Top-200 Cap League Skater Rankings – September 2023

Alexander MacLean

2023-09-25

We're in the middle of training camp, and that also means fantasy draft season. To reiterate, the Rating column below is closer to how I would try to draft all of these players, while the value column shows how much bang for your buck you're getting, and the more you can optimize that value on your team, the easier time you're going to have successfully roster building.  

Here are the top 50 prospect defensemen to own in your points-only dynasty leagues – August edition!

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We all know Connor McDavid runs the league, but we have the debut of Connor Bedard looming, and he doesn't have a ton of ground to make up at this point, already slotting in as the number-one value contract out of the gate. And it's hard to argue with that even if you think he only scores 50 points in year one. How many do those pessimistic projections have him scoring in year #2, 70-points? Then what about year #3? Having all of those bargain years really adds up, especially if he is at the higher end of the predicted production rather than the lower end.

Adam Fantilli and Leo Carlsson are less certain than Bedard at the moment, so they haven't made the list yet. However, it would not shock me at all to see either one in the top-100 by the next update.

Some other young Value names to keep tabs on: Mason McTavish, Juuso Valimaki, Owen Tippett, Owen Power, and Dylan Guenther. Don't forget about the old guys either, especially the ones in contract years who often take a pay cut. Brent Burns for example falls just outside the list, but running the Carolina power play, and then taking a big pay cut to return next season could be a huge gamble that pays off for fantasy owners like we have seen with Joe Pavelski and similar other players. Patrick Kane is still a free agent, and is a bit of a wild card, likely not returning before (American) Thanksgiving,

Standard pre-rankings note:

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The assumed league setup is for points-only leagues, and I have made an effort to balance it for a range of league and roster sizes. Cap hit is used for the player cost, so if your league uses salary or AAV, please account for that, as it can greatly change the value of some players, especially on their ELCs. The rankings are set up so as to provide the most value in the current season, while providing some value in future years, based on modeling for predicted salary increases and production trends.

If you note a mistake, or have any further questions about the ranking system, please let me know. You can find me on Twitter here @alexdmaclean.

Comments help with optimizing the values, because they're not perfect and they never will be.

We're sticking with the +/- 5.0 rating that Dobber uses on all of his rating schemes as the range for approximately equivalent value. The skater and goalie rankings are synched so that the value of a skater against a goalie can be compared, though the scale of the ratings has changed a little since the last update.

RankNameAgePosCap HitYrsRatingPrev RankValue
1Connor McDavid26F$12,500,0003405.121276.99
2Leon Draisaitl28F$8,500,0002329.892264.27
3Cale Makar24D$9,000,0004263.553206.06
4Nathan MacKinnon28F$12,600,0008251.834196.84
5Jason Robertson24F$7,750,0003248.955234.58
6Matthew Tkachuk25F$9,500,0007229.767211.44
7Jack Hughes22F$8,000,0007223.7116208.62
8Quinn Hughes23D$7,850,0004219.908218.49
9Rasmus Dahlin23D$6,000,0001218.6211231.94
10Mikko Rantanen26F$9,250,0002215.4310205.56
11David Pastrnak27F$11,250,0008211.666200.54
12Nikita Kucherov30F$9,500,0004204.759204.78
13Elias Pettersson24F$7,350,0001203.7514209.39
14Tage Thompson25F$7,142,8577202.6612206.32
15Ryan Nugent-Hopkins30F$5,125,0006199.9813237.86
16Josh Morrissey28D$6,250,0005196.2428229.08
17Mitchell Marner26F$10,903,0002193.1615180.20
18Connor Bedard18F$950,0003190.62NR290.39
19Adam Fox25D$9,500,0006187.3917194.91
20Miro Heiskanen24D$8,450,0006185.7919205.16
21Kirill Kaprizov26F$9,000,0003185.0018164.13
22Alex Tuch27F$4,750,0003171.5820201.29
23Auston Matthews26F$11,640,2501170.3022149.11
24Pavel Buchnevich28F$5,800,0002168.5621160.90
25Travis Konecny26F$5,500,0002164.2729164.19
26William Nylander27F$6,962,3661160.7625183.57
27Aleksander Barkov28F$10,000,0007158.6323151.76
28Tim Stutzle21F$8,350,0008157.7226172.22
29Brayden Point27F$9,500,0007156.5927170.40
30Kyle Connor26F$7,142,8573152.3030175.24
31Jakob Chychrun25D$4,600,0002149.0232150.56
32Clayton Keller25F$7,150,0005147.1735173.91
33Roope Hintz26F$8,450,0008145.4636151.59
34Jack Eichel26F$10,000,0003143.5437138.83
35Mikhail Sergachev25D$8,500,0008141.6663179.42
36Brady Tkachuk24F$8,208,5715141.0350161.24
37Patrik Laine25F$8,700,0003140.7138116.59
38Kevin Fiala27F$7,875,0006137.9139147.86
39Dougie Hamilton30D$9,000,0005137.4333187.17
40Jake Guentzel28F$6,000,0001133.4347166.53
41Nico Hischier24F$7,250,0004133.1144162.12
42Mika Zibanejad30F$8,500,0007131.2446163.71
43Brandon Montour29D$3,500,0001131.1449251.47
44Erik Karlsson33D$11,500,0004129.7424201.40
45Shea Theodore28D$5,200,0002128.1145157.63
46Trevor Zegras22FRFA0126.7842137.37
47Carter Verhaeghe28F$4,166,6672124.9892183.91
48Noah Dobson23D$4,000,0002124.3052186.93
49Nikolaj Ehlers27F$6,000,0002122.4053107.06
50J.T. Miller30F$8,000,0008119.5551156.66
51Martin Necas24F$3,000,0001119.2760196.20
52Charlie McAvoy25D$9,500,0007119.1855147.58
53Brandon Hagel25F$1,500,0001119.1561233.47
54Nick Schmaltz27F$5,850,0003119.0656138.15
55Dylan Larkin27F$8,700,0008116.6257142.78
56Thomas Novak26F$800,0001116.58NR228.84
57Sebastian Aho26F$8,460,2501115.0158135.96
58Jordan Kyrou25F$8,125,0008114.9262140.44
59Jesper Bratt25F$7,875,0008112.4840141.29
60Artemi Panarin31F$11,642,8573111.8165142.86
61Jared McCann27F$5,000,0004111.5064160.48
62Robert Thomas24F$8,000,0008110.5766133.02
63Sidney Crosby36F$8,700,0002110.55NR158.80
64Andrei Kuzmenko27F$5,500,0002110.3859161.24
65Alex DeBrincat25F$7,875,0004109.3041139.72
66Mathew Barzal26F$9,150,0008105.4071108.31
67Troy Terry26F$7,000,0007103.9831128.18
68Sam Reinhart27F$6,500,0001102.4277140.10
69Rasmus Andersson26D$4,550,0003102.3074171.28
70Andrei Svechnikov23F$7,750,0006100.8872118.61
71Timo Meier26F$8,800,0008100.0734123.09
72Johnny Gaudreau30F$9,750,000699.7568134.63
73Mark Scheifele30F$6,125,000199.7582152.41
74Pierre-Luc Dubois25F$8,500,000899.7448120.50
75Valeri Nichushkin28F$6,125,000799.7478113.48
76Bowen Byram22D$3,850,000299.65111123.15
77Thomas Chabot25D$8,000,000598.8680133.50
78Chandler Stephenson29F$2,750,000198.6075180.28
79Dylan Strome26F$5,000,000598.4381150.20
80Elias Lindholm28F$4,850,000197.8883147.14
81Matty Beniers20F$897,500197.8586242.13
82Jake DeBrusk26F$4,000,000197.1987135.64
83Vince Dunn26D$7,350,000497.0154126.60
84Cole Caufield22F$7,850,000896.514392.20
85Zach Hyman31F$5,500,000596.1769162.11
86Drake Batherson25F$4,975,000495.8384148.67
87Matt Boldy22F$7,000,000794.3091132.49
88Moritz Seider22D$863,333194.2595253.25
89Devon Toews29D$4,100,000194.0094172.22
90Bo Horvat28F$8,500,000894.0076126.24
91Adrian Kempe27F$5,500,000393.9785144.33
92Jeff Skinner31F$9,000,000491.2596132.99
93K’Andre Miller23D$3,872,000291.0598164.99
94Nick Suzuki24F$7,875,000790.41100126.44
95Artturi Lehkonen28F$4,500,000489.8693128.36
96Dawson Mercer21F$894,166189.73104171.64
97Filip Forsberg29F$8,500,000789.619099.95
98Lucas Raymond21F$925,000188.53109211.67
99Mark Stone31F$9,500,000488.0510185.76
100Dylan Cozens22F$7,100,000787.35105130.88
101Mike Matheson29D$4,875,000386.8910785.81
102Mason McTavish20F$894,167286.55108226.66
103Roman Josi33D$9,059,000586.0670149.03
104Lukas Reichel21F$925,000185.11NR80.61
105Alex Ovechkin38F$9,500,000384.27NR123.29
106Morgan Rielly29D$7,500,000784.09113130.62
107Evgeni Malkin37F$6,100,000384.07NR157.53
108Zach Werenski26D$9,583,333583.6811482.25
109Brock Nelson31F$6,000,000283.59115144.32
110Kirby Dach22F$3,362,500383.47116133.79
111Joel Eriksson Ek26F$5,250,000682.69117132.03
112Jack Quinn22F$863,333282.44123144.10
113Filip Hronek25D$4,400,000182.2011995.17
114Tomas Hertl29F$8,137,500781.49118118.67
115Calen Addison23D$800,000181.42153152.27
116Adam Boqvist23D$2,600,000281.11120134.81
117Philip Tomasino22F$863,333181.0011090.77
118Brock Boeser26F$6,650,000380.26102116.94
119Gabriel Vilardi24F$3,437,500280.0499131.09
120Tyler Toffoli31F$4,250,000179.73125153.90
121Steven Stamkos33F$8,500,000178.59130140.93
122Sean Durzi24D$1,700,000177.59133189.61
123Casey Mittelstadt24F$2,500,000177.31134170.46
124Pavel Zacha26F$4,750,000477.22129132.82
125Tyson Foerster21F$863,333276.777982.24
126Jakub Vrana27F$5,250,000176.7210687.05
127Max Domi28F$3,000,000176.51112146.21
128Vladimir Tarasenko31F$5,000,000176.2567142.04
129Cole Perfetti21F$894,166176.17138163.51
130Matias Maccelli22F$3,425,000375.738987.98
131Oliver Wahlstrom23F$874,125175.57159102.66
132Ryan Hartman29F$1,700,000175.48124146.03
133Tyler Bertuzzi28F$5,500,000175.3373101.87
134Aaron Ekblad27D$7,500,000275.13136122.27
135Morgan Frost24F$2,100,000273.75151161.51
136Vincent Trocheck30F$5,625,000673.71139130.12
137Andre Burakovsky28F$5,500,000473.6012291.62
138Tony DeAngelo27D$1,675,000173.24135203.91
139Wyatt Johnston20F$894,167272.98141151.06
140Viktor Arvidsson30F$4,250,000172.77145137.82
141Arthur Kaliyev22F$894,166172.70152107.87
142Evan Bouchard23D$3,900,000272.6388165.12
143Sam Bennett27F$4,425,000272.18128116.17
144Alex Iafallo29F$4,000,000270.03147107.50
145Eeli Tolvanen24F$1,450,000168.27168144.99
146Juuso Valimaki24D$1,000,000168.10144199.00
147Shayne Gostisbehere30D$4,125,000168.0097162.23
148Tyson Barrie32D$4,500,000167.83127177.89
149Quinton Byfield21F$890,000166.72171154.01
150Gustav Forsling27D$2,666,667166.70158111.37
151Tom Wilson29F$5,166,666165.9316277.44
152Noah Hanifin26D$4,950,000165.89163134.58
153Claude Giroux35F$6,500,000265.45NR137.58
154Filip Chytil24F$4,437,500464.89167111.86
155Alexis Lafreniere21F$2,325,000264.57140162.69
156Barrett Hayton23F$1,775,000164.5217396.95
157Jonathan Drouin28F$850,000164.47155152.15
158John Carlson33D$8,000,000364.38146105.96
159Rasmus Sandin23D$1,400,000164.38150183.69
160Alexander Barabanov29F$2,500,000164.21157131.91
161Jonathan Huberdeau30F$10,500,000863.99149104.89
162Dylan Guenther20F$894,167263.59156169.98
163Patrick Kane34FUFA063.42148154.73
164Michael Bunting28F$3,500,000362.46121127.78
165John Tavares33F$11,000,000262.37131112.62
166Owen Tippett24F$1,500,000162.05174173.01
167Yegor Chinakhov22F$800,000161.6714294.85
168Kaiden Guhle21D$894,166161.53175146.00
169Samuel Girard25D$5,000,000461.28170128.25
170Luke Evangelista21F$797,500261.1017299.06
171Jonathan Marchessault32F$5,000,000160.84177133.79
172Anton Lundell21F$925,000160.48179116.55
173Joe Pavelski39F$3,500,000160.31NR155.07
174Seth Jarvis21F$894,166160.12195124.16
175J.J. Moser23D$886,667159.43193186.29
176J.T. Compher28F$5,100,000559.26103111.50
177Hampus Lindholm29D$6,500,000759.1517896.77
178Rickard Rakell30F$5,000,000559.13180123.37
179Michael Rasmussen24F$1,460,000159.04183125.37
180Lawson Crouse26F$4,300,000458.71181112.49
181Owen Power20D$920,000157.85190199.71
182Kent Johnson20F$925,000157.84196170.71
183Darnell Nurse28D$9,250,000757.77NR112.06
184JJ Peterka21F$855,833257.68184127.88
185Dillon Dube25F$2,300,000157.66191132.89
186Dominik Kubalik28F$2,500,000157.05186124.58
187Kris Letang36D$6,100,000556.83NR125.65
188Boone Jenner30F$3,750,000356.62NR113.91
189Victor Hedman32D$7,875,000256.01143130.42
190Evander Kane32F$5,125,000355.5016489.09
191Anthony Duclair28F$3,000,000155.46187114.83
192Seth Jones28D$9,500,000755.45194101.37
193Cam York22D$1,600,000255.3017690.40
194Cody Glass24F$2,500,000254.62199122.98
195Anthony Beauvillier26F$4,150,000154.45200146.82
196Jonatan Berggren23F$925,000154.21NR99.39
197Reilly Smith32F$5,000,000253.61NR119.49
198Teuvo Teravainen29F$5,400,000153.37192120.87
199Jack Roslovic26F$4,000,000153.00NR106.79
200Anthony Cirelli26F$6,250,000852.81NR79.94

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UPCOMING GAMES

Nov 21 - 19:11 WSH vs COL
Nov 21 - 19:11 CBJ vs T.B
Nov 21 - 19:11 OTT vs VGK
Nov 21 - 19:11 DET vs NYI
Nov 21 - 19:11 BOS vs UTA
Nov 21 - 19:11 N.J vs CAR
Nov 21 - 20:11 STL vs S.J
Nov 21 - 20:11 CHI vs FLA
Nov 21 - 21:11 CGY vs NYR
Nov 21 - 21:11 EDM vs MIN

Starting Goalies

Top Skater Views

  Players Team
JASON ROBERTSON DAL
WYATT JOHNSTON DAL
DECLAN CHISHOLM MIN
JAKE WALMAN S.J
WILLIAM EKLUND S.J

Top Goalie Profile Views

  Players Team
SEBASTIAN COSSA DET
DUSTIN WOLF CGY
MACKENZIE BLACKWOOD S.J
IVAN FEDOTOV PHI
YAROSLAV ASKAROV S.J

LINE COMBOS

  Frequency EDM Players
43.2 VASILY PODKOLZIN CONNOR MCDAVID LEON DRAISAITL
27.3 JEFF SKINNER RYAN NUGENT-HOPKINS KASPERI KAPANEN
25.6 MATTIAS JANMARK ADAM HENRIQUE CONNOR BROWN

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