Away VAN MIN – Home DET LAK |
Minnesota 3.94 – Away VGK – Home SEA VAN |
Vancouver 3.93 – Away SJS – Home CAR CBJ TOR |
Steer Clear |
Arizona 1.85 – Away ANA – Home NYR |
Washington 1.90 – Away CHI WPG |
NY Islanders 1.99 – Away DET – Home BOS |
San Jose 2.15 – Home SEA VAN |
Winnipeg 2.21 – Home BUF WSH |
Monday, December 13th to Sunday, December 19th, 2021 |
Best Bets |
Boston 4.33- Away NYI MTL OTT – Home VGK |
Vancouver 4.30 – Away SJS – Home CBJ TOR ARI |
New Jersey 4.19 – Away PHI DET – Home VGK PIT |
Carolina 3.91- Away MIN – Home DET LAK NSH |
Vegas 3.85 – Away BOS NJD NYR NYI |
Steer Clear |
San Jose 2.15 – Home SEA VAN |
Anaheim 2.31 – Home SEA ARI |
Buffalo 2.57 – Away WPG MIN PIT |
Columbus 2.57 – Away VAN EDM CGY |
Colorado 2.80 – Away NSH – Home NYR TBL |
Tuesday, December 14th to Monday December 20th, 2021 |
Best Bets |
Boston 4.33 – Away NYI MTL OTT – Home VGK |
Vancouver 4.30 – Away SJS – Home CBJ TOR ARI |
NY Islanders 4.25 – Away DET – Home BOS VGK MTL |
New Jersey 4.19 – Away PHI DET – Home VGK PIT |
Detroit 4.17 – Away CAR – Home NYI NJD COL |
Steer Clear |
San Jose 2.15 – Home SEA VAN |
Calgary 2.80 – Away NSH – Home TOR CBJ |
Chicago 2.84 – Away DAL – Home WSH NSH |
Arizona 2.85 – Away ANA VAN – Home NYR |
St.Louis 2.86 – Away DAL WPG – Home DAL |
Wednesday, December 15th to Tuesday, December 21st, 2021 |
Best Bets |
Vancouver 4.34 – Away SJS SJS – Home TOR ARI |
Boston 4.17 – Away NYI MTL OTT – Home CAR |
New Jersey 4.10 – Away DET PIT – Home VGK PIT |
Carolina 4.01 – Away BOS – Home DET LAK NSH |
Washinton 4 – Away CHI WPG PHI – Home LAK |
Steer Clear |
NY Rangers 2.19 – Away ARI – Home VGK |
San Jose 2.21 – Home VAN VAN |
Los Angeles 2.42 – Away FLA CAR WSH |
Columbus 2.71 – Away EDM CGY BUF |
Toronto 2.76 – Away CGY VAN SEA |
Thursday, December 16th to Wednesday, December 22nd, 2021 |
Best Bets |
Vancouver 4.34 – Away SJS SJS – Home TOR ARI |
Boston 4.17 – Away NYI MTL OTT – Home CAR |
New Jersey 4.10 – Away DET PIT – Home VGK PIT |
Montreal 4.10 – Away NYI NYR – Home PHI BOS |
Carolina 4.01 – Away BOS – Home DET LAK NSH |
Steer Clear |
San Jose 2.21 – Home VAN VAN |
NY Rangers 2.26 – Home VGK MTL |
Columbus 2.71 – Away EDM CGY BUF |
Chicago 2.74 – Away DAL – Home NSH FLA |
Toronto 2.76 – Away CGY VAN SEA |