Top Lines of 2018-19 (so far)

Brennan Des

2018-12-25

 

Merry Christmas to all you folks who celebrate this wonderful holiday! In this week’s installment, I share a few quick notes about how some lines in the Western Conference have been performing this season. Using Dobber’s Line Production Tool, we compared even-strength point production around the league. ‘Time on ice’ represents how many minutes each trio has played as a line this season. The actual TOI values in minutes were retrieved from Natural Stat Trick. Last week, I compiled a list of the highest scoring line for each team at even strength. Here’s the list…

 

#

Team

Line

Points

Time on Ice

 1

Colorado

Gabriel Landeskog – Nathan MacKinnon – Mikko Rantanen

83

506:25

 2

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Toronto

Zach Hyman – John Tavares – Mitchell Marner

51

374:36

 3

Calgary

Johnny Gaudreau – Sean Monahan – Elias Lindholm

50

387:13

 4

Columbus

Artemi Panarin – Pierre-Luc Dubois – Cam Atkinson

50

326:18

 5

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Montreal

Tomas Tatar – Phillip Danault – Brendan Gallagher

44

347:34

 6

Buffalo

Jeff Skinner – Jack Eichel – Jason Pominville

38

158:16

 7

Dallas

Jamie Benn – Tyler Seguin – Alexander Radulov

38

230:55

 8

Philadelphia

Claude Giroux – Sean Couturier – Travis Konecny

37

238:30

 9

Winnipeg

Nikolaj Ehlers – Mark Scheifele – Blake Wheeler

36

290:33

 10

San Jose

Timo Meier – Logan Couture – Tomas Hertl

33

192:42

 11

Tampa Bay

Tyler Johnson – Brayden Point – Nikita Kucherov

31

167:19

 12

Carolina

Micheal Ferland – Sebastian Aho – Teuvo Teravainen

30

239:24

 13

New Jersey

Taylor Hall – Nico Hischier – Kyle Palmieri

28

251:10

 14

Minnesota

Jason Zucker – Eric Staal – Mikael Granlund

27

233:16

 15

Boston

Brad Marchand – Patrice Bergeron – David Pastrnak

26

210:24

 16

Nashville

Filip Forsberg – Ryan Johansen – Viktor Arvidsson

26

147:34

 17

Pittsburgh

Carl Hagelin – Evgeni Malkin – Phil Kessel

26

147:58

 18

Vegas

Max Pacioretty – Cody Eakin – Alex Tuch

26

190:27

 19

Los Angeles

Alex Iafallo – Anze Kopitar – Dustin Brown

24

317:52

 20

Islanders

Anders Lee – Brock Nelson – Jordan Eberle

23

184:15

 21

Ottawa

Brady Tkachuk – Colin White – Mark Stone

22

184:31

 22

Edmonton

Alex Chiasson – Connor McDavid – Leon Draisaitl

21

147:00

 23

Florida

Jonathan Huberdeau – Aleksander Barkov – Mike Hoffman

19

91:39

 24

Washington

Alex Ovechkin – Nicklas Backstrom – Tom Wilson

19

101:31

 25

Chicago

Alex DeBrincat – Jonathan Toews – Dominik Kahun

18

177:52

 26

Vancouver

Josh Leivo – Elias Pettersson – Brock Boeser

16

67:42

 27

Detroit

Justin Abdelkader – Dylan Larkin – Gustav Nyquist

13

87:43

 28

Anaheim

Max Comtois – Adam Henrique – Jakob Silfverberg

12

51:52

 29

Rangers

Chris Kreider – Kevin Hayes – Filip Chytil

10

84:13

 30

Arizona

Brendan Perlini – Derek Stepan – Christian Fischer

9

44:00

 31

St. Louis

Zach Sanford – Ryan O'Relly – David Perron

9

65:46

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gabriel Landeskog – Nathan MacKinnon – Mikko Rantanen

 

Mikko Rantanen has 59 points. He has 59 points and we’re not even halfway through the season. Can we just take a second to appreciate how insane that is? Some players don’t even tally 59 points over a full 82 games. Rantanen is on pace for 131 points, which would be the highest regular season total since Mario Lemieux put up 161 in 1995-1996. By no means am I saying Rantanen is going to finish the season with 131 points, but it’s not like his current shooting percentage is terribly unsustainable. This year he’s scoring on 16.8% of his shots, last year he was scoring on 16.3% of his shots. However, if I was an owner of Gabriel Landeskog, I’d probably be selling high. Landeskog’s current shooting percentage of 21.4% is considerably higher than what he’s put up in the past.

 

Johnny Gaudreau – Sean Monahan – Elias Lindholm

 

Last season Sean Monahan was playing injured. He was pretty dang far from 100%. “It was a grind, I was freezing my hand every game. Mentally, it wears on you. I am happy to get this taken care of. I felt like was playing with one hand for a while. I lost all my grip strength in my hand. It definitely limits you.” Knowing how much his wrist limited him, it’s even more remarkable that he also had procedures for hernias and his groin during the offseason. Despite all those ailments, he managed 64 points in 74 games last season.  And it’s for that reason, I’m not surprised he currently has 40 points in 37 games – an 89-point pace. Now that he’s healthy, I expect Monahan to finish the season as a point-per-game player for the first time in his career.

 

Jamie Benn – Tyler Seguin – Alexander Radulov

 

As you probably know, this line was a pretty successful one last season, so let’s see how their numbers from this year compare. Benn-Seguin-Radulov were responsible for 53% of shots taken while on the ice last season, a number which sits at 56% so far this season. They’re also creating more scoring chances than their opponents – by a larger margin than the 2017-2018 campaign. Last season, they outscored the opposition 49-33, this season they’re currently outscoring opponents by a score of 21-13.

 

Nikolaj Ehlers – Mark Scheifele – Blake Wheeler

 

Mark Scheifele and Blake Wheeler are probably one of the best duos in the league, but I feel like they aren’t in that conversation enough. Both are among the top-10 in league scoring, Scheifele with 49 points in 36 games, Wheeler with 48 points in 36 games. An interesting note about this trio – despite allowing more high-danger scoring chances that they’ve created (59 for vs. 62 against), they’ve capitalized on 12 of those opportunities, and conceded on just three occasions.

 

Timo Meier – Logan Couture – Tomas Hertl

 

Amidst his second full season with the Sharks, Timo Meier is starting to show why he was drafted ninth overall in 2015. He has 34 points in 35 games and is on pace for 278 shots this season. While Meier should have no trouble cracking 60 points this season, I’m afraid his ceiling isn’t as high as it could be because of limited ice-time – both on the power-play and at even-strength. In future seasons when those numbers go up, his production should too. The fact that Meier-Couture-Hertl make up San Jose’s highest scoring line is made even more impressive by the fact that they start just 47% of their shifts in the offensive zone.

 

Jason Zucker – Eric Staal – Mikael Granlund

 

The advanced stats seem to like this line. Not only do they control 56% of shots taken while they’re on the ice, they also create 61% of scoring chances. However, the most impressive stat is how heavily they’ve dominated opponents in terms of high-danger opportunities. They have 75 for and only 32 against.

 

Filip Forsberg – Ryan Johansen – Viktor Arvidsson

 

Filip Forsberg is one of a few players in the league who can threaten the 40-goal barrier. Despite missing 11 games (and counting) with an injury, he still leads the team with 14 goals. Considering Arvidsson has also been injured for a large chunk of the season, this line hasn’t really had enough of an opportunity to show the league how dominant they are. Through the 13 games they did play as a trio, Forsberg-Johansen-Arvidsson have outshot (58% of shots), out-chanced (59% of scoring chances) and have been more dangerous (68% of high-danger scoring chances) than the opposition. Watch out for this line when Forsberg and Arvidsson are healthy!

 

 

 

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