Analytics Advantage: Efficiency in Fantasy Hockey with Ice Time and Shooting Percentage

Stas Pupkov

2023-12-07

As the fantasy hockey season crosses its one-third mark, a critical reassessment of earlier strategies becomes essential. This article revisits previous analyses, offering a mid-season update enriched with the latest data and advanced metrics. By re-evaluating player performances and statistical trends at this crucial juncture, we aim to provide a grounded, data-driven perspective for fantasy hockey enthusiasts. The updated graphs and in-depth data analysis included here are not just revisions; they are vital tools for recalibrating strategies in a season characterized by volatility and emerging patterns. This piece serves as a guide for those seeking to optimize their decision-making process, whether to maintain a league lead or engineer a turnaround. Let’s explore the insights that the current season’s data offers and understand its implications for the remainder of the fantasy hockey campaign.

Efficiency Analysis in Fantasy Hockey: TOI vs Points

In the realm of fantasy hockey, efficiency is as crucial as raw performance. The upcoming graphs offer a focused analysis of Time on Ice (TOI) against Total Points, providing insights into player productivity. This analysis, split into three categories (Top 1-15, 16-30, and 31-45 Players), highlights efficiency across various TOI levels. These visualizations are key in identifying players who maximize point-scoring within their ice time, offering a critical perspective for strategic decisions in fantasy hockey.



The series of graphs titled ‘Time on Ice (TOI) vs Total Points’ offer a unique perspective on player efficiency in fantasy hockey. To interpret these graphs effectively, imagine a bar graph where each ‘TOI-Block’ represents a segment on the x-axis. In this context, the x-axis (Time on Ice) is segmented into blocks, each representing a range of TOI that players fall into. The y-axis indicates the Total Points scored by the players.

Within each TOI-Block, players are plotted based on the total points they have accumulated. Those who appear higher on the y-axis within their respective TOI-Block are demonstrating greater efficiency. This means they are maximizing their point-scoring opportunities in the amount of ice time they have received. Essentially, players who achieve more points in less TOI are highly efficient, making them valuable assets in fantasy hockey.

By dividing the analysis into three separate graphs (Top 1-15 Players, Top 16-30 Players, and Top 31-45 Players), we gain a clearer view of efficiency across different performance tiers. This segmentation allows us to identify not just the overall top performers, but also those who excel within their specific TOI range.

This approach to analyzing player data underscores the importance of considering both the quantity (Time on Ice) and quality (Points scored) of a player's performance. It highlights players who may not have the most ice time but utilize their time effectively to contribute to their team's success, thus offering valuable insights for making informed decisions in fantasy hockey leagues.

Analyzing Player Efficiency: Shots and Shooting Percentages

Precision is paramount in fantasy hockey—a player’s value is often found in their ability to capitalize on shooting opportunities. This analysis presents a critical look at Shots on Goal versus Shooting Percentage (SH%), segmented into three tiers of player rankings (Top 1-15, 16-30, and 31-45). The graphs illustrate the correlation between the frequency of shots and the rate of successful goal conversions, providing a clear depiction of player efficacy. For fantasy hockey managers, these insights offer a quantitative foundation for optimizing lineup choices and maximizing scoring potential.

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The graphs showcasing ‘Shots on Goal vs. Shooting Percentage (SH%)’ dissect player performance from a lens of precision and effectiveness. To analyze these graphs, focus on the relationship between the number of shots taken (x-axis) and the player’s shooting percentage (y-axis).

Players plotted higher on the y-axis have a higher SH%, indicating a higher efficiency in scoring goals relative to their total shots taken. This efficiency metric is crucial as it reflects a player’s proficiency in turning shots into goals. It’s not just about how many shots a player takes but how well they capitalize on these opportunities.

The segmentation into three distinct graphs for Top 1-15, 16-30, and 31-45 players allows for a comparison within and across these performance brackets. For instance, a player with fewer shots but a higher SH% might be a more strategic choice than one with many shots but a lower conversion rate, especially in tight matchups where every goal counts.

In essence, these visual data points guide fantasy hockey managers to discern the sharpshooters who maximize goal-scoring chances. This analysis is key to identifying under-the-radar players who, despite a lower volume of shots, demonstrate the capacity to contribute significantly to their teams with high-quality attempts. Such insights are invaluable for optimizing fantasy rosters and making strategic plays throughout the hockey season.

Harnessing Efficiency Metrics for Fantasy Hockey

The mid-season data analysis emphasizes the critical role of efficiency in player selection. As demonstrated, players with optimal Time on Ice (TOI) to Points ratios and superior Shots on Goal to Shooting Percentage (SH%) conversions are the keystones of a robust fantasy hockey strategy. These insights should guide managers in their pursuit of competitive advantage, encouraging a focus on quality over quantity in player performance.

For any questions or further discussion on this article or any future, I am available for contact on Twitter/X @DH_staspup. Feel free to DM to see any specific graphs based on these metrics.

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UPCOMING GAMES

Apr 15 - 19:04 T.B vs FLA
Apr 15 - 19:04 PHI vs CBJ
Apr 15 - 19:04 OTT vs CHI
Apr 15 - 19:04 BUF vs TOR
Apr 15 - 19:04 BOS vs N.J
Apr 15 - 20:04 NYI vs WSH
Apr 15 - 20:04 MIN vs ANA
Apr 15 - 20:04 STL vs UTA
Apr 15 - 21:04 CGY vs VGK
Apr 15 - 22:04 SEA vs L.A

Starting Goalies

Top Skater Views

  Players Team
QUINTON BYFIELD L.A
IVAN DEMIDOV MTL
MAX DOMI TOR
ALEXANDER NIKISHIN CAR
ADAM FANTILLI CBJ

Top Goalie Profile Views

  Players Team
JET GREAVES CBJ
DARCY KUEMPER L.A
CALVIN PICKARD EDM
MATT VILLALTA UTA
ARVID SODERBLOM CHI

LINE COMBOS

  Frequency FLA Players
26.3 EVAN RODRIGUES JESPER BOQVIST SAM BENNETT
25.0 CARTER VERHAEGHE SAM REINHART ALEKSANDER BARKOV
19.6 TOMAS NOSEK A.J. GREER JONAH GADJOVICH

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