Cap League Goalie Rankings – July 2022

Alexander MacLean

2022-07-26

Here are the top 62 goalies to own in your salary cap league – May 26th, 2022 edition.

The music on the goalie carousel has stopped once again, and the market seems to be just about fully shaken out. Vitek Vanecek and Alexandar Georgiev are the two winners, with Georgiev winning the plum spot in Colorado, and Vanecek landing himself a great new contract on an up-and-coming team that just needs a decent goaltender in order to be a playoff team.

Based on a little addition by subtraction, Marc-Andre Fleury lost his running-mate in Cam Talbot, and looks to be in line for a lot of starts on a good Minnesota team for the next two years. His fair contract is also great for the team and for fantasy owners. Also turning out well for fantasy owners, is Ilya Samsonov competing with band-aid-boy Matt Murray for the starting job in Toronto. He's also on a super friendly deal, will still be an RFA at the end of it, and will be motivated for that next contract.

On the flip side, the big money handed out to Darcy Kuemper, Jack Campbell, and Ville Husso will leave the fantasy managers that hold them with some doubts, as goalies often have trouble adjusting to new teams to begin with, and none of them moved on to a better defensive team.

Standard pre-rankings note:

This isn't meant to be a be-all and end-all rating system for you to use without thinking and just trade your players for anyone above them on the list that you can find, but used with some foresight for managing salaries. Cap hit is used for the player cost, so if your league uses salary or AAV, please account for that, as it can greatly change the impact of rookies. The rankings are set up so as to provide the most value in the current season, while providing some value in future years, based on modeling for predicted salary increases and production growth.

The stats used for the goaltenders attempt to balance both ratio stats as well as volume. For those of you with variations towards either end of the spectrum, leaning more towards volume or rate stats, you will want to account for that change in value. Same thing goes for setting variations such as: number of teams, salary space, or roster positions. This list is made to be a baseline guide for player evaluation, and to promote discussion and understanding of how to optimize rosters in a cap league setting.

The goalie list comes not only with a rankings system, but with value tiers. The tiers (also computed by a formula of mine) represent a more general view on a goalie's value taking into account a few overarching factors. Cheap backups can have higher ratings but show up lower down the tier rankings. The high ranking is due to their low cap hits coupled with an established floor with some possible upside. The lower tier is a result of them having uncertain volume, and the lower likelihood of hitting their upside in any given year. In general, aim to have the highest rated players if you are looking to be most cap efficient, but use the tiers if you just want to focus on having the best goalies and you are comfortable paying a little more for that security (my preference is usually to lean towards the more cap efficient options because of how variable goalies can be).

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If you note a mistake, or have any further questions about the ranking system, please let me know. You can find me on Twitter here @alexdmaclean.

Comments help with optimizing the values, because they're not perfect and they never will be.

We're sticking with the +/- 5.0 rating that Dobber uses on all of his rating schemes as the range for approximately equivalent value. The skater and goalie rankings are synched so that the value of a skater against a goalie can be compared, though the scale of the ratings has changed a little since the last update.

RankNameAgeCap HitYrsRatingTierPrev Rnk
1Jeremy Swayman23$925,0001237.8331
2Igor Shesterkin26$5,666,6673207.5112
3Pavel Francouz32$2,000,0002195.9024
4Ilya Samsonov25$1,800,0001187.60326
5Logan Thompson25$766,6673167.02517
6Tristan Jarry27$3,500,0001166.0515
7Frederik Andersen32$4,500,0001165.0816
8Ilya Sorokin26$4,000,0002164.6927
9Anton Forsberg29$2,750,0003159.4538
10Juuse Saros27$5,000,0003156.8729
11Vitek Vanecek26$3,400,0003150.55227
12Jacob Markstrom32$6,000,0004149.6013
13Jack Campbell30$5,000,0005146.78114
14Thatcher Demko26$5,000,0004139.47223
15Darcy Kuemper32$5,250,0005138.54120
16Charlie Lindgren28$1,100,0003135.983NR
17Alexandar Georgiev26$3,400,0003135.75333
18Andrei Vasilevskiy27$9,500,0006133.23210
19Jake Oettinger23RFA0133.00211
20Connor Hellebuyck29$6,166,6662124.10419
21Ville Husso27$4,750,0003123.08221
22Jake Allen31$2,875,0001119.78422
23Cam Talbot35$3,666,6661118.37412
24Dan Vladar24$750,0001116.35424
25Jordan Binnington29$6,000,0005114.39445
26James Reimer34$2,250,0001111.94515
27Anthony Stolarz28$950,0001110.74525
28Filip Gustavsson24$787,5001109.56460
29Marc-Andre Fleury37$3,500,0002107.42518
30Spencer Knight21$925,0001107.34328
31Linus Ullmark28$5,000,0003105.42229
32Sergei Bobrovsky33$10,000,0004104.77230
33Elvis Merzlikins28$5,400,0005103.93431
34Antti Raanta33$2,000,0001102.84332
35Adin Hill26$2,175,000199.63440
36Joonas Korpisalo28$1,300,000199.08634
37Spencer Martin27$762,500298.784NR
38Eric Comrie27$1,800,000296.46443
39Robin Lehner30$5,000,000395.82316
40Casey DeSmith30$1,800,000294.79544
41Alex Nedeljkovic26$3,000,000193.49513
42John Gibson29$6,400,000592.26437
43Cal Petersen27$5,000,000391.57538
44Philipp Grubauer30$5,900,000589.67446
45Carter Hart23$3,979,000289.66439
46Scott Wedgewood29$1,000,000182.40550
47Petr Mrazek30$3,800,000278.49535
48Felix Sandstrom25$775,000276.154NR
49Jonathan Quick36$5,800,000175.35549
50Semyon Varlamov34$5,000,000172.97652
51Brian Elliott37$900,000171.09754
52Laurent Brossoit29$2,325,000170.47642
53Mackenzie Blackwood25$2,800,000169.37551
54Joel Hofer21$795,000165.995NR
55Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen23RFA064.17559
56Matt Murray28$6,250,000261.97561
57Craig Anderson41$1,500,000161.90658
58Sam Montembeault25$1,000,000157.75656
59David Rittich29$900,000153.626NR
60Kaapo Kahkonen25$2,750,000253.40653
61Erik Kallgren25$750,000150.215NR
62Martin Jones32$2,000,000149.81636

3 Comments

  1. Frode Lyshaugen 2022-07-26 at 18:10

    I don’t understand the rating and tier for Fleury. Especially considering what you wrote in the intro. Should he rank much higher?

    • Alexander MacLean 2022-07-26 at 22:01

      If the tiering was done manually, then yes he probably would be in a higher tier, but I have the tiers spit out based on a few different weighted factors, and at this point Fleury’s age and his lack of volume last season tend to show a goalie in decline, so we can’t expect him to be a sure thing to bounce back for 60 starts and 30 wins. I may be higher on him, but the numbers are telling a different story at this point.

      • Frode Lyshaugen 2022-07-27 at 04:45

        I understand. Thanks for the reply!

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