Top 200 Cap League Skater Rankings – May 2023

Alexander MacLean

2023-05-25

With the latest updates to the Value column, Connor McDavid is now the top value there as well, which is a tough this to do at a $12.5 million cap hit! On that note, Erik Karlsson and his 100 points has also made himself valuable again even at his $11.5 million cap hit. I would be cautious with him though, and if you can get a fair return, then I'm letting someone else take that gamble.

Connor Bedard and a few of the 2023 draftees have been added to the database, but they only grade out well in the value rankings, less so in the Rating column where more of the existing body of work is accounted for. His value number puts him adjacent to Nikita Kucherov, which seems like an interesting option for trying to trade for Bedard in a dynasty league. It won't be any less expensive than that.

Alex Tuch seems to be the first semi-surprising name on the list at #20, but when you look into all the numbers, it's tough to argue him being much lower. He's just growing into his peak years, on a value contract, and it doesn't seem as though his production is hugely tied to just being Tage Thompson's wingman.

Those still needing new contracts also add some uncertainty to the list, with players such as Tyler Bertuzzi, Vladimir Tarasenko, and Patrick Kane all keeping owners on their toes. The RFAs are also unpredictable as well, but with the shift to paying the key players earlier in their careers, we know not to expect bridge deals for the top fantasy-worthy players listed below. When we own them, we do hope that the UFAs take a bargain deal to go somewhere that they really want to be. However, a lot of the time they end up getting too much money and/or too much term. Be cautious evaluating them next to those that are sure things, who are usually the better deal.

The upcoming salary projections list should be out within the next week.

Standard pre-rankings note:

The assumed league setup is for points-only leagues, and I have made an effort to balance it for a range of league and roster sizes. Cap hit is used for the player cost, so if your league uses salary or AAV, please account for that, as it can greatly change the value of some players, especially on their ELCs. The rankings are set up so as to provide the most value in the current season, while providing some value in future years, based on modeling for predicted salary increases and production trends.

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If you note a mistake, or have any further questions about the ranking system, please let me know. You can find me on Twitter here @alexdmaclean.

Comments help with optimizing the values, because they're not perfect and they never will be.

We're sticking with the +/- 5.0 rating that Dobber uses on all of his rating schemes as the range for approximately equivalent value. The skater and goalie rankings are synched so that the value of a skater against a goalie can be compared, though the scale of the ratings has changed a little since the last update.

RankNameAgePosCap HitYrsRatingPrev RankValue
1Connor McDavid26F$12,500,0003405.121276.99
2Leon Draisaitl27F$8,500,0002320.292265.56
3Cale Makar24D$9,000,0004263.554206.06
4Nathan MacKinnon27F$12,600,0008259.483199.14
5Jason Robertson23F$7,750,0003258.8910235.29
6David Pastrnak26F$11,250,0008230.209205.67
7Matthew Tkachuk25F$9,500,0007229.766211.75
8Quinn Hughes23D$7,850,0004219.9011218.49
9Nikita Kucherov29F$9,500,0004219.635209.52
10Mikko Rantanen26F$9,250,0002215.4312205.56
11Rasmus Dahlin23D$6,000,0001214.0420231.12
12Tage Thompson25F$7,140,0007202.6616206.32
13Ryan Nugent-Hopkins30F$5,130,0006199.9824237.86
14Elias Pettersson24F$7,350,0001199.3819208.08
15Mitchell Marner26F$10,900,0002193.167180.20
16Jack Hughes22F$8,000,0007190.8218197.58
17Adam Fox25D$9,500,0006187.3915194.91
18Kirill Kaprizov26F$9,000,0003185.008164.13
19Miro Heiskanen23D$8,450,0006172.8962201.14
20Alex Tuch27F$4,750,0003171.5840201.29
21Pavel Buchnevich28F$5,800,0002168.5614160.90
22Auston Matthews25F$11,640,0001166.3513157.12
23Aleksander Barkov27F$10,000,0007163.4417153.30
24Erik Karlsson32D$11,500,0004158.4326213.93
25William Nylander27F$6,960,0001158.0023181.03
26Tim Stutzle21F$8,350,0008157.7230172.22
27Brayden Point27F$9,500,0007156.5939170.40
28Josh Morrissey27D$6,250,0005156.3441219.82
29Travis Konecny26F$5,500,0002153.4856155.93
30Kyle Connor26F$7,140,0003152.3021175.24
31Troy Terry25FRFA0149.4252148.40
32Jakob Chychrun25D$4,600,0002149.0284160.63
33Dougie Hamilton29D$9,000,0005148.7465191.29
34Timo Meier26FRFA0145.8759136.10
35Clayton Keller24F$7,150,0005145.7734173.30
36Roope Hintz26F$8,450,0008145.4629151.59
37Jack Eichel26F$10,000,0003143.5482140.51
38Patrik Laine25F$8,700,0003140.7136116.59
39Kevin Fiala26F$7,880,0006140.1535148.69
40Jesper Bratt24FRFA0138.5558134.25
41Alex DeBrincat25FRFA0138.3468135.75
42Trevor Zegras22FRFA0138.2160153.93
43Cole Caufield22FRFA0133.3291124.16
44Nico Hischier24F$7,250,0004133.1164162.12
45Shea Theodore27D$5,200,0002132.0057159.09
46Mika Zibanejad30F$8,500,0007131.2437163.29
47Jake Guentzel28F$6,000,0001131.2328165.32
48Pierre-Luc Dubois24FRFA0129.7892123.60
49Brandon Montour29D$3,500,0001127.9546251.11
50Brady Tkachuk23F$8,210,0005125.3361153.91
51J.T. Miller30F$8,000,0008124.6025158.78
52Noah Dobson23D$4,000,0002124.3080186.93
53Nikolaj Ehlers27F$6,000,0002122.4050107.06
54Vince Dunn26DRFA0121.0279112.58
55Charlie McAvoy25D$9,500,0007119.1866145.76
56Nick Schmaltz27F$5,850,0003119.0648136.88
57Dylan Larkin26F$8,700,0008118.5145143.62
58Sebastian Aho25F$8,460,0001118.0643136.96
59Andrei Kuzmenko27F$5,500,0002116.36106163.39
60Martin Necas24F$3,000,0001116.3372195.07
61Brandon Hagel24F$1,500,0001115.2254231.67
62Jordan Kyrou25F$8,130,0008114.9232140.44
63Mikhail Sergachev24D$8,500,0008113.4996169.33
64Jared McCann26F$5,000,0004113.31107161.37
65Artemi Panarin31F$11,640,0003111.8131142.86
66Robert Thomas23F$8,000,0008108.0738132.08
67Vladimir Tarasenko31FUFA0107.76100148.77
68Johnny Gaudreau29F$9,750,0006107.6622137.21
69Zach Hyman30F$5,500,0005106.5767167.54
70Roman Josi32D$9,060,0005106.4627156.58
71Mathew Barzal25F$9,150,0008105.7387108.40
72Andrei Svechnikov23F$7,750,0006103.6676121.54
73Tyler Bertuzzi28FUFA0103.59153110.43
74Rasmus Andersson26D$4,550,0003102.3075171.28
75Chandler Stephenson29F$2,750,0001101.6471180.97
76Bo Horvat28F$8,500,0008100.6085130.58
77Sam Reinhart27F$6,500,0001100.5769137.85
78Valeri Nichushkin28F$6,130,000799.7449113.48
79Tyson Foerster21F$860,000299.5518177.68
80Thomas Chabot25D$8,000,000598.86114133.50
81Dylan Strome26F$5,000,000598.43112149.64
82Mark Scheifele30F$6,130,000198.0063152.36
83Elias Lindholm28F$4,850,000195.9444145.17
84Drake Batherson25F$4,980,000495.8373148.67
85Adrian Kempe26F$5,500,000395.49123144.11
86Matty Beniers20F$900,000195.2833241.01
87Jake DeBrusk26F$4,000,000195.14101133.82
88Evan Bouchard23DRFA095.06163167.89
89Matias Maccelli22FRFA094.9511979.62
90Filip Forsberg28F$8,500,000794.8347100.91
91Matt Boldy22F$7,000,000794.3088131.51
92Carter Verhaeghe27F$4,170,000293.9989183.20
93Artturi Lehkonen27F$4,500,000492.59142129.56
94Devon Toews29D$4,100,000192.1478171.14
95Moritz Seider22D$860,000191.6151251.59
96Jeff Skinner31F$9,000,000491.25105132.99
97Shayne Gostisbehere30DUFA090.79118168.67
98K’Andre Miller23DRFA090.75194123.66
99Gabriel Vilardi23FRFA089.6919368.05
100Nick Suzuki23F$7,880,000788.37125125.54
101Mark Stone31F$9,500,000488.059087.52
102Brock Boeser26F$6,650,000387.91139121.76
103J.T. Compher28FUFA087.55174126.17
104Dawson Mercer21F$890,000187.5481169.71
105Dylan Cozens22F$7,100,000787.35122130.88
106Jakub Vrana27F$5,250,000186.9114099.66
107Mike Matheson29D$4,880,000386.8915484.09
108Mason McTavish20F$890,000286.55167226.66
109Lucas Raymond21F$930,000186.3377210.09
110Philip Tomasino21F$860,000185.3910291.73
111Bowen Byram21DRFA084.7410487.29
112Max Domi28FUFA084.69150104.97
113Morgan Rielly29D$7,500,000784.0983130.62
114Zach Werenski25D$9,580,000583.9511782.26
115Brock Nelson31F$6,000,000283.59108144.32
116Kirby Dach22F$3,360,000383.47NR133.79
117Joel Eriksson Ek26F$5,250,000682.69136132.03
118Tomas Hertl29F$8,140,000781.49115118.67
119Filip Hronek25D$4,400,000180.8412794.25
120Adam Boqvist22D$2,600,000280.54148134.41
121Michael Bunting27FUFA080.21128123.00
122Andre Burakovsky28F$5,500,000478.7711396.70
123Jack Quinn21F$860,000278.08116143.81
124Ryan Hartman28F$1,700,000178.0099142.30
125Tyler Toffoli31F$4,250,000177.9994152.27
126Daniel Sprong26F$750,000177.91132219.76
127Tyson Barrie31D$4,500,000177.61126181.53
128Sam Bennett26F$4,430,000277.33143122.75
129Pavel Zacha26F$4,750,000477.22171131.62
130Steven Stamkos33F$8,500,000177.1555139.30
131John Tavares32F$11,000,000276.6095118.43
132Conor Timmins24D$1,100,000275.85NR80.31
133Sean Durzi24D$1,700,000175.77120186.18
134Casey Mittelstadt24F$2,500,000175.70190163.29
135Tony DeAngelo27D$5,000,000175.3670143.45
136Aaron Ekblad27D$7,500,000275.1397123.79
137Ty Smith23DRFA074.70NR54.13
138Cole Perfetti21F$890,000174.52156155.86
139Vincent Trocheck30F$5,630,000673.71147130.12
140Alexis Lafreniere21FRFA073.05NR137.92
141Wyatt Johnston20F$890,000272.98165148.35
142Yegor Chinakhov22FRFA072.83NR87.74
143Victor Hedman32D$7,880,000271.7974141.12
144Juuso Valimaki24DRFA071.57NR124.47
145Viktor Arvidsson30F$4,250,000171.57130136.29
146John Carlson33D$8,000,000371.46110112.24
147Alex Iafallo29F$4,000,000270.03198107.50
148Patrick Kane34FUFA069.55137161.19
149Jonathan Huberdeau29F$10,500,000869.5342104.39
150Rasmus Sandin23D$1,400,000169.14145196.48
151Morgan Frost24FRFA069.14NR115.55
152Arthur Kaliyev21F$890,000168.04199105.20
153Calen Addison23DUFA067.6918065.00
154Alex Killorn33FUFA067.49179136.30
155Jonathan Drouin28FUFA067.4718388.45
156Dylan Guenther20F$890,000267.20NR182.26
157Alexander Barabanov28F$2,500,000166.45138132.12
158Gustav Forsling26D$2,670,000166.21149110.73
159Oliver Wahlstrom22FRFA066.03NR56.15
160Evan Rodrigues29FUFA065.76NR114.38
161Ilya Mikheyev28F$4,750,000365.0917085.05
162Tom Wilson29F$5,170,000165.0215871.35
163Noah Hanifin26D$4,950,000164.85159133.21
164Evander Kane31F$5,130,000364.819390.39
165Ivan Barbashev27FUFA064.00186113.62
166Brayden Schenn31F$6,500,000564.00131120.30
167Filip Chytil23F$4,440,000463.4219668.49
168Eeli Tolvanen24F$1,450,000163.20NR134.96
169Damon Severson28DUFA062.71NR78.82
170Samuel Girard25D$5,000,000461.28NR128.25
171Quinton Byfield20F$890,000161.14200140.45
172Luke Evangelista21F$800,000261.1016092.89
173Barrett Hayton22F$1,780,000161.05NR91.90
174Owen Tippett24F$1,500,000160.38192162.85
175Kaiden Guhle21D$890,000160.21NR144.56
176Cam York22DRFA060.20NR70.35
177Jonathan Marchessault32F$5,000,000159.25133130.80
178Hampus Lindholm29D$6,500,000759.1516495.77
179Anton Lundell21F$930,000159.13129114.56
180Rickard Rakell30F$5,000,000559.13177123.37
181Lawson Crouse25F$4,300,000458.90NR111.61
182John Klingberg30DUFA058.49NR90.40
183Michael Rasmussen24F$1,460,000157.99NR119.23
184JJ Peterka21F$860,000257.68NR122.83
185Ryan O’Reilly32FUFA057.13NR115.82
186Dominik Kubalik27F$2,500,000157.11NR125.47
187Anthony Duclair27F$3,000,000156.81176112.21
188Adam Ruzicka24F$760,000156.50NR148.91
189Yegor Sharangovich24FRFA056.18NR121.75
190Owen Power20D$920,000156.16172195.54
191Dillon Dube24F$2,300,000156.13NR129.63
192Teuvo Teravainen28F$5,400,000156.08135117.63
193J.J. Moser22D$890,000156.00169183.43
194Seth Jones28D$9,500,000755.45175100.81
195Seth Jarvis21F$890,000155.08151120.70
196Kent Johnson20F$930,000154.80NR164.37
197Jake Sanderson20D$930,000154.43NR188.80
198Oliver Bjorkstrand28F$5,400,000354.12185107.95
199Cody Glass24FRFA054.06NR86.92
200Anthony Beauvillier25F$4,150,000154.04NR142.76

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