Dobber’s Offseason Fantasy Grades 2024: Washington Capitals

TJ Branson

2024-09-05

For the last 21 years (12 with The Hockey News) Dobber has reviewed each team from a fantasy-hockey standpoint and graded them.

The 22nd annual review will appear here on DobberHockey throughout the summer. This is not a review of the likely performance on the ice or in the standings, but in the realm of fantasy hockey both for the season ahead as well as the foreseeable future. Offensively, will the team perform? Are there plenty of depth options worthy of owning in keeper leagues? What about over the next two or three years? These questions are what I take into consideration when looking at the depth chart and the player potential on that depth chart.

Enjoy!

* * Pick up the DobberHockey Fantasy Guide here – always updated * * 

Gone: Darcy Kuemper, Max Pacioretty, Nicolas Aube-Kubel, Beck Malenstyn, Nick Jensen

Incoming: Pierre-Luc Dubois, Andrew Mangiapane, Jakob Chychrun, Logan Thompson, Brandon Duhaime, Matt Roy, Jakob Chychrun

Impact of Changes – The Washington Capitals are refusing to fade away. After making the playoffs with a minus-37 goal differential, largely thanks to superb goaltending from Charlie Lindgren, Washington has addressed key areas to stay in the playoff mix. Alex Ovechkin is 42 goals away from breaking Wayne Gretzky's record, and the Capitals made moves to help him get there.

High-end depth was the theme this offseason: Chychrun, a top-pair defenseman, is capable of running the power play behind John Carlson. They traded Kuemper for Dubois, who can slot in as a 2C behind Dylan Strome. Mangiapane adds second-line wing depth but could see top-line time if Tom Wilson gets injured, suspended, or underperforms. Thompson bolsters a strong goaltending tandem, while Roy and Duhaime bring depth that strengthens the team overall.

Ready for Full-TimeIvan Miroschnichenko has the best chance to make an impact this season. He's shown flashes of offensive skill in the AHL and had brief NHL appearances. His size and skill make him an exciting option for the top-six and is first in line if an opening arises. If he can get a look in the NHL and is able to put his versatility and power-forward build in the spotlight he could force management's hand in keeping him in the NHL.

Vincent Iorio had a brief NHL call-up last season and could see more time if injuries hit the blue line. Iorio has a reliable two-way game but may need another year of development before becoming a full-time NHLer.

Clay Stevenson is likely to remain as an injury fill-in if one of the goalies miss time. Stevenson had an impressive run in the AHL, including leading the league in shutouts. He will be on Washington's radar long term, but their goaltending tandem appears solidified. 

Fantasy Outlook – The Capitals head into the 2024-25 season optimistic. Key additions addressing weaknesses have made Washington more of a threat in an ever-improving Metro Division that is never short of competition. The Caps have plenty of storylines to follow from a fantasy perspective. Ovechkin needs to score just above a half goal per game to break Wayne Gretzky's goal record. His Average Draft Position has been slipping year over year, and if he's motivated to break the record this year, he could provide a huge return on investment. 

📢 advertisement:

Chychrun is more than capable of running a top power-play unit, while John Carlson is 34 years old and has a lot of miles on his body. Perhaps we see a scenario where Carlson's minutes are better suited elsewhere in order to increase his impact and longevity, like many are projecting for Brent Burns in Carolina. If Chychrun gets the call for the top unit, he will be one of the best draft-day defensemen on the board. Carlson is a right-handed shot, and Chychrun a lefty – so the dynamics could deter coach Spencer Carbery from making that adjustment. 

Lindgren was in a four-way tie for the league lead in shutouts (6). It's important to note that shutouts are the most variant statistic for goalies and also the most variant position year to year. Lindgren's save percentage was .899 in games that were not a shutout, so counting on 6 shutouts again next year might be unwise. Lindgren's shutouts were against teams that are impossible to discount: VGK, NYR, BOS (2x), PIT and WPG – so saying his is an .899 save percentage goalie would also be unwise. The aerial view of Lindgren's season will probably land somewhere in the middle.

The battle for 1A in the goaltending tandem will likely go to Lindgren first based on rapport and support from management and the team who largely credited his play as the sole reason for making the playoffs last year while he dragged a stagnant offense into a first-round exit. Logan Thompson is three years younger than Lindgren and has experience with Vegas that should make competition fierce. Thompson requested a trade out of Vegas on the basis that he wanted a bigger role with the Knights and Adin Hill made that difficult to promise, so the assumption might be that the Capitals might be obliged to give Thompson more of a starter's workload. 

Long term, this is an aging team (or at least their stars Ovechkin and Carlson are aging) without a surefire 80-point player, or even an 80-point hopeful, with a prospect pipeline that is probably in the bottom half of the league, if somewhere near the middle.

Grade: C+ (last year was a C+)

Leave A Comment

UPCOMING GAMES

Mar 20 - 19:03 CBJ vs FLA
Mar 20 - 19:03 OTT vs COL
Mar 20 - 19:03 WSH vs PHI
Mar 20 - 19:03 NYR vs TOR
Mar 20 - 19:03 N.J vs CGY
Mar 20 - 19:03 NYI vs MTL
Mar 20 - 19:03 STL vs VAN
Mar 20 - 20:03 NSH vs ANA
Mar 20 - 20:03 DAL vs T.B
Mar 20 - 20:03 CHI vs L.A
Mar 20 - 21:03 UTA vs BUF
Mar 20 - 21:03 EDM vs WPG
Mar 20 - 22:03 VGK vs BOS
Mar 20 - 22:03 S.J vs CAR

Starting Goalies

Top Skater Views

  Players Team
BRANDON CARLO TOR
LANE HUTSON MTL
LEO CARLSSON ANA
ARTYOM LEVSHUNOV CHI
RYAN HARTMAN MIN

Top Goalie Profile Views

  Players Team
JAKE OETTINGER DAL
PHILIPP GRUBAUER SEA
JOSEPH WOLL TOR
MACKENZIE BLACKWOOD COL
FILIP GUSTAVSSON MIN

LINE COMBOS

  Frequency OTT Players
22.7 SHANE PINTO RIDLY GREIG MICHAEL AMADIO
18.9 DAVID PERRON DYLAN COZENS DRAKE BATHERSON
14.3 BRADY TKACHUK TIM STUTZLE CLAUDE GIROUX

DobberHockey Podcasts

Fantasy Hockey Life: Trade Deadline Prospect Movers

The trade deadline is past us…were any of the prospects traded fantasy-relevant? Victor and Jesse hit them all to get Victor’s analysis. Covered are:  Shane LaChance, Patrick Giles, Kyle Aucoin, Herman Traff, Brendan Brisson, Justin Brazeau, Marat Khusnutdinov, Calum Ritchie, William Dufour, Nikita Grebenkin, William Zellers, Aku Raty, Chase Stillman, Max Graham, Tristen Robins, Zack […]

Keeping Karlsson Short Shift – Potential Playoff Gems

Jeremy and Shams are here to keep you updated with the recent injury news, including a couple of players who may be out for the remainder of the fantasy season. For the remainder of the show, they cover a group of lesser known players that can help you out in your first week of the fantasy playoffs and possibly more.

FIND US ON FACEBOOK

📢 advertisement: