Ramblings: Dach Out for Season, Zibanejad, Stankoven, Is Scoring Down? (Mar 1)

Ian Gooding

2025-03-01

Kirby Dach will miss the rest of the regular season after undergoing right knee surgery. Dach was the third overall pick in 2019 by Chicago, but his development has unfortunately been stalled by multiple injuries, hence the Band-Aid Boy designation. Dach has not played 60 games in a season for the past three seasons, while he played just two games last season after tearing his ACL. He finishes the 2024-25 season with 10 goals and 22 points in 57 games. In addition, his minus-29 is tied for second-worst in the league. The good news is that Dach is expected to be ready for the start of next season.

Related to Dach's absence, Owen Beck was recalled by the Habs earlier this week. Beck picked up his first career point (an assist) on Thursday against San Jose whiel playing on the second line with Patrik Laine and Alex Newhook. With Dach now gone for the season, Beck could receive a longer look with the big club. In his first AHL season, Beck has 32 points in 47 games. For more, see his Dobber Prospects profile.

Friday was a light night of action, with only three NHL games played.

Oliver Ekman-Larsson, Matthew Knies, and William Nylander each scored a goal in the Leafs' 3-2 win over the Rangers. Nylander's goal was his 34th of the season, which places him 10 behind league leader Leon Draisaitl (could we have only one 50-goal scorer this season?) Nylander seems to be a strong bet to reach 40 goals for the third consecutive season, however.

If you include the 4 Nations Face-Off, Auston Matthews is now 13 games without a 5-on-5 goal. Despite the lack of 5-on-5 goals, Matthews is riding an eight-game point streak with 11 points over that span. A total of 10 of those points have been assists, with the goal being an empty-netter. Matthews is producing, just not the way you'd expect him to.

Anthony Stolarz stopped 33 of 35 shots in picking up the win. He leads the NHL among qualified goalies with a .927 SV%. He has also won all four of his starts since returning from a knee injury. Remember when his Yahoo preseason ranking was artificially high? Take away the injury that cost him nearly two months and Stolarz has actually lived up to that ranking.

Earlier on Friday, the Leafs placed Max Pacioretty on injured reserve with an undisclosed injury.

Mika Zibanejad and Will Cuylle scored the Rangers' goals. With an assist as well, Zibanejad is up to 13 points in his last nine games. He appears to be salvaging something this season after a subpar first half (27 points in his first 42 games). That coincides with the addition of J.T. Miller, who has spent over half of his even-strength minutes on a line with Zibanejad. So when we're talking about players that were helped by the Miller trade, Zibanejad qualifies here. Miller, by the way, has ten points (5 G, 5 A) in nine games with the Blueshirts.

In the Stars' 6-2 win over the Kings, Logan Stankoven scored a pair of goals. Stankoven had a strong multicategory game as well with a plus-3, four shots, and three hits. In his first full NHL season, Stankoven's production has been hit or miss, and he's been moved down the lineup at times and was even a healthy scratch on Sunday. However, Stankoven was elevated to a scoring line with Jason Robertson and Roope Hintz on Friday. Among rookie scorers, Stankoven currently sits fourth with 28 points (9 G, 19 A) in 56 games. He's on pace for a 41-point season, which may not cut it in shallow to mid-sized single-season leagues. Yet having just turned 22, Stankoven has a very bright future.

Hintz assisted on four of Dallas's goals, two of which were on the power play. That gives him seven points over his last three games. Hintz has taken exactly three shots in each of those three games.

The Stars are the highest-scoring team since the calendar turned to 2025, having scored 84 goals and averaging 3.65 GF/GP. No other team has reached 80 goals over the past two months.

Robertson, Sam Steel, Wyatt Johnston, and Matt Duchene scored the other Stars' goals. Duchene missed the last few minutes of the game after taking a puck to the face and needing stitches, but coach Peter DeBoer said the injury is nothing serious.

Trevor Moore and Warren Foegele scored the goals for the Kings.

Darcy Kuemper has been super reliable for the Kings this season. So reliable that the really bad start on Friday (six goals allowed) was just his second all season and first since October 14 – his third game as a King.

Ross Colton led the Avalanche with two goals (one on the power play) in their 5-2 win over Minnesota. Colton also added an assist with five shots, doing all of this in just 10:11 of icetime. Colton hasn't been that reliable recently, as he recently went 14 games without a point. He managed to snap that slump with an assist on Wednesday. After an early-season surge, Colton has reverted to being a deeper bangers league option and not much more.

The recently returned Valeri Nichushkin, Jack Drury, and Jonathan Drouin also scored goals for the Avalanche. Oliver Kylington chipped in two assists.

📢 advertisement:

Vinnie Hinostroza and Mats Zuccarello scored the goals for the Wild. Zuccarello broke an eight-game point drought with the goal. His scoring has taken a major hit with Kirill Kaprizov out of the lineup. Right now, the only reliable Wild scorers seem to be Matt Boldy and Marco Rossi.

Claimed off waivers in early February by the Wild from Nashville, Hinostroza has found his way onto Minnesota's top power play. Two of Hinostroza's three goals over six games have been on the power play, including his goal on Friday. Hinostroza also skated on a scoring line with Boldy and Rossi, which like the power-play time is a result of the Wild's absences up front. Kaprizov, Joel Eriksson Ek, and Ryan Hartman all missed Friday's game. The 30-year-old Hinostroza's career path seems to be short-term replacement forward, as he is now on his seventh NHL team.

Any trades yet? With just a week left before the trade deadline, it's been crickets lately as far as trades to announce. Yet it seems like one major deal can set off the dominoes, so don't write off this year's trade deadline just yet. Check back with DobberHockey closer to the trade deadline, as we will provide fantasy analysis on the major deals that happen over the next week.

This tweet from Mark Spector made me think about whether overall scoring is down this season.

Last season, nine players finished with at least 100 points.

NameGPGAPTSPTS/GP
NIKITA KUCHEROV81441001441.78
NATHAN MACKINNON8251891401.71
CONNOR MCDAVID76321001321.74
ARTEMI PANARIN8249711201.46
DAVID PASTRNAK8247631101.34
AUSTON MATTHEWS8169381071.32
LEON DRAISAITL8141651061.31
MIKKO RANTANEN8042621041.30
J.T. MILLER8137661031.27

This season, only seven players are projected to finish at a 100+ point pace (current paces showing below).

NameGPGAPTSPTS/GPPace PTS
NATHAN MACKINNON602367901.50123
LEON DRAISAITL584344871.50122
NIKITA KUCHEROV552759861.56124
KYLE CONNOR603142731.22100
CONNOR MCDAVID522251731.40105
DAVID PASTRNAK603142731.22100
MITCH MARNER571855731.28104

Last season, the top two scorers (Nikita Kucherov and Nathan MacKinnon) finished with at least 140 points or more. This season, the top two (also top three) scorers are projected to finish with just over 120 points. As well, last season five players finished with at least 110 points, while this season only three are projected to finish above that total.

Connor McDavid is not one of those three players on pace for at least 120 points, or even at 110 points. He could finish below 100 points for only the third time in his career – once in his rookie season when he missed 37 games, and the other during the COVID-shortened 2019-20 season when he finished with 97 points in 64 games. I'd still bet on McDavid finishing with triple-digits, but the possibility of a sub-100-point season is greater than zero percent.

To finally answer my question, these scoring totals from the top players seem to line up with what is happening this season. For the second consecutive season, goals per game by team are down from 3.14 GF/GP in 2022-23 to 3.08 GF/GP in 2023-24 to 3.00 GF/GP this season. Goals-against averages are also slightly lower as a result, but surprisingly, save percentages are also lower. That appears to be due to a reduction in shots. (Source: Hockey Reference)

Follow me on X @Ian_Gooding and Threads @goodsfantasyhockey and now Bluesky @goodsfantasyhockey.bsky.social

Leave A Comment

UPCOMING GAMES

Apr 12 - 12:04 CBJ vs WSH
Apr 12 - 12:04 PHI vs NYI
Apr 12 - 15:04 CAR vs NYR
Apr 12 - 16:04 L.A vs COL
Apr 12 - 18:04 FLA vs BUF
Apr 12 - 19:04 TOR vs MTL
Apr 12 - 19:04 CHI vs WPG
Apr 12 - 20:04 DAL vs UTA
Apr 12 - 22:04 VAN vs MIN
Apr 12 - 22:04 VGK vs NSH
Apr 12 - 22:04 SEA vs STL

Starting Goalies

Top Skater Views

  Players Team
MAX DOMI TOR
WILL SMITH S.J
MACKLIN CELEBRINI S.J
ALEXANDER NIKISHIN CAR
LANE HUTSON MTL

Top Goalie Profile Views

  Players Team
CALVIN PICKARD EDM
JAKE ALLEN N.J
CONNOR HELLEBUYCK WPG
FILIP GUSTAVSSON MIN
GEORGI ROMANOV S.J

LINE COMBOS

  Frequency NYR Players
34.1 VINCENT TROCHECK ARTEMI PANARIN JONNY BRODZINSKI
23.5 MIKA ZIBANEJAD J.T. MILLER WILL CUYLLE
20.4 MATT REMPE SAM CARRICK BRETT BERARD

DobberHockey Podcasts

Keeping Karlsson: Gr8 V16es

Elan and Brian celebrate two legends with massive accomplishments today: Alex Ovechkin, the NHL’s new goal scoring record holder, and Ian F, the newly crowned KKUPFL Ultimate Champion and undisputed best fantasy hockey manager in the world. You decide which one matters more.

Fantasy Hockey Life: Tidy Commissioner Roundtable

Our TIDY commish team joins the show for a roundtable to look back on a thrilling season. Have a listen! Our show is part of the Dobber Podcast Network and sponsored by Fantrax.com. Email fantasyhockeylife@gmail.com and ask to join our free discord. Join our Patreon at Patreon.com/fantasyhockeylife for rankings, bonus podcasts, in-depth prospect reports with […]

Keeping Karlsson Short Shifts – Playoff Injury Rundown

Shams is here with special guest Derrick to get you set up for the final stretch run of your fantasy playoffs. They go through the near term schedule covering the teams you should look at for streams and which ones you should consider dropping players from. After that, they cover a long list of injuries […]

FIND US ON FACEBOOK

📢 advertisement: