A Roto-Look Ahead – Week 1
Tom Reeve
2008-10-03
Fantasy managers know that deciding who to play day-by-day and week-by-week can be a tough decision. Doing it well can make the difference between winning and losing. This will help give you an edge. The charts below show you the best five and worst five schedules for upcoming seven-day periods. Some of you used them last year but for the benefit of new readers here is a refresher.
The number next to the team indicates the 'multiplier' to use on a player's point-per-game pace to give you an idea how many points to expect for that week. Example:
For the week starting on October 7 the NY Islanders have a rating of 4.20. That means that if you think Mike Comrie is a 0.80 point-per-game player then you should expect about 3.4 points from him (4.20 X 0.80).
Boston has a 1.90 rating over the same period. If you think Marc Savard is a 1.10 point-per-game player then you should expect about 2.1 points from him. So even though Marc Savard is a better player you may choose to go with Comrie over Savard.
The Rangers Jackrabbit Start
The schedule contains some other quirks that can be exploited by a clever fantasy owner.
Every year some teams come out of the gate faster then others. This year it is the New York Rangers. Starting in Europe and continuing for half the season the Rangers play more games early on. You will have to wait all the way until January 2 until you can find a day when the Rangers are not the league leaders in games played. By the time we are at the 40-game mark this might not mean much but early on this difference can be significant.
On November 6 the Rangers will have played 16 games while the Montreal Canadians will have only played 10. It might be the right time to pitch a Redden for Markov deal to an unsuspecting GM. Or maybe on November 17 you can try see if your competition doesn't notice Zherdev has played 21 games to Gaborik's 15. While you may not be able to sell these trade offers, just keep the Rangers schedule in mind for the next two months and it could give you an edge.
| Saturday, October 4, 2008 to Friday October 10, 2008 | ||||||
| Best Bets | ||||||
| NY Rangers 3.45 – the only team to play three games in the first week | ||||||
| Pittsburgh 2.20 – plays Ottawa twice in Europe | ||||||
| Ottawa 1.90 – two games against Pittsburgh | ||||||
| Tampa Bay 1.80 – two games against the Rangers | ||||||
| Detroit 1.16 – one game to open the season at home to the Leafs | ||||||
| Steer Clear | ||||||
| Minnesota 0.00 – zero games | ||||||
| Edmonton 0.00 – zero games | ||||||
| Los Angeles 0.00 – zero games | ||||||
| Philadelphia 0.00 – zero games | ||||||
| Phoenix 0.00 – zero games | ||||||
| Sunday, October 5, 2008 to Saturday October 11, 2008 | ||||||
| Best Bets | ||||||
| NY Rangers 3.26 – three games TB, CHI and PHI | ||||||
| Florida 2.31 – away to CAR and home to ATL | ||||||
| Detroit 2.20 – home to TOR and a visit to OTT | ||||||
| Carolina 2.19 – home to FLA and a visit to TB | ||||||
| Washington 2.19 – visit ATL and host CHI | ||||||
| Steer Clear | ||||||
| Edmonton 0.00 – zero games | ||||||
| Anaheim 0.76 – one road game against the Sharks | ||||||
| Los Angeles 0.76 – one road game against the Sharks | ||||||
| Philadelphia 0.95 – host the Rangers | ||||||
| Colorado 1.05 – home to Boston | ||||||
| Monday, October 6, 2008 to Sunday October 12, 2008 | ||||||
| Best Bets | ||||||
| San Jose 3.24 – host the Ducks and then a home-and-home with the Kings | ||||||
| Florida 2.31 – away to CAR and home to ATL | ||||||
| Detroit 2.20 – home to TOR and a visit to OTT | ||||||
| Carolina 2.19 – home to FLA and a visit to TB | ||||||
| Washington 2.19 – visit ATL and host CHI | ||||||
| Steer Clear | ||||||
| Philadelphia 0.95 – host the Rangers | ||||||
| Pittsburgh 0.95 – home to Brodeur and the Devils | ||||||
| Ottawa 0.95 – home to the DET | ||||||
| Edmonton 1.05 – home to the Avalanche | ||||||
| Buffalo 1.05 – home to Montreal | ||||||
| Tuesday, October 7, 2008 to Monday October 13, 2008 | ||||||
| Best Bets | ||||||
| Detroit 3.25 – three games TOR, OTT, and CAR | ||||||
| San Jose 3.24 – host the Ducks and then a home-and-home with the Kings | ||||||
| St. Louis 3.14 – three games NAS, NYI, and TOR | ||||||
| Carolina 3.14 – three games FLA, TB, DET | ||||||
| Washington 3.14 -three games ATL, CHI, VAN | ||||||
| Steer Clear | ||||||
| Edmonton 1.05 – home to the Avalanche | ||||||
| Pittsburgh 0.95 – home to Brodeur and the Devils | ||||||
| Minnesota – 1.05 – home to the Bruins | ||||||
| Ottawa 0.95 – home to the Wings | ||||||
| Tampa Bay 1.16 – home to the Hurricanes | ||||||
| Wednesday, October 8, 2008 to Tuesday October 14, 2008 | ||||||
| Best Bets | ||||||
| San Jose 4.29 – four games ANA, LA, LA, CLB | ||||||
| St. Louis 3.14 – three games NAS, NYI, and TOR | ||||||
| Carolina 3.14 – three games FLA, TB, DET | ||||||
| Detroit 3.25 – three games TOR, OTT, and CAR | ||||||
| Washington 3.14 -three games ATL, CHI, VAN | ||||||
| Steer Clear | ||||||
| Ottawa 0.95 – home to the Wings | ||||||
| Edmonton 1.05 – home to the Avalanche | ||||||
| Tampa Bay 1.16 – home to the Hurricanes | ||||||
| Phoenix 1.81 – home to Jackets and visit the Ducks | ||||||
| Boston 1.90 – visit Avalanche and Wild | ||||||
| Thursday, October 9, 2008 to Wednesday October 15, 2008 | ||||||
| Best Bets | ||||||
| San Jose 4.29 – four games ANA, LA, LA, CLB | ||||||
| Anaheim 4.11 – four games SJ, PHX, LA, EDM | ||||||
| NY Rangers 4.10 – four games CHI, PHI, NJ, BUF | ||||||
| Montreal 4.09 – four games BUF, TOR, PHI, BOS | ||||||
| Chicago 3.91 – four games NYR, WAS, NAS, PHX | ||||||
| Steer Clear | ||||||
| Ottawa 0.95 – home to the Wings | ||||||
| Tampa Bay 1.16 – home to the Hurricanes | ||||||
| Edmonton 1.81 – home to Avs and visit the Ducks | ||||||
| Pittsburgh 2.00 – home to Flyers and Devils | ||||||
| Minnesota 2.19 – home to Bruins and visit Thrashers | ||||||
| Friday, October 10, 2008 to Thursday, October 16, 2008 | ||||||
| Best Bets | ||||||
| NY Islanders 4.20 – four games NJ, STL, BUF, TB | ||||||
| NY Rangers 4.10 – four games, thee at home CHI, PHI, NJ, BUF | ||||||
| Montreal 4.09 – four games BUF, TOR, PHI, BOS | ||||||
| St. Louis 4.09 – four games NAS, NYI, TOR, DAL | ||||||
| New Jersey 4.01 – four games NYI, PIT, NYR, ATL | ||||||
| Steer Clear | ||||||
| Ottawa 0.95 – home to the Wings | ||||||
| Edmonton 1.81 – home to Avs and visit the Ducks | ||||||
| Boston 1.90 – on the road to play the Wild and Montreal | ||||||
| Calgary 2.00 – home to VAN and COL | ||||||
| Toronto 2.10 – home to MTL and STL | ||||||
| Saturday, October 11, 2008 to Friday October 17, 2008 | ||||||
| Best Bets | ||||||
| San Jose 4.21 – four games LA, LA, CLB, ANA | ||||||
| NY Rangers 4.21 – four games, three at home PHI, NJ, BUF, TOR | ||||||
| Anaheim 4.19 – four games, three at home PHX, LA, EDM, SJ | ||||||
| Phoenix 3.81 – four games, three on the road CLB, ANA, CHI, OTT | ||||||
| Philadelphia 3.80 – four games NYR, MTL, PIT, COL | ||||||
| Steer Clear | ||||||
| Boston 1.90 – on the road to play the Wild and Montreal | ||||||
| Ottawa 2.00 – home to Red Wings and Coyotes | ||||||
| Tampa Bay 2.31 – home to CAR and NYI | ||||||
| Florida 2.31 – home to ATL and MIN | ||||||
| Columbus 2.76 – three games PHX, SJ, NAS | ||||||
| Sunday, October 12, 2008 to Saturday October 18, 2008 | ||||||
| Best Bets | ||||||
| Anaheim 4.19 – four games PHX, LA, EDM, SJ | ||||||
| NY Rangers 4.11 – four games NJ, BUF, TOR, DET | ||||||
| San Jose 4.00 – four games LA, CLB, ANA, PHI | ||||||
| Buffalo 3.99 – four games NYI, NYR, VAN, ATL | ||||||
| Colorado 3.90 – four games EDM, CGY, PHI, DAL | ||||||
| Steer Clear | ||||||
| Boston 2.00 – away to Montreal and Ottawa | ||||||
| Carolina 2.09 – home to Wings and visit the Kings | ||||||
| Ottawa 2.10 – home to Coyotes and Bruins | ||||||
| Tampa Bay 2.21 – home to Islanders and Wild | ||||||
| Florida 2.21 – home to Wild and Islanders | ||||||
| Monday, October 13, 2008 to Sunday October 19, 2008 | ||||||
| Best Bets | ||||||
| Anaheim 4.29 – four games, three at home LA, EDM, SJ, CAR | ||||||
| NY Rangers 4.11 – four games NJ, BUF, TOR, DET | ||||||
| Chicago 4.00 – four games NAS, PHX, STL, VAN | ||||||
| Buffalo 3.99 – four games NYI, NYR, VAN, ATL | ||||||
| Nashville 3.81 – four games CHI, DAL, CLB, CLB | ||||||
| Steer Clear | ||||||
| Boston 2.00 – two road games against Montreal and Ottawa | ||||||
| Los Angeles 2.00 – home to the Ducks and Hurricanes | ||||||
| Ottawa 2.10 – home to Coyotes and Bruins | ||||||
| Tampa Bay 2.21 – home to NYI and MIN | ||||||
| Florida 2.21 – home to MIN and NYI |
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| 22.9 | SAM STEEL EVGENII DADONOV OSKAR BACK | |
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