Fantasy Take: Wild and Avalanche Swap Sturm and Jost

Michael Clifford

2022-03-15

The Colorado Avalanche have started to get the trade deadline in motion of late. They traded for Josh Manson on Monday, and on Tuesday followed that up by trading Tyson Jost. The 24-year-old has appeared in over 300 regular season games for the Avalanche but seemed to have plateaued as a bottom-6 piece, and so they made a deal to send him to Minnesota:

It isn't often we see a straight swap in the same division, less often for a 10th overall pick in his age-23 season after having 300 games with the team. It does seem part of the impetus is to clear some cap for Colorado, as this saves them over $1M in space. Let's get to the players involved.

What Minnesota gets

It wasn't long ago they traded for a first rounder (11th overall this time) from Nashville that the team had moved on from and that trade has worked out pretty well for them. But Tyson Jost is not Kevin Fiala; the same underlying metrics the have propelled Fiala to a 30-goal/40-assist per 82 games pace over the last two years are not evident with Jost. Fiala was a heavy volume shooter with excellent zone exit/entry numbers, Jost is none of those things. From Corey Sznajder's play tracking data, he was basically league average last year by shot rate and zone entry with control, and has performed poorly in those areas this year.

What is curious about Jost is that he typically had good defensive impacts. This is from Evolving Hockey and were his three years prior to 2021-22: