Analytics Advantage: Huberdeau’s Successful Season; Schenn’s Multi-Category Value; Doughty’s Role, and More

Stas Pupkov

2025-03-27

Welcome back to Analytics Advantage. With the fantasy playoffs in full swing, finding players who can contribute across scoring and peripheral categories is key to gaining an edge. This week, we spotlight Jonathan Huberdeau, Patrick Kane, Brayden Schenn, Filip Hronek, and Drew Doughty. Each player has shown strong per-60 production or situational value worth targeting down the stretch.

Using position-adjusted per-60 metrics, we evaluate their offensive output, physical contributions, and overall fantasy relevance, helping you make the most of every roster spot.

Analysis Overview

To assess these players, we use per-60 statistics, which normalize production to allow for fair comparisons regardless of ice time. This approach provides a more accurate view of a player's impact and fantasy potential. The primary metrics analyzed include:

• Goals/60

• Assists/60

• Primary Points/60

• Shots/60

• Hits/60

• Shots Blocked/60

• Fantasy Points Per Game (FPPG/60)

Visual Analysis Includes:

• Stacked Bar Graphs comparing each player's per-60 stats to their position-specific league averages

• FPPG vs. TOI Scatter Plot to highlight player efficiency and role

• Hits/60 vs. Shots Blocked/60 Bubble Chart to evaluate physical play and defensive contributions          

Player Analysis

Calgary Flames | Jonathan Huberdeau Fantasy Analysis (Forward)

Key Strengths: Playmaking upside, offensive zone deployment, transition involvement

Concerns: Low hit totals, modest shot volume, high turnover rate

Huberdeau has quietly put together a strong stretch of offensive production, ranking in the 91st percentile for Primary Points/60 (2.26) and 76th percentile for Assists/60 (1.33). His FPPG/60 (8.74) sits well above the forward average, placing him in the 83rd percentile. While his shot volume (6.01 Shots/60) is just below average, his finishing has been highly efficient, shooting 20% (94th percentile) helping him to 1.19 Goals/60 (87th percentile).

His deployment has been favorable, with 68% of his shifts starting in the offensive zone (80th percentile), and he ranks in the 95th percentile for Rush Attempts, indicating strong involvement in transition play. However, his fantasy value is held back by limited contributions in physical categories. He ranks in just the 19th percentile for Hits/60 (1.90) and 22nd percentile in Faceoff Win %. He also leads the featured forwards in giveaways (79, 96th percentile), which could be a concern in leagues with turnover penalties.

Fantasy Outlook: Huberdeau's recent production makes him a viable streaming option or depth add in scoring-focused formats. His playmaking and efficient scoring give him offensive upside, but managers in multi-category leagues should be wary of his low hit totals and high giveaway rate.

Detroit Red Wings | Patrick Kane Fantasy Analysis (Forward)

Key Strengths: High-end playmaking, strong shot volume, favorable deployment

Concerns: Low physicality, turnover risk

Kane has delivered quality offensive production since returning, ranking in the 92nd percentile for Assists/60 (1.78) and the 89th percentile for Points/60 (2.78). He's been a reliable fantasy contributor, with an FPPG/60 of 8.28 (79th percentile) and 1.00 Goals/60 (76th percentile), driven by a solid shot rate of 8.13 Shots/60 (83rd percentile).

The veteran forward benefits from heavy offensive usage, with a 74% offensive zone start rate (90th percentile), and remains a capable rebound creator (24, 76th percentile). However, his peripheral contributions are limited—ranking in just the 4th percentile for Hits/60 (0.78) and 7th percentile for Shots Blocked/60 (0.95). He also ranks in the 88th percentile for giveaways (64), showing some possession risk.

Fantasy Outlook: Kane continues to offer value as a secondary scorer and elite playmaker in point-focused formats. His high shot volume and deployment support sustained production, but his low hit totals and defensive value make him less appealing in physical leagues.

St. Louis Blues | Brayden Schenn Fantasy Analysis (Forward)

Key Strengths: Balanced scoring, physical presence, faceoff production

Concerns: Below-average shot volume, limited defensive metrics

Schenn brings a well-rounded stat line, contributing 1.41 Assists/60 (81st percentile) and 1.69 Primary Points/60 (73rd percentile), with solid efficiency overall. While his Goals/60 (0.80) is only slightly above average (60th percentile), he supplements his value with physicality—ranking in the 72nd percentile for Hits/60 (8.04).

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Schenn's shot rate is around average at 6.07 Shots/60 (51st percentile), and he's involved in scoring plays consistently (FPPG/60 of 8.26, 79th percentile). However, his peripheral defensive stats are mediocre, with 2.12 Shots Blocked/60 (49th percentile). His faceoff win rate of 51% (75th percentile) gives him an added edge in leagues that reward draws.

Fantasy Outlook: Schenn offers moderate scoring upside with a solid floor due to his hit totals and faceoff usage. He's a dependable multi-category contributor, especially valuable in banger or faceoff leagues.

Vancouver Canucks | Filip Hronek Fantasy Analysis (Defenseman)

Key Strengths: Assist generation, heavy workload, offensive zone usage

Concerns: Low physicality, weak shot-blocking totals

Hronek has quietly delivered strong offensive numbers, ranking in the 90th percentile for Assists/60 (1.16) and 80th percentile for Points/60 (1.36). Despite his lower goal output (0.20 Goals/60, 58th percentile), he remains a dependable puck-mover and playmaker, especially in deeper leagues.

Hronek logs big minutes (23.78 TOI/GP, 93rd percentile) and earns regular offensive deployment (50% OZS, 67th percentile). However, he isn't known for physical play—ranking in the 55th percentile for Hits/60 (3.48) and just the 15th percentile for Shots Blocked/60 (3.33). His fantasy value lies in his offensive usage and consistency rather than peripherals.

Fantasy Outlook: Hronek is a strong option for managers seeking offensive contributions from their blue line. While his lack of physical stats limits appeal in multi-category formats, his ice time and assist rates make him a viable add in point-heavy leagues.

Los Angeles Kings | Drew Doughty Fantasy Analysis (Defenseman)

Key Strengths: Elite ice time, strong scoring efficiency, favorable deployment

Concerns: Low physicality, weak takeaway production

Doughty remains one of the top-minute defensemen in the league, averaging 24.77 TOI/GP (97th percentile), which provides a high floor for fantasy output. He's produced efficiently with 0.99 Assists/60 (79th percentile) and 0.33 Goals/60 (82nd percentile), helping him reach an FPPG/60 of 8.25 (85th percentile).

His shot rate is slightly below average (3.74 Shots/60, 53rd percentile), and his Hits/60 (1.98) and Shots Blocked/60 (4.29) fall short of elite defensive contributors. Though he starts often in the offensive zone (58% OZS, 81st percentile), he doesn't offer much in transition (5 Rush Attempts) or takeaway stats (5, 23rd percentile).

Fantasy Outlook: Doughty is a dependable defenseman in point-based formats, supported by elite ice time and consistent production. His lack of defensive peripherals makes him a less ideal fit for banger leagues, but his overall value remains high in standard scoring formats.

Final Takeaways

As the fantasy playoffs continue, targeting players who align with your roster's needs is critical. Each of this week's highlighted options brings a different set of strengths, and understanding their underlying metrics can help maximize your lineup's output.

Jonathan Huberdeau has quietly returned to relevance with strong primary point production and impressive transition play. While his goal-scoring and assist rates are up, his low shot volume and limited physical impact make him more valuable in scoring-focused formats.

Patrick Kane has rediscovered his offensive touch in Detroit, delivering high-end assist totals and consistent production. His favorable deployment and rebound creation provide fantasy upside, but his physical stats remain among the lowest for forwards.

Brayden Schenn continues to provide value through a mix of secondary scoring, physical play, and faceoff success. While his shot rate is average and defensive contributions are limited, he remains a strong depth option in multi-category leagues.

Filip Hronek offers a dependable presence from the blue line, with strong assist rates and elite ice time. His low shot-blocking and hit totals limit his ceiling in physical formats, but he remains a useful playmaker in point-heavy setups.

Drew Doughty remains a reliable fantasy defenseman thanks to massive ice time and solid per-60 scoring numbers. Though his physicality and defensive impact have declined, his deployment and offensive efficiency keep him fantasy relevant down the stretch.

For managers looking to gain an edge in the playoffs, Huberdeau and Kane provide scoring upside in offensive leagues, while Schenn, Hronek, and Doughty offer dependable production based on deployment and category fit.

Stay Connected

For personalized advice or more in-depth analysis:

•           Twitter/X: @DH_staspup

•           Email: staspup@proton.me

•           Bluesky: stasp.bsky.social

Data Source: NaturalStatTrick (March 25, 2025)

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