Looking Ahead – Week 13
Dave Poleck
2010-12-31
A tough decision can be made easier with these charts showing you the best five and worst five schedules for upcoming seven-day periods. Some of you used them last year but for the benefit of new readers here is a refresher. The number next to the team indicates the ‘multiplier’ to use on a player’s point-per-game pace to give you an idea how many points to expect for that week.
Two weeks ago I mentioned that I felt a new Northeast Division leader was on its' way as the Habs were setting out on a seven game road trip. After a 4-1 loss to the Lightning on Thursday, Montreal has fallen to 1-5 on that trip thus far and has now dropped to eighth in the East. The Bruins have basically made up six points since last week's article and are now three points ahead with two games in hand. It will be interesting to see how the Habs fare in their final game against Florida, and their subsequent games once they return home for six of seven.
The Best Bets for the Thursday week isn't very promising for poolies; NYI, St. Louis, Toronto, Minnesota, Boston. Guess which four teams are in the bottom third in goals for per game?
The Blackhawks only play eight games over the next 21 days, which will all but close the window you had to take advantage of their games played difference with a team like Detroit (who play ten in the next 21 days).
The Panthers play nine of their next 11 games at home, where they have been a much more offensive team. They have averaged only 2.3 goals per game in 20 road games, but are scoring 3.2 goals in 14 home games this year. They have also played a league low 14 home games so far.
A few weeks ago, I made two separate deals trading away a Duck for a King when LA had five less games than Anaheim. One was Getzlaf for Kopitar. The other was a two for two deal involving Visnovsky leaving and Doughty joining. This is something I like to look at in every deal I do. Even gaining one extra game in a trade can be enough to swing it in your favour.
Friday December 31 to Thursday January 6, 2010 | ||||||
Best Bets | ||||||
Calgary 4.25 – four games COL, @EDM, NYI, @VAN | ||||||
Nashville 4.12 – four games @MIN, CBJ, @ANA, @LA | ||||||
Vancouver 4.10 – four games @DAL, @COL, @SJ, CAL | ||||||
New Jersey 4.07 – four games ATL, @CAR, MIN, PHI | ||||||
Phoenix 4.01 – four games @STL, @MIN, CBJ, @COL | ||||||
Steer Clear | ||||||
Washington 2.13 – two games @PIT, TB | ||||||
Ottawa 2.14 – two games @CBJ, TOR | ||||||
Anaheim 2.63 – three games PHI, CHI, NAS | ||||||
Los Angeles 2.66 – three games SJ, CHI, NAS | ||||||
San Jose 2.69 – three games @LA, VAN, BUF | ||||||
Saturday January 1 to Friday January 7, 2010 | ||||||
Best Bets | ||||||
NY Rangers 4.46 – four games @TB, @FLA, CAR, @DAL | ||||||
Calgary 4.18 – four games @EDM, NYI, @VAN, DET | ||||||
Florida 4.13 – four games NYR, @CAR, ATL, CAR | ||||||
Chicago 4.13 – four games @ANA, @LA, DAL, OTT | ||||||
Vancouver 4.12 – four games @COL, @SJ, CAL, EDM | ||||||
Steer Clear | ||||||
Philadelphia 1.92 – two games @DET, @NJ | ||||||
Montreal 2.01 – two games ATL, PIT | ||||||
Ottawa 2.03 – two games TOR, @CHI | ||||||
Washington 2.13 – two games @PIT, TB | ||||||
NY Islanders 2.23 – two games @CAL, @EDM | ||||||
Sunday January 2 to Saturday January 8, 2010 | ||||||
Best Bets | ||||||
Florida 5.18 – five games NYR, @CAR, ATL, CAR, @WAS | ||||||
Vancouver 5.00 – five games @COL, @SJ, CAL, EDM, DET | ||||||
NY Rangers 4.23 – four games @FLA, CAR, @DAL, @STL | ||||||
Chicago 4.13 – four games @ANA, @LA, DAL, OTT | ||||||
Nashville 4.12 – four games CBJ, @ANA, @LA, @SJ | ||||||
Steer Clear | ||||||
Ottawa 2.00 – two games @CHI, TB | ||||||
Washington 2.06 – two games TB, FLA | ||||||
San Jose 2.55 – three games VAN, BUF, NAS | ||||||
Anaheim 2.66 – three games CHI, NAS, CBJ | ||||||
Los Angeles 2.66 – three games CHI, NAS, CBJ | ||||||
Monday January 3 to Sunday January 9, 2010 | ||||||
Best Bets | ||||||
Florida 4.29 – four games @CAR, ATL, CAR, @WAS | ||||||
NY Islanders 4.22 – four games @CAL, @EDM, @COL, @CHI | ||||||
Tampa Bay 4.14 – four games @WAS, @PIT, @OTT, @NJ | ||||||
Carolina 4.13 – four games FLA, @NYR, @FLA, ATL | ||||||
Chicago 4.07 – four games @LA, DAL, OTT, NYI | ||||||
Steer Clear | ||||||
Montreal 1.78 – two games PIT, BOS | ||||||
Philadelphia 1.80 – two games @NJ, NJ | ||||||
Ottawa 2.00 – two games @CHI, TB | ||||||
Washington 2.06 – two games TB, FLA | ||||||
St. Louis 2.09 – two games @TOR, NYR | ||||||
Tuesday January 4 to Monday January 10, 2010 | ||||||
Best Bets | ||||||
Detroit 4.22 – four games @EDM, @CAL, @VAN, @COL | ||||||
Tampa Bay 4.14 – four games @WAS, @PIT, @OTT, @NJ | ||||||
Minnesota 3.95 – four games @NJ, @BOS, @PIT, DAL | ||||||
New Jersey 3.94 – four games MIN, PHI, @PHI, TB | ||||||
Phoenix 3.79 – four games CBJ, @COL, BUF, @STL | ||||||
Steer Clear | ||||||
Montreal 1.78 – two games PIT, BOS | ||||||
Philadelphia 1.80 – two games @NJ, NJ | ||||||
Calgary 1.83 – two games @VAN, DET | ||||||
Ottawa 2.00 – two games @CHI, TB | ||||||
Washington 2.06 – two games TB, FLA | ||||||
Wednesday January 5 to Tuesday January 11, 2010 | ||||||
Best Bets | ||||||
NY Islanders 4.13 – four games @EDM, @COL, @CHI, VAN | ||||||
Nashville 4.12 – four games @ANA, @LA, @SJ, MIN | ||||||
Florida 4.09 – four games ATL, CAR, @WAS, WAS | ||||||
Vancouver 4.09 – four games CAL, EDM, DET, @NYI | ||||||
Toronto 4.05 – four games STL, @ATL, @LA, SJ | ||||||
Steer Clear | ||||||
Washington 2.10- two games FLA, @FLA | ||||||
Philadelphia 2.73 – three games @NJ, NJ, BUF | ||||||
Anaheim 2.76 – three games NAS, CBJ, SJ | ||||||
Montreal 2.77 – three games PIT, BOS, @NYR | ||||||
Colorado 2.78 – three games PHO, NYI, DET | ||||||
Thursday January 6 to Wednesday January 12, 2010 | ||||||
Best Bets | ||||||
NY Islanders 4.13 – four games @EDM, @COL, @CHI, VAN | ||||||
St. Louis 4.05 – four games @TOR, PHO, NYR, @ANA | ||||||
Toronto 4.05 – four games STL, @ATL, @LA, @SJ | ||||||
Minnesota 3.95 – four games @BOS, @PIT, DAL, @NAS | ||||||
Boston 3.93 – four games MIN, @MON, @PIT, OTT | ||||||
Steer Clear | ||||||
Calgary 2.04 – two games DET, @CAR | ||||||
Atlanta 2.24 – two games TOR, @CAR | ||||||
Philadelphia 2.73 – three games @NJ, NJ, @BUF | ||||||
Anaheim 2.76 – three games NAS, CBJ, SJ | ||||||
Buffalo 2.88 – three games @SJ, @PHO, PHI | ||||||
Friday January 7 to Thursday January 13, 2010 | ||||||
Best Bets | ||||||
San Jose 4.23 – four games NAS, @ANA, TOR, EDM | ||||||
Vancouver 4.21 – four games EDM, DET, @NYI, @NYR | ||||||
Toronto 4.10 – four games @ATL, @LA, @SJ, @PHO | ||||||
Ottawa 4.09 – four games @CHI, TB, @BOS, @NYI | ||||||
Carolina 3.93 – four games @FLA, ATL, CAL, @BUF | ||||||
Steer Clear | ||||||
Calgary 2.04 – two games DET, @CAR | ||||||
New Jersey 2.07 – two games @PHI, TB | ||||||
Atlanta 2.24 – two games TOR, @CAR | ||||||
Philadelphia 2.69 – three games NJ, @BUF, @BOS | ||||||
Pittsburgh 2.71 – three games MIN, BOS, @MON | ||||||
Saturday January 8 to Friday January 14, 2010 | ||||||
Best Bets | ||||||
San Jose 4.23 – four games NAS, @ANA, TOR, EDM | ||||||
Washington 4.18 – four games FLA, @FLA, @TB, VAN | ||||||
Vancouver 4.12 – four games DET, @NYI, @NYR, @WAS | ||||||
Ottawa 4.01 – four games TB, @BOS, @NYI, CAL | ||||||
Minnesota 4.00 – four games @PIT, DAL, @NAS, COL | ||||||
Steer Clear | ||||||
Anaheim 1.81 – two games SJ, STL | ||||||
Chicago 2.03 – two games NYI, COL | ||||||
Atlanta 2.07 – two games @CAR, PHI | ||||||
Edmonton 2.20 – two games @DAL, @SJ | ||||||
Dallas 2.21 – two games @MIN, EDM | ||||||
Sunday January 9 to Saturday January 15, 2010 | ||||||
Best Bets | ||||||
San Jose 4.23 – four games NAS, @ANA, TOR, EDM | ||||||
Phoenix 4.11 – four games @STL, @CBJ, TOR, ANA | ||||||
St. Louis 3.99 – four games PHO, @ANA, @LA, @SJ | ||||||
Boston 3.92 – four games @PIT, OTT, PHI, PIT | ||||||
Tampa Bay 3.90 – four games @NJ, WAS, NJ, @CAR | ||||||
Steer Clear | ||||||
NY Rangers 2.66 – three games MON, VAN, @MON | ||||||
Florida 2.66 – three games WAS, NAS, NJ | ||||||
Pittsburgh 2.66 – three games BOS, @MON, @BOS | ||||||
Columbus 2.68 – three games PHO, DET, @DET | ||||||
Anaheim 2.72 – three games SJ, STL, @PHO |