An Expert’s Audit – October Edition

Ian Fergusson

2008-10-15

 phaneuf

 

Welcome once again to “An Expert’s Audit”. This audit will be posted here as well as on my fantasy hockey blog . During the season I do weekly reviews of teams for people who email in to me for a look-see, they’re less indepth but just as much fun. Dobber audits will continue to appear here monthly and if you’re interested in having your keeper team “worked over” then you can begin by emailing Dobber about it.

 

You like poker right?  Who doesn’t?  My wife can’t get why anyone would sit and watch it on tv but I do … and Jess Hagarty does.  He deals cards for a living and occasionally he gets on the other side of the table too.  By what I can tell he’s pretty good.  I don’t like getting sharked so I think I’ll keep him away from the local game, if I ever get around to setting it up.

Jess plays in a 16 team H2H with the following categories: G, A, +/-, PIM, PPP, SHP, W, GAA, SV, and SV%.  It’s a pretty good setup if you ask me although SHP is hard to find for a lineup and I just don’t get why you would need both SV and SV% since that just duplicates stats in my mind … but no matter they lessen the value of SV by forcing everyone to start 3 G’s each.  That’s a lot of tending in a 16 teamer.  It’s extra interesting to me that they only start 2 options at each of the forward positions, 4 D’s and a util; essentially they minimize skater stats and pump up goalie stats.  I don’t see how anyone can win this league without great goaltending.

Let’s take a look at not2bdfeated.

C Jason Spezza OTW – if he ever puts in a string of 82 game seasons he’ll be considered as good as the brightest lights in the game.
C Brad Richards DAL – one of the best things that can happen to your +/- is a trade to the Dallas Stars, they don’t tolerate lax defensive play (check out Ribeiro’s +/- in Montreal and then in Dallas).  Richards top tier scoring will continue but the +/- will increase making him a better fantasy commodity.
LW Brendan Morrow DAL – he’s turned the page on his PIMy ways.  It’s funny, I still hear guys talking about his PIM output even though I expect he’ll NEVER return to that sort of game.  Right now his best value is in flat-out offense with conscientious defensive play.
LW Daniel Carcillo PHX – I wonder if the shoulder tap and the send to the minors near the end of last season got his attention enough that he doesn’t go as snaky this season as he did last year.  I’m not expecting as much PIM production from him now although the points may go up a bit.
RW Nathan Horton FLA – I’d be worried about his +/- this season.  He’s a steady 30 goal guy, I’ve just expected 40 out of him for several seasons now without success.
RW Erik Cole EDM – another 30 goal guy that I’d love to see jump up to the next level.  That neck injury a couple seasons back still downgrades him a bit on my lists, I’m just worried about sustainability.
D Dion “PIMy D” Phaneuf CAL – I still keep throwing that nickname out there in the hopes it catches on, so far not much luck.  Phaneuf is the most valuable fantasy def