DFS Tuesday: Leafs Looming Large; Goals in Buffalo; Tomas Hertl Against Arizona

Brad Hayward

2022-12-13

Last night's games were a fantasy-hockey dreamland for goalies, with five of the six games played having three or fewer goals scored. If my math skills haven't failed me, the combined save percentage for the 12 netminders was 0.945. Offensive kudos to Evgeni Malkin and Brayden Schenn, each scoring dramatic game-winners after 9-game scoring droughts.  

With their win over Dallas, the Pittsburgh Penguins are now 11-1-1 through their past 13 contests, and have moved from playoff hopefuls, into second place in the Metropolitan Division.  (Yes, Carolina has games in hand, for you purists.) The Pens have averaged 3.61 goals scored over that span and surrendered a miserly 2.08 goals against. In at least two of my fantasy leagues, though, Pittsburgh has only one player (Sidney Crosby) whose season rank is in the top-50.  "By committee" sounds like a cliché, but the team has 13 skaters already with 10+ points.  The Hurricanes and Penguins have two meetings before Christmas, so the Metro may look clearer at the break.  

Daily fantasy for Tuesday (12 games tonight):

Could there be a bigger – on paper – mismatch than the Anaheim Ducks playing in Toronto?  The Leafs are every bit as hot as Pittsburgh, 14-1-4 since November 1st, and with both Matt Murray and Ilya Samsonov playing their best, the team GAA is well under 2.3 for that stretch (Samsonov 1.00 for past 4 starts). The Ducks, well… 30th in team scoring, and a minus-53 goal differential. I'd go all-in. Play confirmed-starter Samsonov (DraftKings $8400), with at least four of Mitch Marner ($7000), John Tavares ($6700), William Nylander ($6600), Michael Bunting ($4200), and Rasmus Sandin ($4100). Never up, never in.  

The other game that intrigues me offensively is Los Angeles at Buffalo.   These are high-scoring and defensively challenged squads and shouldn't be left off your betting consideration this evening.   If you skip Tavares from the list above, you can fit in Dylan Cozens ($5600), Owen Power ($3400), and Gabriel Vilardi ($5300) for what could be a shootout.    

My personal play add is Tomas Hertl ($5400) as my second center.  

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Have a great day!   @dokhockey

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UPCOMING GAMES

Dec 23 - 13:12 N.J vs NYR
Dec 23 - 14:12 TOR vs WPG
Dec 23 - 19:12 DET vs STL
Dec 23 - 19:12 CBJ vs MTL
Dec 23 - 19:12 BOS vs WSH
Dec 23 - 19:12 FLA vs T.B
Dec 23 - 19:12 PIT vs PHI
Dec 23 - 19:12 NYI vs BUF
Dec 23 - 20:12 NSH vs CAR
Dec 23 - 20:12 MIN vs CHI
Dec 23 - 21:12 UTA vs DAL
Dec 23 - 21:12 VAN vs S.J
Dec 23 - 22:12 VGK vs ANA

Starting Goalies

Top Skater Views

  Players Team
JACKSON LACOMBE ANA
LANE HUTSON MTL
PATRIK LAINE MTL
SHANE PINTO OTT
JONATHAN HUBERDEAU CGY

Top Goalie Profile Views

  Players Team
MACKENZIE BLACKWOOD COL
SPENCER KNIGHT FLA
DAVID RITTICH L.A
LUKAS DOSTAL ANA
LINUS ULLMARK OTT

LINE COMBOS

  Frequency STL Players
31.5 ROBERT THOMAS ALEXANDRE TEXIER PAVEL BUCHNEVICH
27.9 BRAYDEN SCHENN JORDAN KYROU DYLAN HOLLOWAY
24.5 NATHAN WALKER ALEXEY TOROPCHENKO MATHIEU JOSEPH

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