Analytics Advantage

Analytics Advantage: Advanced NHL Metrics and Predictive Fantasy Strategy
Welcome to the Analytics Advantage, the home of data-driven fantasy hockey at DobberHockey. In the modern era, winning a championship requires looking beyond the box score. This category is dedicated to the study of advanced NHL metrics—including Corsi, Fenwick, PDO, and Expected Goals (xG)—to identify the underlying trends that dictate future performance.

Decoding the Data
Curated by our resident data expert Stas Pupkov, the Analytics Advantage provides a filtered look at the league’s most complex numbers:

Regression Analysis: Identifying players whose current production is unsustainable due to outlier shooting percentages or “puck luck” (PDO).

Deployment Metrics: Analyzing offensive zone starts (oZS%), quality of competition (QoC), and time on ice (TOI) to find hidden value.

Predictive Modeling: Using advanced counting stats to forecast breakouts before they appear on the standard scoring leaders list.

Goalie Analytics: Deep-dives into High-Danger Save Percentage (HDSV%) and Goals Saved Above Expected (GSAx) to find reliable anchors for your crease.

Powered by Frozen Tools
The Analytics Advantage leverages the massive data engine of Frozen Tools. By translating raw NHL data into clear, strategic advice, we help you eliminate the guesswork from your roster management. Whether you are looking for a trade-high candidate or a diamond-in-the-rough waiver add, our analytical approach ensures your decisions are backed by logic and math.

Analytics Advantage: Second-Round Trends Including Expected Goals, Save Percentage, Play-Driving, and More

By |2025-05-15T08:01:08-04:00May 15th, 2025|Analytics Advantage|

With the second round of the playoffs underway, this week’s edition of Analytics Advantage takes a look at how teams and players are trending based on their underlying numbers. The box score doesn’t always tell the full story, and these updated Tableau visuals offer more context behind who’s driving results and who might be falling [...]

Analytics Advantage: First Round of NHL Playoffs and Goalie Shot-Faced Distance, Player PDO, Giveaways/Takeaways, and More

By |2025-05-08T07:31:13-04:00May 8th, 2025|Analytics Advantage|

Welcome back to another edition of Analytics Advantage. With the first round of the playoffs in the rearview, I wanted to dig into how goaltending impacted who moved on and who packed up early. This week’s visuals are updated with data through May 5th (end of the first round) and include a few new features [...]

Analytics Advantage: Player and Team Playoff Performance Breakdown

By |2025-05-01T07:13:13-04:00May 1st, 2025|Analytics Advantage|

Welcome back to another edition of Analytics Advantage. With the first round of the 2025 NHL Playoffs in full swing, I’ve shifted focus this week toward a more visual breakdown of team performance. Using data from Natural Stat Trick (postseason only, current through April 29), I’ve built four Tableau charts that explore different areas of [...]

Analytics Advantage: Year-Over-Year Player Production Changes Including Meier, Rantanen, Boldy, Chychrun, and More

By |2025-04-25T08:23:20-04:00April 25th, 2025|Analytics Advantage|

While we wait for more playoff games to roll in and give us the sample size we need for deeper analysis, I’m taking a different approach this week. Rather than focusing on breakdowns or trends within a small timeframe, this edition is all about showcasing how individual players have evolved over the years , no [...]

Analytics Advantage: Breaking Down Playoff Matchups Between Florida/Tampa Bay, Winnipeg/St. Louis, Vegas/Minnesota, and Ottawa/Toronto

By |2025-04-17T10:46:33-04:00April 17th, 2025|Analytics Advantage|

Welcome to the playoff edition of Analytics Advantage. We are going to be diving into the last four matchups: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers, Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators, Vegas Golden Knights vs Minnesota Wild, Winnipeg Jets vs St. Louis Blues Like last time, I will be breaking down the historic numbers, highlighting [...]

Analytics Advantage: Preparing for Playoff Matchups Between Washington/Montreal, Los Angeles/Edmonton, and More

By |2025-04-10T07:50:03-04:00April 10th, 2025|Analytics Advantage|

Welcome to the playoff edition of Analytics Advantage. With the 2025 NHL Playoffs approaching, this two-part series will dive into four likely first-round matchups: Washington Capitals vs. Montreal Canadiens, Carolina Hurricanes vs. New Jersey Devils, Dallas Stars vs. Colorado Avalanche, and Los Angeles Kings vs. Edmonton Oilers. In this first part, I’ll break down each [...]

Analytics Advantage: Per-Game Fantasy Performance from Boeser, Zibanejad, Hutson, and More

By |2025-04-03T07:37:09-04:00April 3rd, 2025|Analytics Advantage|

Welcome back to Analytics Advantage. As we enter the final weeks of the fantasy season, savvy roster moves are more critical than ever. This week, we spotlight Pierre-Luc Dubois, Lane Hutson, Mika Zibanejad, Brock Boeser, and Morgan Rielly, five players who are either trending up, undervalued, or offer valuable multi-category upside for fantasy managers looking [...]

Analytics Advantage: Huberdeau’s Successful Season; Schenn’s Multi-Category Value; Doughty’s Role, and More

By |2025-03-27T07:42:46-04:00March 27th, 2025|Analytics Advantage|

Welcome back to Analytics Advantage. With the fantasy playoffs in full swing, finding players who can contribute across scoring and peripheral categories is key to gaining an edge. This week, we spotlight Jonathan Huberdeau, Patrick Kane, Brayden Schenn, Filip Hronek, and Drew Doughty. Each player has shown strong per-60 production or situational value worth targeting [...]

Analytics Advantage: Lehkonen’s Goal Scoring, Jenner’s Playmaking, Skjei’s Offense, and More

By |2025-03-21T08:40:51-04:00March 21st, 2025|Analytics Advantage|

Welcome back to Analytics Advantage. As the fantasy hockey playoffs approach, securing strong pickups can make the difference between advancing and an early exit. This week, we highlight Artturi Lehkonen, Anton Lundell, Boone Jenner, Brady Skjei, and Justin Faulk, whose underlying metrics suggest they can provide valuable contributions in fantasy formats. Using per-60 metrics, we [...]

Analytics Advantage: Kadri, Slafkovský, Fantilli, Nichushkin, LaCombe, and Fantasy Points Per Game

By |2025-03-13T08:23:01-04:00March 13th, 2025|Analytics Advantage|

Welcome back to Analytics Advantage. As the fantasy hockey playoffs approach, securing strong pickups can make the difference between advancing and an early exit. This week, we highlight Nazem Kadri, Adam Fantilli, Juraj Slafkovsky, Jackson LaCombe, and Valeri Nichushkin—players whose recent performances and underlying metrics suggest they can provide valuable contributions in fantasy formats.    Using [...]

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