Stepping Back

Dobber Sports

2007-11-11

 Hossa

 

Nothing exemplifies the stock-marketesque up-and-down value of fantasy players more than missing 10 days of hockey almost completely and then throwing yourself back into it full throttle. Despite such a small window, players can bounce from rock bottom in value back to the top – and vice versa.

After missing nearly all things hockey while on vacation, I am finally able to delve back in. I notice some people who were diving off of certain sinking ships are now scrambling to get back on, while some flashes in the pan are suddenly not looking quite so inviting.

Here are some of the bigger changes in value, both good and bad, from October 31 to today…

 

 

Peter Mueller – Even I was starting to feel my trigger finger get itchy on this guy and I began to wonder if I put too many eggs in one basket with him. I have him in two keeper leagues, as well as one of my one-year pools. When I left he had two points in nine games, plus a healthy scratch, while his teammate Martin Hanzal was stealing all the accolades. Suddenly, in the eyes of many fantasy owners, Hanzal’s value had actually surpassed that of Mueller. Things have certainly turned around since then, as Mueller has six points in his last three games and is now seeing time on the top line with Shane Doan and Steve Reinprecht.

Marian Hossa – I missed a chance to land him cheap just before I left by not bending far enough in trade talks in my keeper league. Hopefully, you didn’t do the same. What does a player need to do to prove that he is money in the bank? With three points in nine games before I left, I could have landed him for little more than Anze Kopitar. I balked, thinking he would cave and take less.  Since then Hossa has seven points in five games.

Ilya Kovalchuk – Sure, he had 12 points in 12 games before I left and was considered a top 20 player in all fantasy leagues. With 10 points in five games since – including back-to-back hat tricks, Kovalchuk is now considered a top five or six guy again.

Ray Whitney – After just four points in eight games to start the year, Whitney had a four-point game just before I left. Clearly, that wasn’t a fluke – and neither was last season’s breakout – as the 35-year-old is on a nine-game point streak and has 15 points in that span.

Paul Stastny – After starting off with 14 points in seven games, fantasy owners were ready to christen him as the next 110-point player. He has just five points in nine games since, leading me to believe that my original projection of him being a player who puts up 80 to 90 points year in and year out is a good one. My prediction for this year of the mid-70s is finally starting to look accurate.

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Matt Cullen – With 13 points in 13 games, Cullen was hot before I