Ramblings: Strome Keeps Scoring, Laferriere Making a Name for Himself, Barzal Out 4-6 Weeks (Nov 3)
Ian Gooding
2024-11-03
Joonas Korpisalo picked up his first shutout as a Bruin, which was a 20-save effort against the Flyers. Korpisalo has back-to-back quality starts in the two full games he has played in. As Jeremy Swayman catches up after missing training camp due to his contract situation, Korpisalo could see a little more action than he normally would. Swayman should be back between the pipes today (Sunday) against Seattle, but the Bruins play again on Tuesday, Thursday, and Saturday.
At the other end, Samuel Ersson left the game in the first period with a lower-body injury. Aleksei Kolosov took over, stopping 20 of 22 shots he faced. If Ersson misses time, Kolosov and Ivan Fedotov should battle for starts. Neither of them has much NHL experience, so fantasy teams should probably wait and see before adding.
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Alex Ovechkin is still going strong. With a goal and two assists, Ovechkin finished with his third consecutive multipoint game as the Capitals rolled the Blue Jackets by a score of 7-2. The Great Eight has eight points and a plus-8 over those last three games. Sometimes the numbers just line up.
Dylan Strome also finished with three points (1 G, 2 A). Also like Ovie, Strome has three consecutive multipoint games and a plus-8 over those three games. Strome leads a surprisingly strong Capitals squad with 16 points in 10 games. His advanced stats all scream regression, as he clearly won't score at a 130-point pace for the rest of the season. In the top 10 in league scoring as I write this, Strome is a potential sell-high candidate (very high, though). In addition, he has never had a 30-goal season and normally takes just under two shots a game, so any potential scoring gains this season will probably be assist-heavy. I say this as a guy with Strome shares on multiple teams.
The third man on that Ovechkin-Strome line is Aliaksei Protas, who also has three consecutive multipoint games. In addition, Protas has scored goals in three consecutive games. Even though he is 6-6 and 225 lbs., Protas is not a banger based on his hits and penalty minute totals. Yet he is only 23 years old and should hit 200 career games this season. He might be one to keep an eye on as the Capitals try to extend their contention window.
Connor McMichael stayed hot, scoring a pair of goals. McMichael now has four goals in his last three games and 11 points in his last eight games. Now on the top power play, McMichael is emerging as a real breakout candidate with over a point per game (12 PTS in 10 GP) this season.
Logan Thompson was stellar in net for the Caps, stopping 34 of 36 shots he faced. He is taking turns starting with Charlie Lindgren, a type of goaltending jobshare that is becoming more common.
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Do you want to know who else has three consecutive multipoint games? Sidney Crosby. Sid the Kid also has two goals in back-to-back games, including a pair of goals against Montreal on Saturday. Crosby has also taken at least three shots in those three games. Like Ovechkin, Crosby continues to roll.
Also, this.
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What if I told you that Anton Forsberg is the league leader in shutouts? Forsberg earned his second shutout of the season in making 22 saves against Seattle on Saturday. With Linus Ullmark now in the fold, Forsberg can go back to being a backup, where he seems to be better suited.
Adam Gaudette has six goals over his last five games. Gaudette scored 44 goals in 67 games in the AHL last season, so he's found some untapped scoring prowess. His sudden scoring has earned him some second-unit power-play time, while he should at least be able to stick around in the NHL for the time being. I'm still skeptical about the scoring being sustainable, as he's still being used in the bottom six with icetime in the 10–13-minute range in recent games. Even that icetime is a bump up from the sub-10 minutes he was receiving earlier in the season.
Another important stat:
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Back in 2020, Alex Laferriere seemed like the guy that you'd accidentally draft when you meant to pick Alexis Lafreniere but weren't quite paying attention. The two were drafted in the same year and have very similar names. You could have called Laferriere the knockoff version of Lafreniere!
Laferriere, who was drafted 83rd overall in the same draft that Lafreniere was drafted first overall, is starting to make a name for himself on his own merit. With two goals on Saturday, Laferriere has scored goals in three consecutive games, giving him eight goals in 12 games. Moreover, he is being used on the Kings' top power play, which isn't something that was projected before the season. Laferriere has some luck on his side, with a 27.6 SH% and 16.4 5-on-5 SH%. He is taking over two shots per game, which should mean that the goal total doesn't come crashing down. But when regression happens, it will be interesting to see whether he can stay on the top power play when someone like Quinton Byfield isn't there.
Byfield, by the way, has had the opposite fortune of Laferriere. Byfield has yet to score a goal in 12 games. Although he took three shots on Saturday, Byfield failed to register a shot in his previous three games. Even though Byfield will eventually find the net, he simply hasn't had the kind of deployment that we've expected. At only 22 years of age and a larger frame that needs additional time to fully develop, Byfield is still a hold in keeper leagues. But he's definitely on the bubble in shallower one-year leagues.
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Mathew Barzal (upper body) and Adam Pelech (face) are both expected to miss the next 4-6 weeks. In Barzal's absence, Jean-Gabriel Pageau could see an uptick in value. Pageau played 21 minutes on Friday, scoring a goal while playing on the top power play and also on a scoring line with Bo Horvat and Anders Lee.
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Colton Parayko is off to a strong start. With two goals and an assist against the Leafs, Parayko now has eight points in 12 games. Parayko appears to have the tools to succeed in fantasy such as size and a hard shot, but his career high is 35 points and he has had back-to-back sub-30-point seasons. He logs plenty of minutes, which means that he can provide solid hits and blocked shots totals. He is worth rostering while he continues to provide the offense.
It wasn't all good for the Blues in their 4-2 win over Toronto, which was Craig Berube's return to St. Louis as the coach of the Leafs. Philip Broberg left the game because of what appeared to be a leg injury when he collided with Mitch Marner.
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Cale Makar and Nathan MacKinnon each scored a goal and an assist on Saturday, both extending their season-long point streak to 12 games. Makar is now tied for the league lead with 21 points, while MacKinnon is right behind with 20 points. These two players are within the elite of their respective positions and should continue to be so. Also, I don't know who needs to read this, but please don't send the Makar or MacKinnon owners in your league your two sell highs for one of these players. Okay, go ahead and try, but I'm 99% sure they'll say no.
Despite the efforts of Makar and MacKinnon, they could not get past the Predators on Saturday. Roman Josi, Steven Stamkos, and Gustav Nyquist each scored a goal and added an assist. Josi, who led NHL defensemen with 23 goals last season, finally scored his first goal of the season.
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If you stayed up for the Canucks/Sharks game, you saw quite a last few minutes.
Pius Suter's second goal of the game was the game winner. Suter now has four goals over his last five games.
Jake DeBrusk's first goal as a Canuck came in his tenth game with his new club. DeBrusk had been held without a point in his previous four games, and he has been moved off the Canucks' top power play in favor of Conor Garland. DeBrusk was a hot-and-cold player in Boston, so that might continue to be the case in Vancouver.
In his first game as a Shark, Timothy Liljegren was a plus-2 and was also on the top power play, although he did not register a point. Jake Walman, who picked up seven points this week, was on the second power play and was also held without a point. Liljegren should receive more of an opportunity with the rebuilding Sharks than he did with the Leafs, who are overflowing with defensemen. I'm not sure I'd grab Liljegren in many leagues, as we'll have to wait and see whether he can stick in the Sharks' lineup every night. But he's definitely worth watching.
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Noah Hanifin filled the statsheet on Saturday: 1 G, 2 A, +3, 6 SOG, 2 HITS, 1 BKS, 24:31 TOI. The goal was his first of the season, while he had been held without a point in three games entering this game. He hasn't been on Vegas's top power play like he was at the end of last season, but battling with Shea Theodore and Alex Pietrangelo for power-play minutes isn't easy.
Pavel Dorofeyev scored again on Saturday, giving him four goals and two assists in his last four games. Since he's also on Vegas's top power play, Dorofeyev is a waiver-wire add worth considering. However, keep in mind that the Golden Knights play only two games next week.
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