August 21, 2010
Jeff Angus
2010-08-21
If there is a chance that you may be able to acquire Jakub Voracek in your keeper league, get on it! Voracek isn’t mentioned as an upper-echelon young talent, but that is exactly what he is.
He is more of a playmaker than a goalscorer, which is strange considering the fact that he is a natural winger. Because of this, his production probably won’t be as dependent on linemate quality as it would be if he were a scorer. I have his upside in the high 80’s.
With Alex Burrows probably out until late October, a huge opportunity exists in Vancouver’s second line. Samuelsson will slide up to play with Daniel and Henrik.
That leaves one of Schroeder, Hodgson (if he moves to wing), Tambellini, and Shirokov (forgotten name around these parts) in the mix. It also partly explains the Bieksa-for-Fleischmann rumors. Canucks don’t need a top six winger but they are only one injury away from a huge hole in the lineup. Fleischmann would step in and remove that risk.
Vincent Lecavalier got his knee scoped after experiencing some soreness over the past few weeks. He should be fine for training camp, but keep this news in mind. No Lecavalier would hurt the fantasy value of Tampa Bay’s depth scoring wingers significantly.
Joffrey Lupul may be out until December as he continues to recover from back surgery. This helps Matt Beleskey tremendously. Jason Blake is also in the mix, but his fantasy value is minimal at best (unless you are really desperate for SOG).
Is this a make or break season for Drew Stafford? Yes, yes it is. Stafford has been a point of frustration for the Sabres – he's big, he skates, well, and he has a very good shot. However, he lacks consistency with regards to his on-ice effort, and he often shies away from physical contact.
He is definite trade bait if he doesn't turn his game around. Buffalo doesn't really need a soft, one-dimensional winger on their third line.
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Is there a worse fit between team and player than Mikael Grabovski in Toronto?
Copper 'n Blue breaks down how the 30 NHL clubs spread out even strength ice time among their four lines – very interesting stuff. Some quick hits from it:
Montreal's fourth line played almost four more minutes per game on average compared to Colorado's.
This breakdown aligns with my view on "third line" players like Giroux, Staal, and so on. The drop off from line two to three is not significant in terms of even strength ice time, especially compared to the drop off from line three to four.
The crucial factor with regards to production for "second" and "third" line players is power play time. If the even strength minutes are relatively even, why do people may such close attention to depth charts and what number line the player skates on when the lineup is put on paper?
Some teams have a drop off of almost two minutes per game between the second and third lines, while other teams have a drop off of less than 40 seconds per game. This is pretty interesting data.
Dana Tyrell impressed at Tampa Bay's prospects camp. He competes very hard and should develop into a solid top-nine winger at the professional level. He has some offensive upside, but has spent the past year or so recovering from a severe knee injury.
Now that he is fully healthy, I'd expect his production to really pick up at the AHL level.
Bizarre/interesting statistic – Carolina has drawn the most penalties in the league for three straight seasons. Jamie McBain owners, rejoice!
From that article: "What if the Hurricanes had an elite power play unit? Last season the team converted for 56 power play goals, (which is a 16.9% conversion rate out of 332 chances.) If they could have converted 25% of their chances, the Canes would have scored 83 power play goals, (an increase of 27). Needless to say, that higher number of goals might have had a tremendous affect on the team’s win/loss record. "
The CBC and the AHL have struck a deal to broadcast 10 games (all featuring at least one Canadian team affiliate) nationally this coming season.