Dobber: Top 10 Hidden-Value Young PP Performers
Dobber
2019-03-11
With Tom Collins on vacation this week, I figured that since I’ve always wanted to do this column – why not now? It’s been years since you’ve seen a non-Ramblings/Rankings, non-trade breakdown article from yours truly on DobberHockey. Happy to put an end to it here.
Last week we added a new stat and new reports in the Report Generator for Frozen Tools. The new stat is the PPPts/60, which is what it says – the power-play points of a player broken down in 60 minutes of PP time intervals. Nikita Kucherov leads the league with 10.2 PPPts/60, while a player like Viktor Arvidsson has a mere 0.8 PPPts/60 with his measly two points with the man advantage on 146:04 of power-play ice time. The report, which can be found here, also has a few young players on it with high productivity but secondary PP time. If they can continue performing like this, you should see a jump in their PP time next season (or 2020-21) with overall production rising accordingly.
Here are my favorites.
10. Micheal Ferland, Carolina
The energetic winger is set to become an unrestricted free agent in the summer and he stands to really cash in. And by extension, a big salary number generally means a high standing in the lineup – which means more PP time. Ferland sees about 2:08 per game, which isn’t bad. But he has 11points in those 124 over all PP minutes and getting onto the first until will add even more value.
9. Alexander Kerfoot, Colorado
This one won’t pan out next season, barring an injury to one of the Big 3 in Colorado. But who knows what the future brings for 2020-21. Kerfoot has 11 PPPts with 1:54 of average PPTOI. Last year he had 17 with 2:29. He is consistently productive and this will eventually pay dividends for his fantasy owners.
8. Pavel Buchnevich, NY Rangers
A frustrating player because we know he has talent and major upside (“Major Upside reporting for duty, Sir!”), but for whatever reason be it attitude or laziness or imaginary – coaches don’t like him. He has nine PPPts in just 95:31 of total PP ice time, or 5.7 PPPts/60. Since the Deadline, with Kevin Hayes and Mats Zuccarello now gone, Buch is finally on the top power play.
7. Henrik Borgstrom, Florida
He’s seen just 41 minutes of PP time in 37 games so far, and has four points to show for it. That’s 5.8 PPPts/60, a solid ratio. Unless you’ve been living under a rock, you’re probably aware that this rookie has high upside. This number further justifies it.
6. Josh Morrissey, Winnipeg
The future sure looks bright in Winnipeg. Three members of the Jets make this list and to be honest a fourth could have easily been added in Nikolaj Ehlers. But this isn’t a Top 10 underused Winnipeg players list, so Ferland got the final spot instead of Ehlers. As for Morrissey, his talent is elite and one day he will sit among the top five in scoring among defenseman. You can mark that down right now and I’ll sign it. The wait may be two or even three years though, so no angry emails before then please. Anyway, Morrissey has 5.8 PPPts/60.
5. Neal Pionk, NY Rangers
The 23-year-old had 11 PPPts in his first 20 games and that wave has carried him to a high number (7.2 PPPts/60) even here in March. While he has fallen off dramatically, the early numbers hint at something special coming down the road. If Kevin Shattenkirk continues to decline, Pionk will see a corresponding ascent.
4. Jacob Trouba, Winnipeg
The second member of the Jets to crack the list, Trouba has an impressive 7.3 PPPts/60. The problem is that he is third on the pecking order for PP time behind Morrissey and Dustin Byfuglien, and he also has Tyler Myers needing PP time as well. But players of this caliber with this kind of upside eventually find a way. The cream always rises to the top, you just need patience.
3. Kevin Labanc, San Jose
The young winger already sees 2:10 in PP time each game on average, so his skills are already being acknowledged. But there is another level yet and he is showing he is deserving of it with his 17 power-play points. That’s fourth on the Sharks behind players who see a full minute per game more than he.
2. Mike Matheson, Florida
As with the talented defensemen above him such as Trouba and Morrissey, Matheson is buried behind a high-priced and highly-skilled puck mover. In this case it is Keith Yandle. But Matheson has very high upside – you just won’t see it come to fruition for another three years. He has six PPPts despite getting just 56 seconds of PP time each game, or 57 minutes in all. That’s a 6.3 rate.
1. Jack Roslovic, Winnipeg
The third and final Winnipeg player on this list sits at the top. The Jets have high-end talent on their top power play. And they have very good talent on the second unit. And to think they have players not on either unit who could step in and produce, such as Roslovic. Seeing just 42 seconds of PP time per game, Jack has six PPPts for a rate of 7.9 PPPts/60. The wait won’t be as long for him as it would be for the defensemen.