Wild West: Most Disappointing Regular Season Players – Part One

Grant Campbell

2021-06-28

I thought we would match Brennan Des in the East and look at each team in the West and see who were the most disappointing players.

Anaheim – Jakob Silfverberg

The Ducks are not short in this department as any number of disappointing players could be listed including Kevin Shattenkirk, John Gibson, Adam Henrique, Danton Heinen or Sam Steel. I'd have to say that Silfverberg is probably at the top though as he struggled to his worst output in nine NHL seasons with only eight goals and 16 points (0.34 pts/game) in 47 games. For the five seasons prior, he had averaged 21 goals and been consistently between 17 and 24 each of those years. Not helping his fantasy value in addition to his declining output was his minus 17 and lack of any hits or blocked shots. Unless Silfverberg bounces back next season at the age of 31, he is entering bubble territory in most formats.

Arizona – Clayton Keller

I wavered between Keller and Lawson Crouse here but figured there were a lot more people with Keller on their fantasy team than Crouse. The magical fourth-year breakout just didn't happen for Keller and even though he is still just 22 years old, there has to be concern about his future production (especially in Arizona). He seems stuck at around 0.60 pts/game over the last three seasons but interestingly enough he seems to have improved his defensive play in recent years. Is he skilled enough to improve his production and maintain his play away from the puck? Of course, but when or if he will do it is anyone's guess and I'm not willing to bet it will be next season but I do still believe in him to get back to his 65-point rookie season at some point.

Calgary – Sean Monahan

As disappointing as Johnny Gaudreau and Matthew Tkachuk have been the past two seasons I don't think they hold a candle to Sean Monahan. Jacob Markstrom's name could slide into the discussion as well as he probably wasn't quite up to his press clippings coming from Vancouver. When Monahan had 34 goals and 82 points in 2018-19, I had the thought that he'd finally reached his potential and would be a point per game player from then on. When a player like Monahan has so many similar seasons of around 30 goals and 30 assists (five of his eight seasons) it should become clear that the point per game season is the outlier. Even with an expected 60-point production, his 10 goals and 28 points in 50 games last year are a whole step down at 0.56 pts/game and might be his new normal. The bigger concern with Monahan is that his overall play has slipped the past two seasons as well.

Chicago – Dylan Strome

Strome was traded to Chicago for Nick Schmaltz from Arizona during the 2018-19 season and flourished in his first season with the Blackhawks with 17 goals and 51 points in 58 games (0.88). He had 12 goals and 38 points in 58 games last season (0.66) but had some stretches where he struggled ( In the third quarter he had only one assist in 11 games). I had some reservations about him heading into this season but still figured he would produce at a 50-55 point pace, but Strome battled injuries and only managed nine goals and 17 points in 40 games (0.43) which is about a 34-point pace in 82 games. As Alex Debrincat and Dominik Kubalik improve, Strome's role will be hard-pressed to be a top-six role with Chicago and there must be a concern that his defensive play isn't good enough for a bottom-six role. I've been wary about his place on this roster since before last year.

Colorado – Nazem Kadri

In the 2019-20 playoffs, Kadri put up nine goals and 18 points in 15 games, with six goals and eight of those points on the power play. I thought there was real hope that he could expand upon his career-high in 2016-17 when he had 32 goals and 61 points (0.74) in 82 games with Toronto. He only managed 11 goals and 32 points (0.57) in 56 games and only three goals and nine points on the power play. With his suspension in this year's playoffs and only one year remaining on his contract with Colorado, there are a lot more questions than answers for what his role will be this season.

Dallas – Miro Heiskanen

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Heiskanen fooled me much like Kadri above as he posted six goals and 26 points in his 27 playoff games last year in the bubble. He was entering his third year in the NHL after seasons of 33 points (0.40) and 35 points (0.51), so the assumption was that he would at least reach 0.60 to 0.70 points per game this year, especially with the playoff he had. Even with more power-play time (57.9 percent) compared to last season (48.2), Heiskanen scuttled for most of the year at even strength with only 16 points in 55 games (0.29) compared to 28 points in 68 games the year before (0.41). He is entering the magical fourth year, so I might bet on him to get to where I thought he would be this year.

Edmonton – Dominik Kahun

Kailer Yamamoto certainly is worth mentioning here, but his metrics were all screaming that he wouldn't maintain his 26 points in 27 games from the year before, so even though he was disappointing with only eight goals and 21 points (0.40) in 52 games, I have to give the prize to Dominik Kahun. Kahun was brought in by the Oilers after two seasons that saw him post 37 points in 82 games (0.45) with Chicago in 2018-19 and 31 points in 56 games (0.55) split between Buffalo and Pittsburgh in 2019-20. Kahun plays internationally with Germany and has played quite a few games with Leon Draisaitl, so the assumption was that they would have some chemistry together and Kahun would see his point production improve on his average of about 0.5/game. Kahun only had nine goals and 15 points in 48 games (0.31) all while playing with Draisaitl over 55.6 percent of the time at even strength. His lack of production wasn't through a lack of opportunity.

Minnesota – Zach Parise

The addition of Kirill Kaprizov did not help the production of Parise in any way this past season. It is always a risk to pick a 36-year old player in any year, but Parise was coming off of a season with 25 goals and 46 points in 69 games (0.67), so it seemed safe to assume that his production might continue to decline a little this past season but still be around 0.60. Parise’s production was hit the most was on the power play where he went from 53.6 percent of the time on the unit to 29.8. He went from 12 goals and 18 points to no goals and two points with the man advantage. His even-strength production only decreased from 0.41 to 0.36 so his overall decline wasn't as sharp as it would appear with only seven goals and 18 points in 45 games this year. He has four years remaining at $7.538 million AAV.

We will do this in two parts to be consistent with the East. The remaining teams have quite a few candidates on each team, so it will be interesting to narrow it down to one for each.

Thank you very much for reading and if you have any comments or suggestions please message me or follow me on Twitter @gampbler15.

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UPCOMING GAMES

Nov 21 - 19:11 WSH vs COL
Nov 21 - 19:11 CBJ vs T.B
Nov 21 - 19:11 OTT vs VGK
Nov 21 - 19:11 DET vs NYI
Nov 21 - 19:11 BOS vs UTA
Nov 21 - 19:11 N.J vs CAR
Nov 21 - 20:11 STL vs S.J
Nov 21 - 20:11 CHI vs FLA
Nov 21 - 21:11 CGY vs NYR
Nov 21 - 21:11 EDM vs MIN

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JASON ROBERTSON DAL
WYATT JOHNSTON DAL
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JAKE WALMAN S.J
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SEBASTIAN COSSA DET
DUSTIN WOLF CGY
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LINE COMBOS

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35.4 MAXIM TSYPLAKOV KYLE PALMIERI BROCK NELSON
33.5 JEAN-GABRIEL PAGEAU ANDERS LEE BO HORVAT
25.0 SIMON HOLMSTROM PIERRE ENGVALL CASEY CIZIKAS

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