Cap League Goalie Rankings – May 2022

Alexander MacLean

2022-05-26

With the big update to the goalie rankings, we overhaul the top-10, as a lot of our bargain goalies from last season are now due for raises. That's going to make for an expensive summer on the goalie market, with Ville Husso, Jack Campbell, Vitek Vanecek, and others all looking for multiple millions more than they were making this past year – $0 is currently shown as the cap hit of impending free agents.

In the initial rankings for the 2022-23 campaign, we see that there aren't as many bargain goalies near the top, and that it's more about the proven commodities. That is in part due to how the projections here work, but also because the goalies on the smaller contracts usually have to work their way into more playing time, either because of an injury, a starter in a slump, or occasionally a trade. Keep an eye on where Eric Comrie and Alexandar Georgiev end up, as they have the potential to jump up the rankings.

If you're looking for other bargains, the Avalanche have a few players to re-sign, and they may look to cup costs in net. With Pavel Fancouz back in the fold on another $2 million deal, there is room (and injury potential to Francouz) for Justus Annunen to come in and see a lot of starts. On the other side of the first-round sweep, Juuse Saros is showing his wear after being one of the busiest goalies over the past three seasons, and we may see Connor Ingram step into a larger role next year. In Edmonton, they seem to have an issue with acquiring new goalies, so the opening in there for Stuart Skinner to split time with Mike Smith next fall. Smith will be 41, and on the last year of his contract. With Edmonton likely to win a lot of games (though the defence is a little suspect) there should be some excellent volume to share between the goalies.

Standard pre-rankings note:

This isn't meant to be a be-all and end-all rating system for you to use without thinking and just trade your players for anyone above them on the list that you can find, but used with some foresight for managing salaries. Cap hit is used for the player cost, so if your league uses salary or AAV, please account for that, as it can greatly change the impact of rookies. The rankings are set up so as to provide the most value in the current season, while providing some value in future years, based on modeling for predicted salary increases and production growth.

The stats used for the goaltenders attempt to balance both ratio stats as well as volume. For those of you with variations towards either end of the spectrum, leaning more towards volume or rate stats, you will want to account for that change in value. Same thing goes for setting variations such as: number of teams, salary space, or roster positions. This list is made to be a baseline guide for player evaluation, and to promote discussion and understanding of how to optimize rosters in a cap league setting.

The goalie list comes not only with a rankings system, but with value tiers. The tiers (also computed by a formula of mine) represent a more general view on a goalie's value taking into account a few overarching factors. Cheap backups can have higher ratings but show up lower down the tier rankings. The high ranking is due to their low cap hits coupled with an established floor with some possible upside. The lower tier is a result of them having uncertain volume, and the lower likelihood of hitting their upside in any given year. In general, aim to have the highest rated players if you are looking to be most cap efficient, but use the tiers if you just want to focus on having the best goalies and you are comfortable paying a little more for that security (my preference is usually to lean towards the more cap efficient options because of how variable goalies can be).

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If you note a mistake, or have any further questions about the ranking system, please let me know. You can find me on Twitter here @alexdmaclean.

Comments help with optimizing the values, because they're not perfect and they never will be.

We're sticking with the +/- 5.0 rating that Dobber uses on all of his rating schemes as the range for approximately equivalent value. The skater and goalie rankings are synched so that the value of a skater against a goalie can be compared, though the scale of the ratings has changed a little since the last update.

RankNameAgeCap HitYrsRatingTierPrev Rnk
1Jeremy Swayman23$925,0001237.8331
2Igor Shesterkin26$5,666,6673207.5117
3Jacob Markstrom32$6,000,0004168.25113
4Pavel Francouz31$2,000,0002166.49224
5Tristan Jarry27$3,500,0001166.0518
6Frederik Andersen32$4,500,0001165.0819
7Ilya Sorokin26$4,000,0002164.69212
8Anton Forsberg29$2,750,0003160.41317
9Juuse Saros27$5,000,0003156.87211
10Andrei Vasilevskiy27$9,500,0006133.23216
11Jake Oettinger23$00133.0025
12Cam Talbot34$3,666,6661130.26323
13Alex Nedeljkovic26$3,000,0001130.25321
14Jack Campbell30$00130.1024
15James Reimer34$2,250,0001129.87419
16Robin Lehner30$5,000,0003129.62215
17Logan Thompson25$766,6673128.145NR
18Marc-Andre Fleury37$00126.13541
19Connor Hellebuyck29$6,166,6662124.10420
20Darcy Kuemper32$00123.73210
21Ville Husso27$00120.1933
22Jake Allen31$2,875,0001119.78438
23Thatcher Demko26$5,000,0004118.17418
24Dan Vladar24$750,0001111.704NR
25Anthony Stolarz28$950,0001110.74535
26Ilya Samsonov25$00108.26514
27Vitek Vanecek26$00108.0542
28Spencer Knight21$925,0001107.34344
29Linus Ullmark28$5,000,0003105.42228
30Sergei Bobrovsky33$10,000,0004104.77227
31Elvis Merzlikins28$5,400,0005103.93425
32Antti Raanta33$2,000,0001102.84337
33Alexandar Georgiev26$00102.39647
34Joonas Korpisalo28$1,300,000199.08643
35Petr Mrazek30$3,800,000298.17453
36Martin Jones32$0093.90654
37John Gibson28$6,400,000591.63426
38Cal Petersen27$5,000,000391.5756
39Carter Hart23$3,979,000289.38429
40Adin Hill26$2,175,000188.54433
41Braden Holtby32$0087.44642
42Laurent Brossoit29$2,325,000186.92657
43Eric Comrie26$0085.78432
44Casey DeSmith30$0084.35636
45Jordan Binnington28$6,000,000584.24549
46Philipp Grubauer30$5,900,000583.14446
47Mike Smith40$2,200,000181.835NR
48Connor Ingram25$733,333180.906NR
49Jonathan Quick36$5,800,000179.84550
50Scott Wedgewood29$0078.60630
51Mackenzie Blackwood25$2,800,000175.13548
52Semyon Varlamov34$5,000,000172.97656
53Kaapo Kahkonen25$0071.42622
54Brian Elliott37$900,000171.09755
55Ivan Fedotov25$925,000167.664NR
56Sam Montembeault25$0064.94651
57Karel Vejmelka38$2,725,000364.29531
58Craig Anderson41$0063.60640
59Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen23$0062.03560
60Filip Gustavsson23$787,500161.335NR
61Matt Murray27$6,250,000258.755NR
62Justus Annunen22$880,833151.125NR

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