DFS Saturday: Going Against the Grain

Stephen Dotzel

2022-06-11

In Thursday's article, we pieced together a lineup that I entered in the $15 DraftKings Showdown contest that paid $20,000 to 1st place. Thanks to a Brandon Hagel empty net goal and a postgame scoring adjustment that changed Tampa Bay's second goal from Mikhail Sergachev to Ondrej Palat, I was able to come away with a $20 profit with that lineup. Just a hair shy of the $20,000 we were hoping for. No worries though, DraftKings is running the same contest for tonight, so we've got another chance at that 20K!

The main point of Thursday's article was talking about reverse engineering your showdown lineup based on the outcome you expected. If you missed it, you can read that article here. We'll stick to that thought process once again.

With the Lightning riding a three-game winning streak in the series and returning to home ice where they are 2-0 this round, they are firmly entrenched as the Vegas favorite. Despite this, since I like going against the grain and because I selfishly want to see a Game 7, I'm going with a Rangers stack in the hopes this series goes the distance with something like a 4-1 Rangers win.

The goalies have been front and center this entire series and I'm hoping Igor Shesterkin has another stellar performance lined up.  I'm going to roll with him in my Captain spot as I expect the Lightning to get plenty of shots on goal at home. Hopefully Shesterkin stops most if not all and can rack up a big score. That's something that likely happens if the score is in fact close to 4-1.

As far as skaters, if the Rangers are going to win this game their big guns are going to have to step up, which is something they've been doing with their backs against the wall in previous series. I'm looking at Mika Zibanejad, Chris Kreider, and Artemi Panarin. Those three are pricey so to provide some value I'm adding in K'Andre Miller in the hopes he can kick in as assist and maybe hit the three blocked shot bonus.

That leaves one spot in my lineup, which has to be a Lightning player, so I'm going to stick with Brandon Hagel as he's been kind to us of late with a goal and ten shots over the last three games. It helps he's priced well below anyone else in Tampa's top six.

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That's a wrap, so best of luck with your lineups! If you follow me on Twitter @SteveDotzel you can subscribe to my "DFS-NHL" list which is comprised of several team beat writers tweeting the most recent news in real-time. You can also reach out to me personally and I'll do my best to answer any questions I can. Hope to see you on top of the leaderboards!

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UPCOMING GAMES

Dec 23 - 13:12 N.J vs NYR
Dec 23 - 14:12 TOR vs WPG
Dec 23 - 19:12 DET vs STL
Dec 23 - 19:12 CBJ vs MTL
Dec 23 - 19:12 BOS vs WSH
Dec 23 - 19:12 FLA vs T.B
Dec 23 - 19:12 PIT vs PHI
Dec 23 - 19:12 NYI vs BUF
Dec 23 - 20:12 NSH vs CAR
Dec 23 - 20:12 MIN vs CHI
Dec 23 - 21:12 UTA vs DAL
Dec 23 - 21:12 VAN vs S.J
Dec 23 - 22:12 VGK vs ANA

Starting Goalies

Top Skater Views

  Players Team
JACKSON LACOMBE ANA
LANE HUTSON MTL
PATRIK LAINE MTL
SHANE PINTO OTT
JONATHAN HUBERDEAU CGY

Top Goalie Profile Views

  Players Team
MACKENZIE BLACKWOOD COL
SPENCER KNIGHT FLA
DAVID RITTICH L.A
LUKAS DOSTAL ANA
JACOB MARKSTROM N.J

LINE COMBOS

  Frequency MIN Players
20.0 MATS ZUCCARELLO MARCO ROSSI KIRILL KAPRIZOV
17.3 MARCUS JOHANSSON FREDERICK GAUDREAU MATT BOLDY
17.1 MARAT KHUSNUTDINOV RYAN HARTMAN MARCUS FOLIGNO

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