Looking ahead with Crazynuck – Week 1

Dobber Sports

2009-09-25

 

Boyd

 

Same as what was posted here last week – but the chart has been fixed to better reflect what Tom Reeve was doing a year ago. If you are in a rotisserie league with weekly changes, this tool is priceless.

The number next to the team indicates the ‘multiplier’ to use on a player’s point-per-game pace to give you an idea how many points to expect for that week. Example:

For the week starting on October 1st the Vancouver Canucks have a rating of 4.10. That means that if you think Ryan Kesler is a 0.70 point-per-game player then you should expect about 2.87 points from him (4.10 X 0.70).
Anaheim has a 1.69 rating over the same period. If you think Ryan Getzlaf is a 0.95 point-per-game player then you should expect about 1.61 points from him. So even though Ryan Getzlaf is a better player you may choose to go with Kesler over Getzlaf.

 

Quick starts:

Last year the NY Rangers got off to a hot start playing more games early in the season due to their trip to Europe. As a result players like Aaron Voros looked to be performing better when in reality they had just played more games. Voros was the hot commodity last season and the return some GMs were getting was mind blasting. This year there isn't one team that stands out above the rest but there are a few to keep an eye on. Calgary is the first to seven games and players like Nigel Dawes and Dustin Boyd could be this years Voros. Colorado, NYR, San Jose and Vancouver are the first to 15 games. San Jose and Vancouver are the first to 20.

 

Due to the Olympics the Canucks play the majority of their games at home and starting the end of January they start a record 14 game road trip. Towards the end of January start shopping Luongo and the Sedins as their numbers should be good having played more games than most teams and they may start to slump during such a long road trip.

Slow starts:

On the other side of the spectrum, no team will have played less games by November 13th then Atlanta. At times they are as many as six games behind the league leaders in games played. Between mid November and early December, start to target players like Antropov and Little as their owners may be frustrated with their play, when you know its actually due to the lack of games played.

 


Yahoo playoffs:

Round 1 (March 15-21): LA and Montreal only play two games. Every other team plays three or four

Round 2 (March 22- 28): Every team plays three of four games.

Round 3 (March 29 –