Top 100 Roto Players – March/April 2009

Dobber Sports

2009-04-15

ovie

 

Alexander Ovechkin reclaims the top spot and the glory of being the number one roto player for 2009.

Ovechkin and Malkin were neck and neck, but 550+ shots? That difference was the equivalent of adding a mid range forwards shot production to your roster. That was the deciding factor.

 

 

 

 

Mar/April Player Team Feb Jan Dec
1 Alex Ovechkin WAS 2 1 1
2 Evgeni Malkin PIT 1 2 2
3 Jeff Carter PHI 10 9 5
4 Sidney Crosby PIT 5 5 4
5 Tim Thomas BOS 3 15 22
6 Corey Perry ANH 9 4 7
7 Ryan Getzlaf ANH 4 3 3
8 Marian Hossa DET 6 6 8
9 Zach Parise NJ 8 9 11
10 Mike Green WAS 17 24 NA
11 Alexander Semin WAS 28 49 NA
12 Niklas Backstrom MIN 7 14 37
13 Mike Richards PHI 16 13 10
14 Eric Staal CAR 27 19 12
15 Pavel Datsyuk DET 11 24 30
16 Daniel Sedin VAN 19 17 18
17 Marc Savard BOS 12 8 6
18 H. Zetterberg DET 18 26 13
19 Ilya Kovalchuk ATL 20 30 33
20 Jarome Iginla CGY 14 16 15
21 Sheldon Souray EDM 30 18 18
22 Dany Heatley OTT 21 29 16
23 Rick Nash CLS 26 35 23
24 Zdeno Chara BOS 36 25 32
25 Jason Spezza OTT NA 47 45
26 Shane Doan PHO 31 28 20
27 M. Cammalleri CGY 45 NA NA
28 Patrik Elias NJ 15 10 9
29 J. Langenbrunner NJ 32 31 NA
30 Scott Hartnell PHI 40 27 39
31 Dion Phaneuf CGY 42 20 34
32 Roberto Luongo VAN NA NA 35
33 Mikko Koivu MIN 22 11 14
34 V. Lecavalier TB 23 12 25
35 Shea Weber NSH 47 38 28
36 Martin Havlat CHI 46 NA NA
37 Simon Gagne PHI 48 NA 50
38 Patrick Kane CHI 34 44 38
39 Steve Mason CLS 13 42 17
40 Joe Pavelski SJ NA NA NA
41 Johan Franzen DET NA NA 46
42 Alexei Kovalev MON NA 38 33
43 Jason Blake TOR 38 39 NA
44 Rob Blake SJ 33 34 21
45 N. Backstrom WAS 41 NA NA
46 Martin St. Louis TB 37 50 NA
47 Scott Gomez NYR 50 48 43
48 Dustin Brown LA 29 22 31
49 Devin Setoguchi SJ 39 NA 45
50 Patrick Marleau SJ 24 36 30
51 Ray Whitney CAR 67 72
52 Ryan Smyth COL 35 22
53 David Backes STL 82 66
54 Dan Boyle SJ 61 55
55 David Booth FLA 73 70
56 Olli Jokinen CGY/PHO 68 56
57 Chris Pronger ANH 60 42
58 A. Burrows VAN NA NA
59 Derek Roy BUF 44 58
60 Bill Guerin NYI/PIT 65 36
61 Jonathan Toews CHI 57 86
62 Brian Gionta NJ 66 60
63 Joe Thornton SJ 43 73
64 Nicklas Lidstrom DET 75 90
65 Tuomo Ruutu CAR NA NA
66 M. Samuelsson DET 53 46
67 Thomas Vanek BUF 52 54
68 D. Alfredsson OTT 71 NA
69 S. Niedermayer ANH 76 62
70 Jason Pominville BUF 79 79
71 Travis Zajac NJ 63 59
72 Henrik Sedin VAN 81 NA
73 Phil Kessel BOS 59 45
74 Chris Kunitz PIT/ANH NA 76
75 Ryan Kesler VAN NA NA
76 Cam Ward CAR NA NA
77 Anze Kopitar LA 78 85
78 Brad Boyes STL 83 81
79 Nikolai Zherdev NYR 67 69
80 Ales Hemsky EDM 84 98
81 Milan Michalek SJ 89 NA
82 Slava Kozlov ATL NA NA
83 Duncan Keith CHI NA NA
84 K. Huselius CLS 86 80
85 Jason Arnott NSH 64 64
86 Pekka Rinne NSH 25 NA
87 Mike Ribeiro DAL NA NA
88 R.J. Umberger CLS 95 87
89 Pavel Kubina TOR 97 100
90 Brandon Dubinsky NYR 87 77
91 Joffrey Lupul PHI NA NA
92 Ryan Callahan NYR NA NA
93 Chris Drury NYR NA 97
94 Michael Ryder BOS NA 74
95 Dennis Wideman BOS 96 78
96 Markus Naslund NYR 99 NA
97 Jay Bouwmeester FLA 98 67
98 David Krejci BOS 69 88
99 Andrei Markov MON 90 84
100 Bobby Ryan ANH NA NA

 

1. Alexander Ovechkin

Can Ovechkin be any more consistent? The guy is a machine and is the most exciting player in the NHL. How many goals would he have scored in 1986? 100?

 

2. Evgeni Malkin

Malkin has been as good as he is ugly. But as the new kid on the block, he is beginning to become overrated. The Crosby backlash has created a perception that Malkin has been a far superior player, but is that hyperbole or true? Here are Crosby’s numbers projected through 82 games.

 

Malkin Crosby

 

Is it possible to go from severely overrated (ie. Gretzky claiming in an era where goals are scored at 75% of the 80s, that Crosby could break his records) to underrated by the age of 21? Malkin is a great player, but he has made it a three horse race, nothing more, nothing less

 

3. Jeff Carter

Do you think that Paul Holmgren knew how good Mike Richards and Jeff Carter were? With 42M wrapped up in 13 players (with no goalie and a yet to be signed Coburn extension) in 2011 with a spiraling cap, I am saying NO, because if he did, he wouldn’t have locked Daniel Briere until his 26th birthday

 

[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vt2AAenVpKg]

 

 

4. Sidney Crosby

Sid the Kid underrated? Looking at his age splits, I believe that fantasy keeper owners need to take a closer look at whether he has had his breakout year yet.

 

5. Tim Thomas

Thomas should be happy he plays hockey and not baseball, because journeymen whose numbers improve to All-Star calibre at the age of 34 would not escape unscathed. Can somebody provide a picture from Vermont so we can check his head size? If he is sharing hats with Zdeno Chara, then something is up.

 

6. Corey Perry

Perry had a monster finish with 13 pts (8G, 5A) in his final 9 games. That finish allowed him to vault 3 spots into 6th. He is on the verge of a 5 category stud and the best RW in fantasy

 

7. Ryan Getzlaf

Part two of the dynamic duo. How good can these two be? If I was going to compare them to a previous NHL duo, it would be Stan Mikita and Bobby Hull, not on talent, but hair folicles. Somebody needs to tell Getzlaf that the comb forward isn’t working, we can all tell.

 

8. Marian Hossa

Hossa is getting a lot of fantasy love this year, but when comparing his 2008 numbers to 2009, he has to be considered a disappointment. Not because his numbers are not good, but because he dropped almost 4 minutes of ice time per game and lost a minute and a half of PP time. That will put a major dent in your production.

 

9. Zach Parise

If Parise had a tiny bit of the crazy streak that allowed his father to almost slash referee Josef Kompalla in the 72 Summit Series then he would be a 6 category stud, unfortunately Zach is unlikely to ever make an impact in the PIMs department.

 

10. Mike Green

What type of numbers would Green have put up if he had played 14 more games? Who says you can’t pluck franchise players outside of the top 5, the Caps did when they stole Green at 29 from a pick they acquired from the Wings for Robert Lang.

 

11. Alexander Semin

Top 10 talent, but for me, because of his injury history, Semin has stained his reputation.

 

12. Niklas Backstrom

Talk about highs and lows. One month ago Backstrom signed a long term deal with the Wild and looked to be a fantasy lock, but with Jacques Lemaire leaving it will be interesting to see if the Wild keep the same philosophy, or shift gears. If they decide to shift gears, Backstrom’s numbers will take a hit.

 

13. Mike Richards

After a torrid early March, Richards pushed himself into the top 10, but 8 scoreless games and a -10 rating in his last 14 games hurt his early gains.

 

14. Eric Staal

Everybody has been looking for the 2006 Eric Staal, well if you have been watching Carolina recently, there he was. Since March 1st, Staal had 26 pts (13G/13A) in 18 games. I really like the Canes in these playoffs, as far as I am concerned, the two best goalies in the league right now are Ward and Luongo.

 

15. Pavel Datsyuk

You think Datysuk’s success has anything to do with him having his eyes on the sides of his head? Literally, his eyes are on the side of his head.

 

16. Daniel Sedin

Sedin is an Anti-Kovalev’s. His monthly breakdowns show how consistent he is.
Oct: 8 pts/11 games
Nov: 13 pts/14 games
Dec: 16 pts/14 games
Jan: 10 pts/12 games
Feb: 11 pts/11 games
March/Apr: 23 pts/22 games

 

17. Marc Savard

I wonder if Savard’s future lies in Boston after Thomas recently signed for $5M per. That contract coupled with Michael Ryder’s is going to bite them in the ass very soon.

 

18. Henrik Zetterberg

Zetterberg 12 yrs/Franzen 11 yrs? Ken Holland has entered the Glen Sather in the mid 90’s mode. He could sign Marian Gaborik to a 19 year deal and people would hail it as revolutionary. Maybe I am missing something, but in every other cap sport, flexibility is essential, 10+ year deals are extremely risky.

 

19. Ilya Kovalchuk

Kovalchuk has been fantastic since he became captain of the Thrashers. In his last 36 games:

Kovalchuk: 27G/21A/48P/+1/21 PIM/15 PPP/138 SOG
Ovechkin:   27G/26A/53P/-5/20 PIM/24 PPP/246 SOG
Malkin:        17G/27A/44P/+3/32 PIM/17 PPP/126 SOG
Crosby:       17G/35A/52P/-2/17 PIM/20 PPP/105 SOG

Those are elite numbers and compare favourably to Ovechkin outside of his ridiculous shot totals

 

20. Jarome Iginla

Iginla has been replaced as the best RW in fantasy and his offensive numbers have now declined for  the third consecutive year. At only 31 a bounce back is possible, but with 2 out of the last three seasons with 40 PIMs or less, you have to wonder if the PIMs will ever return.

 

21. Sheldon Souray

Souray is your prototypical fantasy player. All of his greatest attributes are rewarded in roto hockey. He has a booming shot, he is a PP specialist who is constantly fed shooting opportunities and is tough as nails. That is enough to cover off 4 of 6 categories and make him one of the most sought after defensemen in fantasy. If blown defensive zone coverages and outlet passes were negative categories, he wouldn’t be in the top 100.

 

22. Dany Heatley

Pencil Heatley in for 40 goals per year. It is almost a guarantee if he is healthy. Should the Sens rebound next season, Heatley should return to being a + player and a five category contributor.

 

23. Rick Nash

The light has gone on. Literally and figuratively.

 

24. Zdeno Chara

And to think Mike Milbury traded Chara and Spezza for Alexei Yashin. Yet this guy is working for 4-5 networks giving hockey advice? Bertuzzi, Jokinen, Luongo, DiPietro, Heatley, it goes on and on and on.

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25. Jason Spezza

See 24. I am not a Spezza fan, and was not surprised to see him raise his game with the firing of Hartsburg.

 

26. Shane Doan

I would love to see Gary Bettman return the franchise he borrowed to Winnipeg and watch Doan finish out his career where it began.

 

27. Mike Cammalleri

You know a team has cap issues when they can’t afford to fill out their full roster to end the season. But I am sure they have enough to give Cammalleri his $5M per season, just one of the reasons I thought the Jokinen deal was a big mistake. 13 players at $50M? Bye bye Mike.

 

28. Patrik Elias

Next season is an even numbered year, so you can book Elias for 45-55 points. The Brett Saberhagen of hockey.

 

29. Jamie Langenbrunner

Langenbrunner is the 5th ranked RW. Did I mention that right wing is lacking in depth?

 

30. Scott Hartnell

One of these things is not like the others,
One of these things just doesn’t belong,
Can you tell which thing is not like the others
By the time I finish my song?

Did you guess which thing was not like the others?
Did you guess which thing just doesn’t belong?
If you guessed this one is not like the others,
Then you’re absolutely…right!

 

31. Dion Phaneuf

I don’t like happy Dion. What I want to see is the Flames and Rangers going out in the first round and Phaneuf and Avery being named to Team Canada. Can somebody make this happen?

 

32. Roberto Luongo

As the hair gets longer, the stats get better. Coincidence? I think not.

 

33. Mikko Koivu

When Jacques Lemaire announced his intentions to leave Minnesota I bet that Mikko Koivu had his car gassed up and his keys ready for him. Don’t let the door hit you in the ass on your way out Jacques. Now if Gaborik sticks around, Koivu’s ceiling gets higher, well, for the 40 games Gaborik will play it does.

 

34. Vincent Lecavalier

Injury was responsible for Lecavalier’s late season drop, it should be an interesting off season for Vinny as the Montreal rumours will continue to swirl.

 

35. Shea Weber

If you removed Dec 8th to Feb 19th from Shea Weber’s 2009 resume he would have 45 points in 49 games. See how easy stats are to manipulate.

 

36. Martin Havlat

He is trying to suck me back in! It will not work. I will not eat the apple.

 

37. Simon Gagne

Gagne made it through the season concussion free. Now if somebody could outfit him with one of those Mark Kelso gazoo helmets, I might draft him next season.

 

38. Patrick Kane

I really believe that Kane’s numbers suffered from his high ankle sprain. After he suffered the sprain on December 30th he struggled for 6 weeks producing only 5 points in 17 games. Remove that stretch and he is a point per game guy. See, I did it again.

 

39. Steve Mason

Although he should cruise to the Calder trophy, his ranking plummeted over the final 6 weeks as Mason registered some pretty mediocre numbers. He slumped to the finish line with a 9-6-4 record and a 2.62 GAA and a .906 SV%, impressive for 20, but a stark contrast to the rest of his season.

 

40. Joe Pavelski

Solid, but unspectacular.

 

41. Johan Franzen

Who was Holland negotiating against? Djurgårdens IF? Why 11 years?

 

42. Alex Kovalev

Kovalev is so talented that in a contract year he decided to take 2 months off and add some zeroes to his next contract over his last 10 games. Over those 10 games he had 17 points, a total it took him 2 and a half months to produce between Jan 10 and March 21st. 65 pts in 78 games is not as disgraceful as 48 pts in 68 games.

 

43. Jason Blake

If Jason Blake is your best player, odds are it was a long year.

 

44. Rob Blake

Watching Rob Blake finish up the 2009 campaign was like watching Miami University trying to finish off Boston U. The heart was there, but the legs were not.

 

[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cd9TCdZkK4Y]

 

45. Nicklas Backstrom

Backstrom finished up strong with 33 points in his final 28 games. Ovechkin and Backstrom are going to put up monster numbers for the next 10 years.

 

46. Martin St. Louis

One wonders how long Sergei Puckisin can remain among the elite. Puckisin’s production has declined for three seasons in a row and 33 year old 6 inch forwards usually don’t get better with age.

 

47. Scott Gomez

The Six-Million Dollar Man finished up strong and I expect him to comeback next season  better than he was before. Better, stronger….faster.

[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=woOLEEu8RLI]

 

48. Dustin Brown

I am amazed that Brown held onto a top 50 spot after taking the last 6 weeks off. Over the last 21 games Brown had 5 pts (1G/4A), a -9, 10 PIMs, 0 PPP and 51 SOG. I think he owes the Kings $800,000.

 

49. Devin Setoguchi

See last month

 

50. Patrick Marleau

Marleau struggled with injuries down the stretch and likely would have been higher if he remained healthy.

 

 

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