Trending Down (2014-15) Part 1

Doran Libin

2015-02-16

  CamFowler

 

Thirteen players who have been in a tailspin over the past month…

 

The last two weeks covered players heading in the right direction as the trade deadline approaches and we hit the home stretch of the regular season. This week covers players heading in the opposite direction, players having a tougher time scoring at the worst time. There are a few of these players who are cooling off from hot starts and are just now feeling the sting of regression. Some are just struggling. For others it is a matter of an injury or a change in usage. In Arizona the loss of Mikkel Boedker was a big stall for the Coyotes' offense. That has placed even more of the load on Yandle and Ekman-Larsson but has caused others on that team, dependent on Boedker's goal scoring prowess, to slow down or stall altogether.

 

Brad Richards (Pre-January – 19 pts in 34 gms, Jan/Feb – 11 pts in 20 gms)

Brad Richards is a one trick pony this year; grab a spot with Patrick Kane and pick up the leftover points. Richards has played more than two thirds of his even strength minutes with Kane while close to 90% of his even strength points have come with Kane. Richards' production has been a real roller coaster with horrible months in October, December and February and good months in November and January. Richards' shots go on a similar ride at two per game during the bad months and three per game during the good months. So play him in March.

 

Colorado

 

Gabriel Landeskog (Pre-January – 23 pts in 37 gms Jan/Feb – 10 pts in 19 gms)

Something is off with Landeskog this season, as the bulk of the team has had more success this year when not playing with him. This can be seen in Landeskog's on-ice shooting percentage lying under seven percent. Landeskog has had some success, such as in November and December when he was taking three shots every game, but too often he has been closer to two shots per game and struggling to score. In the third quarter of the season as his minutes have increased he has struggled to get to two shots per game.

 

Zach Redmond (Pre-January – 10 pts in 25 gms, Jan/Feb – 1 pt in 9 gms)

Last year Nick Holden was the surprise, come out of nowhere defenseman for the Avs, this year many thought that could be Zach Redmond. He started well posting 10 points in first 25 games but only has one point in his last nine games. That early hot start was built partially off a shooting percentage over 15%. With Erik Johnson out it looked there was the chance that Redmond would get more power play time but it looks like Tyson Barrie is keeping it all for himself.

 

Dallas

 

Ryan Garbutt (Pre-January – 13 pts in 28 gms, Jan/Feb – 4 pts in 20 gms)

Antoine Roussel (Pre-January – 18 pts in 36 gms, Jan/Feb – 4 pts in 18 gms)

Garbutt and Roussel have very similar lines and styles. They are used in the same fashion, starting less than 45% of their shifts in the offensive zone and playing the toughest minutes making it unlikely that they were going to produce a ton of points. Roussel and Garbutt have different problems though. For one, Roussel is on the ice for almost twice as many goals when he plays apart from Garbutt. Roussel also traditionally has a high shooting percentage but does not take more than 1.5 shots per game. Garbutt on the other hand traditionally has a relatively low shooting percentage but takes more than two shots per game. Ruff seems determined to keep Garbutt and Roussel together keeping both their point totals down.

 

Edmonton

 

Derek Roy (Pre-January – 11 pts in 28 gms, Jan/Feb – 9 pts in 19 gms)

It looked like Roy's career might have been rejuvenated when he joined Edmonton and went on an early run. The argument could be made that he is struggling now because he is playing with Yakupov and Ryan Hamilton but his current struggles started before the lineup was shaken up by Hall's injury. He has two points in his last 10 games and only 14 shots. He is also a minus eight over that stretch, which is to say he is not providing value anywhere.

 

Justin Schultz (Pre-January – 15 pts in 37 gms, Jan/Feb – 6 pts in 19 gms)

Schultz has only been in on 35% of the goals the Oilers score when he is on the ice, which is low for an elite defenseman not quarterbacking an elite power play. Another negative for Schultz is the loss of Hall. When Schultz is on the ice with Hall he is on for twice as many goals as when he is apart. The Oilers are dominant with Schultz and Hall on the ice together as they score 4.5 goals per 60 minutes at even strength, accounting for 65% of the goals scored. Schultz without Hall is on for more goals against than for, and only two for every three or four games.

 

 

Trending Up (Part 2)      
Trending Up (Part 1) – 2014-15      
Deep Dive Part 2 (2015)      

 

 

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