Fantasy Hockey Poll: Is There Still Hope?

Rick Roos

2021-12-29

Some players take longer to achieve success than others. The problem is, if you wait for success to occur it might never happen. The magic question therefore becomes which players are simply late bloomers versus ones who won't truly bloom at all; and that's the subject of our poll.

Below is a list of 19 skaters, each having played 200-500 NHL games. In some cases – due to their size and/or their position – they technically might not have reached their breakout threshold. Still, they've logged enough games for there to be doubt regarding whether they have what it takes to become successful. What exactly defines success? For this poll, let's say it's 70+ point scoring for forwards, while for defensemen it's 50+ points.

The list of 19 is in alphabetical order, with – as of the Christmas break – each player's age, his total career games played, and his career high in scoring pace plus when that high was – or is now being – achieved. The voting link is at the bottom the column.

To reiterate, you should vote for any and all players whom you believe can ascend to heights where it is realistic for them: 70+ points for a forward, or 50+ points for a defenceman. Don't vote for someone if you think they might "succeed" just once – only do so if you think believe they'll become a player who can be drafted with their respective point mark as a realistic expectation. Just to be clear, you should vote for them even if you think they won't hit their applicable point mark this season. What if you believe that none of the 19 will achieve their respective point mark? Then you should vote for the "none of the above" choice at the end of the poll. Without further ado, here's the list.

Anthony Beauvillier (Age: 24; Games Played: 356; Best Scoring Pace: 49 points in 2020-21)

Perhaps no player runs as scorching hot but also as freezing cold as Beauvillier, who had point per game stretches stretch of 10+ games in each of the past two seasons, but also ran just as bad for as long or even longer stretches, with the result being frustrated owners. Still, he's not that old and will be a UFA at age 27 after 2023-24, so there's seemingly reason to be hopeful.

Sam Bennett (Age: 26; Games Played: 436; Best Scoring Pace: 48 points this season)

He arrived in Florida with low expectations then proceeded to post 15 points in just ten games, firing shots and delivering hits left and right. This season he's still shooting, but the points aren't there, at least not yet. At his age and on this team, and given the type of game he plays plus his pedigree of being a fourth overall pick, he has a good chance to connect the dots.

J.T. Compher (Age: 26; Games Played: 286; Best Scoring Pace: 60 points this season)

Before getting hurt it looked like all the ingredients were there for Compher to have a great season, with a spot on the second line for the Avs, which is as good as some teams' top line, and a regular shift on PP1. It looked like his spots might get taken by Valeri Nichushkin and Andre Burakovsky, yet upon his return from injury Compher was back on PP1 and skating in the top six, paving the way for good results now and, one would think, an even brighter future.

Jonathan Drouin (Age: 26; Games Played: 418; Best Scoring Pace: 60 points in 2016-17)

You'd figure Drouin was already 30 years old given all he's been through, from the early drama with Tampa to him coming back strong there, then getting dealt to Montreal, where he has struggled and left the team for personal reasons last season. He's tough to write off, given what we've seen from him in the past and even in flashes recently.

Christian Dvorak (Age: 25; Games Played: 329; Best Scoring Pace: 45 points in 2019-20 & 2020-21)

Once Arizona's prized prospect, Dvorak didn't work out as planned, and the Coyotes dished him to Montreal. Dvorak is certainly still young enough to break out, and has talent; however, he looks to be pivoting toward a career as a defense-first middle six forward, which would make it difficult for him to succeed. Then again, look what happened with Sean Couturier….

Nico Hischier (Age: 22; Games Played: 255; Best Scoring Pace: 56 points in 2018-19)

When the Devils grabbed Jack Hughes, some had visions of him and Hischier forming a duo of centers which could be among the best one-two punches in the league. However, Hischier has yet to show the talent that made him a first overall selection, plus he has started to drift into Band-Aid Boy territory. He might need to change teams to truly live up to his potential.

Alex Iafallo (Age: 28; Games Played: 312; Best Scoring Pace: 52 points this season)

Every season you think Iafallo will break out, but he hasn't….at least not thus far. He's played well enough to keep his spot in the top six, although with LA about to have an influx of young talent it's not clear if Iafallo will continue to get top deployment. Perhaps he too might benefit from a trade once the LA youth movement is in full swing.

Kasperi Kapanen (Age: 25; Games Played: 272; Best Scoring Pace: 62 points in 2020-21)

Coveted by the Pens, and a second generation NHLer, Kapanen has been joined at the hip with Evgeni Malkin. In years past that would've been music to poolies' ears; but Malkin is getting hurt even more so than usual, plus he started slow in 2020-21, suggesting age and cumulative injuries may be catching up to him. That won't help Kapanen, nor will him being on the outside looking in when it comes to the PP1 picture.

Adrian Kempe (Age: 25; Games Played: 342; Best Scoring Pace: 46 points this season)

Much of what was said above about Iafallo can be said about Kempe, although unlike Iafallo Kempe is younger and is an impending RFA, which means he will likely get paid enough to keep him in the top six. Can he maintain that spot amidst pressure from youngsters? It remains to be seen, as does whether Kempe can fulfill expectations.

Jared McCann (Age: 25; Games Played: 378; Best Scoring Pace: 61 points in 2020-21)

One of the prized picks for the Kraken, poolies figured McCann would get the red carpet rolled out for him. Although he's firmly within the top six, his ice time hasn't really improved and he's not logging big PP minutes. The way Seattle is playing its top nine might make it difficult for anyone there, McCann included, to score in droves.

Josh Morrissey (Age: 26; Games Played: 374; Best Scoring Pace: 43 points in 2018-19)

Last season Morrissey had all the PP time he could handle, and didn't capitalize. Relegated to PP2 now, Morrissey still has favorable deployment otherwise, and the Jets are up tempo enough to envision a scenario where he could achieve success, although with both Neal Pionk and Nate Schmidt inked through 2024-25 that might be a tall order.

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Colton Parayko (Age: 28; Games Played: 449; Best Scoring Pace: 40 points this season)

Just when poolies had a glimmer of hope for Parayko to have a chance to display the offense of his early career, in walks Scott Perunovich. Parayko's new deal pays him enough to keep him in the equation, but not so much as to make him a "the guy" type of #1 d-man in all respects.

Ivan Provorov (Age: 24; Games Played: 400; Best Scoring Pace: 43 points in 2019-20)

In real life hockey, he might be the best player on the entire list. However, that talent seems to be working against rather than for him in terms of fantasy output, as while Provorov does all the dirty work others get the cushy deployment. One has to think though, that a day will come when he'll do it all, and that includes piling on points.

Ryan Pulock (Age: 27; Games Played: 301; Best Scoring Pace: 42 points in 2019-20)

Can I cut and paste the Provorov entry here? Say what you want about Barry Trotz, but he's a creature of habit, and with Pulock that habit is defensive-first, and PP scraps. Yet with Trotz all but assuredly gone after his current deal expires in 2023, if not sooner, Pulock should finally get the chance to show what he's truly made of.

Jack Roslovic (Age: 24; Games Played: 255; Best Scoring Pace: 58 points in 2020-21)

Everything seemed to be falling into place for Roslovic to explode this season. Columbus had a bevy of talented wingers but no true #1 center, although Roslovic's excellent 2020-21 looked to give him the inside track for the gig. Fast forward to now, however, and Roslovic has taken a big step back, leaving poolies to wonder if he'll ever pan out.

Nick Schmaltz (Age: 25; Games Played: 310; Best Scoring Pace: 55 points in 2017-18)

Yes, he has trouble staying healthy; however, his four most recent seasons all saw him produce at a 50-55 point scoring rate, which is pretty darn good considering more than half that time was spend in the offensive wasteland that is Arizona. Can he both stay healthy and still see his offensive numbers improve? Tough to say.

Mikhail Sergachev (Age: 23; Games Played: 312; Best Scoring Pace: 44 points in 2020-21)

Possessing unquestioned talent, Sergachev has been stuck behind Victor Hedman, arguably the best combination of real-life skill and fantasy excellence from the blueline since Hall of Famer Nicklas Lidstrom. Some day though, due to Hedman finally slowing or getting injured, one has to think Sergachev will get his chance to shine, and I for one wouldn't bet against him doing so.

Jakub Vrana (Age: 25; Games Played: 295; Best Scoring Pace: 62 points in 2019-20)

Remember that Vrana played point per game hockey in 11 contests after coming to Detroit, and he'll be back in the not too distant future. The question is whether there's room on the top line for him given the strong play of Lucas Raymond and, if not, can he succeed despite not playing alongside Dylan Larkin and/or Tyler Bertuzzi?

Pavel Zacha (Age: 24; Games Played: 346; Best Scoring Pace: 57 points in 2020-21)

This is a guy who saw his scoring pace improve in each of the last four seasons and now is also firing the puck at a high rate. He's locked into the top six and, seemingly, to PP1 as well, so the ingredients are there for him to produce.

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As a reminder, vote for any and all players you believe can not only hit 70+ points (if a forward) or 50+ (if a d-man) but also have the applicable point mark be their expected output – that is, don't just vote for a guy if you think he can hit the mark once then just as quickly fade back to lower totals. Or vote for "none of the above" if you think none will do so. Click here to vote.

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Questions for Mailbag Column

My monthly mailbag column runs next week and I'm definitely still looking for questions. To get yours to me, you can either private message “rizzeedizzee” via the DobberHockey Forums or, instead, send an email to [email protected] with “Roos Mailbag” as the subject line.

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