Cap League Goalie Rankings – September 2021
Alexander MacLean
2021-09-26
Here are the top 62 goalies to own in your salary cap league – September 26th, 2021 edition.
The September version is out just in time for your fantasy drafts this year, so who might it be worth focusing on. Well, this is the last year of bargain contracts for Jack Campbell, Vitek Vanecek, and Cal Petersen, while Pavel Francouz could join that list as well is he shows he's back to full health – for now, missing all of last season is really holding down his ranking.
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As always, the volume starts are sprinkled in after that, with Vasilevskiy as the pricy, but nonetheless the highest-quality fantasy option. Robin Lehner, Alex Nedeljkovic, and Josef Korenar were the biggest risers, all due to trades. Lehner lost his biggest competition for the crease, so he adds volume to an incredible win rate and ratio set. The other two will be volume starters on bad teams. Both have a bit of upside, but be wary of some tough games along the way.
Kevin Lankinen almost swapped places with Lehner after Marc-Andre Fleury was traded to Chicago. Lankinen won't see nearly the volume of last season, but he is still on a bargain contract and the team in front of him should improve over last season's record (though that is in part due to Fleury). The other goalie that dropped like a stone in the rankings was Jake Oettinger, who went from likely losing his competition (Anton Khudobin) in the expansion draft, to having two NHL goalies in front of him (or three if Bishop is healthy). Oettinger is still the highest upside option that Dallas has, but he is not likely to see many starts this season, which really depresses his value.
Standard pre-rankings note:
This isn't meant to be a be-all and end-all rating system for you to use without thinking and just trade your players for anyone above them on the list that you can find, but used with some foresight for managing salaries, I'm hoping that the list can help you mine value in trades, and at the draft table.
Cap hit is used for the player cost, so if your league uses salary or AAV, please account for that, as it can greatly change the impact of rookies. The rankings are set up so as to provide the most value in the current season, while providing some value in future years, based on modeling for predicted salary increases and production growth.
The stats used for the goaltenders attempt to balance both ratio stats as well as volume. For those of you with variations towards either end of the spectrum, leaning more towards volume or rate stats, you will want to account for that change in value. Same thing goes for setting variations such as: number of teams, salary space, or roster positions. This list is made to be a baseline guide for player evaluation, and to promote discussion and understanding of how to optimize rosters in a cap league setting.
The goalie list comes not only with a rankings system, but with value tiers. The tiers (also computed by a formula of mine) represent a more general view on a goalie's value taking into account a few overarching factors. Cheap backups can have higher ratings but show up lower down the tier rankings. The high ranking is due to their low cap hits coupled with an established floor with some possible upside. The lower tier is a result of them having uncertain volume, and the lower likelihood of hitting their upside in any given year. In general, aim to have the highest rated players if you are looking to be most cap efficient, but use the tiers if you just want to focus on having the best goalies and you are comfortable paying a little more for that security (my preference is usually to lean towards the more cap efficient options because of how variable goalies can be).
If you note a mistake, or have any further questions about the ranking system, please let me know. You can find me on Twitter here @alexdmaclean.
I'm not perfect, and the rankings won't be either. Comments help with optimizing the values.
We're sticking with the +/- 5.0 rating that Dobber uses on all of his rating schemes as the range for approximately equivalent value. The skater and goalie rankings are synched so that the value of a skater against a goalie can be compared, though the scale of the ratings has changed a little since the last update.
All salary info is courtesy of capfriendly. Without further ado, the rankings:
Rank | Name | Age | Cap Hit | Yrs | Rating | Tier | Prev Rnk |
1 | Calvin Petersen | 26 | $858,333 | 1 | 262.2136199 | 3 | 2 |
2 | Jack Campbell | 29 | $1,650,000 | 1 | 251.9959215 | 2 | 1 |
3 | Vitek Vanecek | 25 | $716,667 | 1 | 190.4445305 | 3 | 3 |
4 | Andrei Vasilevskiy | 27 | $9,500,000 | 7 | 178.8481669 | 1 | 6 |
5 | Connor Hellebuyck | 28 | $6,166,666 | 3 | 176.8666371 | 1 | 7 |
6 | Robin Lehner | 30 | $5,000,000 | 4 | 176.6601829 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Tristan Jarry | 26 | $3,500,000 | 2 | 174.7687063 | 2 | 5 |
8 | Alex Nedeljkovic | 25 | $3,000,000 | 2 | 171.3769693 | 2 | 35 |
9 | Semyon Varlamov | 33 | $5,000,000 | 2 | 168.0626577 | 1 | 8 |
10 | Philipp Grubauer | 29 | $5,900,000 | 6 | 163.0239333 | 1 | 14 |
11 | Igor Shesterkin | 25 | $5,666,667 | 4 | 161.3102391 | 2 | 21 |
12 | Juuse Saros | 26 | $5,000,000 | 4 | 160.531281 | 1 | 15 |
13 | Ilya Samsonov | 24 | $2,000,000 | 1 | 160.091803 | 2 | 24 |
14 | Darcy Kuemper | 31 | $4,500,000 | 1 | 157.8331837 | 2 | 13 |
15 | Kaapo Kahkonen | 25 | $725,000 | 1 | 156.6313241 | 4 | 32 |
16 | Mackenzie Blackwood | 24 | $2,800,000 | 2 | 147.2958365 | 3 | 10 |
17 | Kevin Lankinen | 26 | $800,000 | 1 | 144.2042479 | 5 | 9 |
18 | Jordan Binnington | 28 | $6,000,000 | 6 | 142.8922193 | 3 | 12 |
19 | Jacob Markstrom | 31 | $6,000,000 | 5 | 138.6694693 | 3 | 16 |
20 | Cam Talbot | 34 | $3,666,666 | 2 | 137.5048575 | 4 | 17 |
21 | Ilya Sorokin | 26 | $4,000,000 | 3 | 136.560243 | 2 | 31 |
22 | Josef Korenar | 23 | $750,000 | 1 | 134.6829235 | 5 | NR |
23 | Adin Hill | 25 | $2,175,000 | 2 | 129.4465513 | 5 | 36 |
24 | Linus Ullmark | 28 | $5,000,000 | 4 | 124.4285257 | 5 | 18 |
25 | Marc-Andre Fleury | 36 | $7,000,000 | 1 | 124.2364803 | 3 | 25 |
26 | John Gibson | 28 | $6,400,000 | 6 | 119.6337095 | 3 | 29 |
27 | Casey DeSmith | 30 | $1,250,000 | 1 | 118.333547 | 4 | 30 |
28 | Frederik Andersen | 31 | $4,500,000 | 2 | 117.8812485 | 4 | 20 |
29 | Thatcher Demko | 25 | $5,000,000 | 5 | 116.9837191 | 4 | 34 |
30 | Jeremy Swayman | 22 | $925,000 | 2 | 110.7962447 | 3 | 28 |
31 | Elvis Merzlikins | 27 | $4,000,000 | 1 | 110.1135818 | 2 | 26 |
32 | Mike Smith | 39 | $2,200,000 | 2 | 110.0115672 | 3 | 51 |
33 | Carter Hart | 23 | $3,979,000 | 3 | 109.2673671 | 4 | 11 |
34 | Joonas Korpisalo | 27 | $2,800,000 | 1 | 107.8128355 | 5 | 19 |
35 | Anton Khudobin | 35 | $3,333,333 | 2 | 100.2141702 | 5 | 41 |
36 | Jake Oettinger | 22 | $925,000 | 1 | 100.1215386 | 4 | 4 |
37 | Brian Elliott | 36 | $900,000 | 1 | 98.55412056 | 6 | 43 |
38 | Petr Mrazek | 29 | $3,800,000 | 3 | 91.95132007 | 3 | 23 |
39 | Chris Driedger | 27 | $3,500,000 | 3 | 86.07955638 | 4 | 37 |
40 | Jaroslav Halak | 36 | $1,500,000 | 1 | 85.7193655 | 6 | 40 |
41 | Antti Raanta | 32 | $2,000,000 | 2 | 84.19343065 | 6 | 38 |
42 | Spencer Knight | 20 | $925,000 | 2 | 84.01268097 | 4 | 45 |
43 | Thomas Greiss | 35 | $3,600,000 | 1 | 83.76838551 | 6 | 47 |
44 | Jake Allen | 31 | $2,875,000 | 2 | 82.79791536 | 5 | 46 |
45 | Martin Jones | 31 | $2,000,000 | 1 | 80.8642964 | 6 | 60 |
46 | Alexandar Georgiev | 25 | $2,425,000 | 1 | 78.21690995 | 5 | 52 |
47 | Sergei Bobrovsky | 33 | $10,000,000 | 5 | 77.57200321 | 3 | 50 |
48 | David Rittich | 29 | $1,250,000 | 1 | 77.06988622 | 6 | 56 |
49 | Anthony Stolarz | 27 | $950,000 | 2 | 76.85783367 | 6 | NR |
50 | Braden Holtby | 32 | $2,000,000 | 1 | 75.73077676 | 6 | 58 |
51 | Ville Husso | 26 | $750,000 | 1 | 75.3764704 | 5 | 53 |
52 | Matt Murray | 27 | $6,250,000 | 3 | 75.25614811 | 4 | 55 |
53 | Jonathan Bernier | 33 | $4,125,000 | 2 | 75.09413828 | 5 | 33 |
54 | James Reimer | 33 | $2,250,000 | 2 | 74.53174211 | 5 | 42 |
55 | Carey Price | 34 | $10,500,000 | 5 | 63.40203236 | 4 | 57 |
56 | Pavel Francouz | 31 | $2,000,000 | 1 | 61.11108295 | 3 | 39 |
57 | Laurent Brossoit | 28 | $2,325,000 | 2 | 60.36412599 | 6 | 54 |
58 | Filip Gustavsson | 23 | $787,500 | 2 | 58.83363166 | 3 | NR |
59 | Tuukka Rask | 34 | 0 | 53.88722138 | 4 | 27 | |
60 | Eric Comrie | 26 | $750,000 | 1 | 53.61507374 | 5 | NR |
61 | Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | 22 | $778,333 | 1 | 52.93643576 | 5 | 62 |
62 | Aaron Dell | 32 | $750,000 | 1 | 50.83 | 6 | NR |