A Roto-Look Ahead – Week 17

Tom Reeve

2009-01-23

chimera and voracek

 

Many fantasy pools have their playoffs the last few weeks of the regular season.  Over the next few weeks I would like to address the 'playoff' schedule a few times.  I want the analysis to be tailored to your rules, your formats, yours teams and your concerns so please post your playoff schedule questions in the 'Article Feedback' forum.

 

 

The first question is from metaldude26 and the dude was asking if going into the final four weeks of the season going with Loungo and Miller is a good bet given the team's final schedule.  The answer is they should provide a great duo as Vancouver has one of the strongest schedules with 14 games in the final four weeks and Buffalo is in the middle of the pack with 13 games.  In terms of goalie starts both teams only have one set of back-to-back games.  If you did want to pick up a third goalie the Flames (good luck) would be your best bet for minimizing conflicts as Vancouver, Buffalo and Calgary only play on the same night once in those final four weeks.  Minnesota, St. Louis and Nashville conflict only twice with Buffalo and Vancouver so they are also a good bet for getting the most games out of three goalies with two roster spots.

 

Second question is from kytmagic who is looking at a first round bye but is concerned about the third to last week of the season (March 23 to March 29) and wants to know which team's schedules are looking strong that week.  Twelve teams play four games that week and taking into account their opponents the best of the group are Blue Jackets, Red Wings, Panthers, Canucks or Ducks.  On the other end definitely worry if you are relying too heavily on players from the Capitals, Bruins, Penguins or Coyotes to carry you through the round as they only play two games.

 

Looking at a team's schedule may help your chances of finding a good injury replacement.  Here are some of the high and low ratings for teams over a two, three and four week period starting January 23, 2009. The rating is shown in brackets.

 

Two weeks

High ratings: Bruins (5.79), Senators (5.77), Panthers (5.64)

Low ratings: Kings (3.70), Canucks (2.94)

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Three weeks

High ratings: Red Wings (9.36), Predators (9.07), Canadiens (9.05), Lightning (9.02)

Low ratings: Capitals (6.57), Blackhawks (6.46), Canucks (5.98)

 

Four weeks

High ratings: Blue Jackets (13.22), Predators (13.17)

Low ratings: Ducks (9.81), Capitals (9.51)

 

Friday, January 23, 2009 to Thursday, January 29, 2009
Best Bets
Thrashers, Stars, Red Wings, Panthers – play two games
Avalanche, Rangers, Senators, Hurricanes – play two games
Sharks, Canadiens, Bruins, Sabres – play two games
Lightning, Ducks, Coyotes – play two games
Blackhawks, Maple Leafs, Devils – play two games
Steer Clear
Wild, Islanders, Oilers – play one game
Flames, Canucks, Blues – play one game
Blue Jackets, Flyers – play one game
Penguins, Kings – play one game
Predators, Capitals – play one game
Saturday, January 24, 2009 to Friday January 30, 2009
Best Bets
Lightning – play three games
Senators – play three games
Devils – play three games
0
0
Steer Clear
Islanders – play one game
Canucks – play one game
Blues – play one game
Kings – play one game
Capitals – play one game
Sunday, January 25, 2009 to Saturday January 31, 2009
Best Bets
Columbus 3.36 – three home games DET, OTT, DAL
Atlanta 3.35 – three games DAL, NYI, CAR
Carolina 3.27 – three games NYR, TB, ATL
Florida 3.24  – three games PHI, MTL, NYI
Dallas 3.16 – three games ATL, DET, CBJ
Steer Clear
Los Angeles 1.80 – two games CHI, MTL
Nashville 1.81 – two games VAN, CGY
Washington 1.81 – two games BOS, DET
Vancouver 1.89 – two games NAS, EDM
Edmonton 1.89 – two games BUF, MIN
Monday, January 26, 2009 to Sunday February 1, 2009
Best Bets
Ottawa 3.39 – four games NJ, STL, CBJ, WAS
Boston 3.80 – four games WAS, NJ, NYR, MTL
Montreal 3.78 – four games TB, FLA, LA, BOS
Columbus 3.36 – three home games DET, OTT, DAL
Atlanta 3.35 – three games DAL, NYI, CAR
Steer Clear
Los Angeles 1.80 – two games CHI, MTL
Vancouver 1.89 – two games NAS, MIN
Calgary 2.10 – two games BUF, NAS
NY Islanders 2.19 – two games ATL, FLA
St. Louis 2.21 – two games OTT, PHI
Tuesday, January 27, 2009 to Monday February 2, 2009
Best Bets
Detroit 4.42 – four games CBJ, DAL, WAS, STL
Ottawa 3.39 – four games NJ, STL, CBJ, WAS
Anaheim 3.90 – four games PHX, CHI, COL, BUF
Colorado 4.20 – four games SJ, TOR, ANA, CGY
Buffalo 3.80 – four road games EDM, CGY, PHX, ANA
Steer Clear
Los Angeles 1.80 – two games CHI, MTL
Vancouver 1.89 – two games NAS, MIN
NY Islanders 2.19 – two games ATL, FLA
Chicago 2.57 – three road games ANA, LA, SJ
Nashville 2.76 – three road games VAN, CGY, EDM
Wednesday, January 28, 2009 to Tuesday February 3, 2009
Best Bets
Calgary 4.19 – four games BUF, NAS, COL, DAL
St. Louis 4.11 – four games OTT, PHI, DET, CBJ
Ottawa 3.99 – four games STL, CBJ, WAS, LA
Montreal 3.89 – four games FLA, LA, BOS, PIT
Nashville 3.81 – four games VAN, CGY, EDM, PHX
Steer Clear
Minnesota 1.81 – two games EDM, VAN
San Jose 2.00 – two games PHX, CHI
Philadelphia 2.19 – two games TB, STL
Boston 2.75 – three games NJ, NYR, MTL
Los Angeles 2.75 – three games CHI, MTL, OTT
Thursday, January 29, 2009 to Wednesday February 4, 2009
Best Bets
Detroit 4.52 – four games DAL, WAS, STL, PHX
Tampa Bay 4.29 – four games CAR, PHI, NYI, PIT
Toronto 4.11 – four games COL, PIT, FLA, BUF
St. Louis 4.11 – four games OTT, PHI, DET, CBJ
Pittsburgh 4.01 – four games NJ, TOR, MTL, TB
Steer Clear
Vancouver 1.89 – two games MIN, CAR
San Jose 2.00 – two games PHX, CHI
NY Rangers 2.02 – two games BOS, ATL
Chicago 2.57 – three games LA, SJ, EDM
Los Angeles 2.75 – three games CHI, MTL, OTT
Friday, January 30, 2009 to Thursday, February 5, 2009
Best Bets
St. Louis 4.11 – four games PHI, DET, CBJ, EDM
Calgary 4.09 – four games NAS, COL, DAL, CHI
Pittsburgh 4.01 – four games NJ, TOR, MTL, TB
Nashville 4.00 – four games CGY, EDM, PHX, ANA
Edmonton 3.98 – four games MIN, NAS, CHI, STL
Steer Clear
Atlanta 1.81 – two games CAR, NYR
Vancouver 1.89 – two games MIN, CAR
San Jose 2.00 – two games PHX, CHI
NY Rangers 2.02 – two games BOS, ATL
New Jersey 2.21 – two games PIT, WAS
Saturday, January 31, 2009 to Friday February 6, 2009
Best Bets
Pittsburgh 4.20 – four games TOR, MTL, TB, CBJ
Buffalo 4.11 – four games PHX, ANA, TOR, MTL
St. Louis 4.11 – four games PHI, DET, CBJ, EDM
Washington 3.90 – four games DET, OTT, NJ, LA
Dallas 3.90 – four games CBJ, CGY, COL, NYR
Steer Clear
Vancouver 1.89 – two games MIN, CAR
Philadelphia 1.98 – two games STL, BOS
San Jose 2.00 – two games PHX, CHI
Tampa Bay 2.19 – two games NYI, PIT
New Jersey 2.19 – two games WAS, ATL
Sunday, February 1, 2009 to Saturday February 7, 2009
Best Bets
Montreal 4.21 – four games BOS, PIT, BUF, TOR
Buffalo 4.11 – four games ANA, TOR, MTL, OTT
Edmonton 4.09 – four games NAS, CHI, STL, DET
Calgary 4.09 – four games COL, DAL, CHI, ANA
Boston 4.01 – four games MTL, PHI, OTT, PHI
Steer Clear
Philadelphia 1.60 – two games BOS, BOS
Atlanta 1.80 – two games NYR, NJ
Vancouver 2.00 – two games CAR, CHI
San Jose 2.00 – two games CAR, CBJ
Minnesota 2.10 – two games ANA, NAS

 

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UPCOMING GAMES

Dec 29 - 15:12 STL vs BUF
Dec 29 - 16:12 ANA vs EDM
Dec 29 - 17:12 T.B vs MTL
Dec 29 - 17:12 DET vs WSH
Dec 29 - 17:12 PIT vs NYI
Dec 29 - 20:12 VGK vs CGY
Dec 29 - 20:12 MIN vs OTT
Dec 29 - 20:12 CHI vs DAL
Dec 29 - 21:12 L.A vs PHI

Starting Goalies

Top Skater Views

  Players Team
DMITRI VORONKOV CBJ
CAM FOWLER STL
QUINTON BYFIELD L.A
KIRILL MARCHENKO CBJ
ZACH WERENSKI CBJ

Top Goalie Profile Views

  Players Team
JAKUB DOBES MTL
MACKENZIE BLACKWOOD COL
ILYA SOROKIN NYI
JEREMY SWAYMAN BOS
SAM MONTEMBEAULT MTL

LINE COMBOS

  Frequency CHI Players
23.0 TAYLOR HALL TYLER BERTUZZI CONNOR BEDARD
18.2 LUKAS REICHEL PATRICK MAROON PHILIPP KURASHEV
17.3 TEUVO TERAVAINEN ILYA MIKHEYEV JASON DICKINSON

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