Cap League Goalie Rankings – March 2023

Alexander MacLean

2023-03-26

Luckily after spending a lot of time revamping the skater rankings, to have the goalie list similarly represent the best players first, while still having the value column as a reference, all I had to do was sort by the Value column first, and then the Tier column. Top-tier goalies are very hard to come by, and after the year Ilya Sorokin has had, he rightly deserves to be number one. A case might be able to be made for Igor Shesterkin, but the difference in salary breaks any tie you might be able to come up with.

Boston having two goalies in the top-five is a testament to three things:

-The absolute dominance their team has displayed this year.

-The excellent numbers both goalies have posted on reasonable contracts.

-The goalie rotation they have strictly kept that has allowed both to be relevant in any league format.

If Swayman's impending contract forces one of them to move on, then the increase in volume should offset any decrease in ratio stats, and both should maintain elite numbers. The remaining goalie would also likely see an increase in volume, but that may also be offset by the Bruins coming back down to earth, especially if Patrice Bergeron and/or David Krejci don't re-sign.

Standard pre-rankings note:

Cap hit is used for the player cost, so if your league uses salary or AAV, please account for that, as it can greatly change the impact of entry-level deals. The rankings are set up so as to provide the most value in the current season, while providing some value in future years, based on modeling for predicted salary increases and production growth.

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The stats used for the goaltenders attempt to balance both ratio stats as well as volume. For those of you with variations towards either end of the spectrum, leaning more towards volume or rate stats, you will want to account for that change in value. Same thing goes for setting variations such as: number of teams, salary space, or roster positions. This list is made to be a baseline guide for player evaluation, and to promote discussion and understanding of how to optimize rosters in a cap league setting.

The goalie list comes not only with a value system, but with value tiers. The tiers (also computed by a formula of mine) represent a more general view on a goalie's value taking into account a few overarching factors. Cheap backups can have higher ratings but show up lower down the tier rankings. The high ranking is due to their low cap hits coupled with an established floor with some possible upside. The lower tier is a result of them having uncertain volume, and the lower likelihood of hitting their upside in any given year. In general, aim to have the highest rated players if you are looking to be most cap efficient, but use the tiers if you just want to focus on having the best goalies and you are comfortable paying a little more for that security (my preference is usually to lean towards the more cap efficient options because of how variable goalies can be).

If you note a mistake, or have any further questions about the ranking system, please let me know. You can find me on Twitter here @alexdmaclean.

Comments help with optimizing the values, because they're not perfect and they never will be.

RankNameAgeCap HitYrsValueTierPrev Rnk
1Ilya Sorokin27$4,000,0002247.3515
2Igor Shesterkin27$5,666,6673238.4112
3Linus Ullmark29$5,000,0003222.6618
4Jake Oettinger24$4,000,0003219.7714
5Jeremy Swayman24$925,0001247.6023
6Alexandar Georgiev27$3,400,0003241.7929
7Vitek Vanecek27$3,400,0003221.2926
8Connor Hellebuyck29$6,166,6662210.15211
9Juuse Saros27$5,000,0003205.68210
10Tristan Jarry27$3,500,0001185.80212
11Frederik Andersen33$4,500,0001184.38225
12Andrei Vasilevskiy28$9,500,0006180.21214
13Darcy Kuemper32$5,250,0005167.53216
14Jacob Markstrom33$6,000,0004154.48219
15Jack Campbell31$5,000,0005148.27226
16Spencer Knight21$925,0001142.32215
17Stuart Skinner24$750,0001271.88340
18Logan Thompson26$766,6673404.0931
19Filip Gustavsson24$787,5001288.42313
20Ilya Samsonov26$1,800,0001188.3837
21Ville Husso28$4,750,0003173.06322
22Jake Allen32$2,875,0001160.58327
23Pyotr Kochetkov23$842,5001135.65335
24Thatcher Demko27$5,000,0004130.48336
25Sergei Bobrovsky34$10,000,0004128.27343
26Karel Vejmelka26$2,725,0003194.19455
27Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen24$837,5002192.84421
28Casey DeSmith31$1,800,0002183.39439
29Carter Hart24$3,979,0002172.25420
30Sam Montembeault26$1,000,0002169.12448
31Adin Hill26$2,175,0001166.72433
32Jordan Binnington29$6,000,0005163.59417
33Dan Vladar25$750,0001154.06429
34Connor Ingram25$733,3331150.44453
35Anton Forsberg30$2,750,0003149.66424
36Scott Wedgewood30$1,000,0002143.37449
37Antti Raanta33$2,000,0001143.00442
38Cam Talbot35$3,666,6661142.00434
39Charlie Lindgren29$1,100,0003141.62431
40David Rittich30$900,0001139.11459
41Akira Schmid22$850,8332137.27461
42Philipp Grubauer31$5,900,0005117.60452
43John Gibson29$6,400,0005116.89451
44Pavel Francouz32$2,000,0002113.25423
45Elvis Merzlikins28$5,400,0005106.51446
46Robin Lehner31$5,000,000323.004NR
47Pheonix Copley31$825,0001199.99518
48Martin Jones33$2,000,0001170.61528
49James Reimer35$2,250,0001149.41530
50Joonas Korpisalo28$1,300,0001148.42547
51Anthony Stolarz29$950,0001144.37545
52Spencer Martin27$762,5002137.66532
53Marc-Andre Fleury38$3,500,0002136.80537
54Matt Murray28$6,250,0002121.51538
55Petr Mrazek31$3,800,0002119.20544
56Mads Sogaard22$925,0002114.485NR
57Eric Comrie27$1,800,0002105.76550
58Joel Hofer22$795,0001101.165NR
59Jonathan Quick37$5,800,000194.215NR
60Daniil Tarasov23$1,050,000389.30562
61Lukas Dostal22$822,500182.685NR
62Ivan Prosvetov24$750,000179.255NR

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