Looking Ahead – Week 13

Dave Poleck

2010-12-31

Savard

 

A tough decision can be made easier with these charts showing you the best five and worst five schedules for upcoming seven-day periods. Some of you used them last year but for the benefit of new readers here is a refresher. The number next to the team indicates the ‘multiplier’ to use on a player’s point-per-game pace to give you an idea how many points to expect for that week.

 

Two weeks ago I mentioned that I felt a new Northeast Division leader was on its' way as the Habs were setting out on a seven game road trip. After a 4-1 loss to the Lightning on Thursday, Montreal has fallen to 1-5 on that trip thus far and has now dropped to eighth in the East. The Bruins have basically made up six points since last week's article and are now three points ahead with two games in hand. It will be interesting to see how the Habs fare in their final game against Florida, and their subsequent games once they return home for six of seven.

 

The Best Bets for the Thursday week isn't very promising for poolies; NYI, St. Louis, Toronto, Minnesota, Boston. Guess which four teams are in the bottom third in goals for per game?

 

The Blackhawks only play eight games over the next 21 days, which will all but close the window you had to take advantage of their games played difference with a team like Detroit (who play ten in the next 21 days).

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The Panthers play nine of their next 11 games at home, where they have been a much more offensive team. They have averaged only 2.3 goals per game in 20 road games, but are scoring 3.2 goals in 14 home games this year. They have also played a league low 14 home games so far.

 

A few weeks ago, I made two separate deals trading away a Duck for a King when LA had five less games than Anaheim. One was Getzlaf for Kopitar. The other was a two for two deal involving Visnovsky leaving and Doughty joining. This is something I like to look at in every deal I do. Even gaining one extra game in a trade can be enough to swing it in your favour.

 

Friday December 31 to Thursday January 6, 2010
Best Bets
Calgary 4.25 – four games COL, @EDM, NYI, @VAN
Nashville 4.12 – four games @MIN, CBJ, @ANA, @LA
Vancouver 4.10 – four games @DAL, @COL, @SJ, CAL
New Jersey 4.07 – four games ATL, @CAR, MIN, PHI
Phoenix 4.01 – four games @STL, @MIN, CBJ, @COL
Steer Clear
Washington 2.13 – two games @PIT, TB
Ottawa 2.14 – two games @CBJ, TOR
Anaheim 2.63 – three games PHI, CHI, NAS
Los Angeles 2.66 – three games SJ, CHI, NAS
San Jose 2.69 – three games @LA, VAN, BUF
Saturday January 1 to Friday January 7, 2010
Best Bets
NY Rangers 4.46 – four games @TB, @FLA, CAR, @DAL
Calgary 4.18 – four games @EDM, NYI, @VAN, DET
Florida 4.13 – four games NYR, @CAR, ATL, CAR
Chicago 4.13 – four games @ANA, @LA, DAL, OTT
Vancouver 4.12 – four games @COL, @SJ, CAL, EDM
Steer Clear
Philadelphia 1.92 – two games @DET, @NJ
Montreal 2.01 – two games ATL, PIT
Ottawa 2.03 – two games TOR, @CHI
Washington 2.13 – two games @PIT, TB
NY Islanders 2.23 – two games @CAL, @EDM
Sunday January 2 to Saturday January 8, 2010
Best Bets
Florida 5.18 – five games NYR, @CAR, ATL, CAR, @WAS
Vancouver 5.00 – five games @COL, @SJ, CAL, EDM, DET
NY Rangers 4.23 – four games @FLA, CAR, @DAL, @STL
Chicago 4.13 – four games @ANA, @LA, DAL, OTT
Nashville 4.12 – four games CBJ, @ANA, @LA, @SJ
Steer Clear
Ottawa 2.00 – two games @CHI, TB
Washington 2.06 – two games TB, FLA
San Jose 2.55 – three games VAN, BUF, NAS
Anaheim 2.66 – three games CHI, NAS, CBJ
Los Angeles 2.66 – three games CHI, NAS, CBJ
Monday January 3 to Sunday January 9, 2010
Best Bets
Florida 4.29 – four games @CAR, ATL, CAR, @WAS


NY Islanders 4.22 – four games @CAL, @EDM, @COL, @CHI
Tampa Bay 4.14 – four games @WAS, @PIT, @OTT, @NJ
Carolina 4.13 – four games FLA, @NYR, @FLA, ATL
Chicago 4.07 – four games @LA, DAL, OTT, NYI
Steer Clear
Montreal 1.78 – two games PIT, BOS
Philadelphia 1.80 – two games @NJ, NJ
Ottawa 2.00 – two games @CHI, TB
Washington 2.06 – two games TB, FLA
St. Louis 2.09 – two games @TOR, NYR
Tuesday January 4 to Monday January 10, 2010
Best Bets
Detroit 4.22 – four games @EDM, @CAL, @VAN, @COL
Tampa Bay 4.14 – four games @WAS, @PIT, @OTT, @NJ
Minnesota 3.95 – four games @NJ, @BOS, @PIT, DAL
New Jersey 3.94 – four games MIN, PHI, @PHI, TB
Phoenix 3.79 – four games CBJ, @COL, BUF, @STL
Steer Clear
Montreal 1.78 – two games PIT, BOS
Philadelphia 1.80 – two games @NJ, NJ
Calgary 1.83 – two games @VAN, DET
Ottawa 2.00 – two games @CHI, TB
Washington 2.06 – two games TB, FLA
Wednesday January 5 to Tuesday January 11, 2010
Best Bets
NY Islanders 4.13 – four games @EDM, @COL, @CHI, VAN
Nashville 4.12 – four games @ANA, @LA, @SJ, MIN

Florida 4.09 – four games ATL, CAR, @WAS, WAS
Vancouver 4.09 – four games CAL, EDM, DET, @NYI
Toronto 4.05 – four games STL, @ATL, @LA, SJ
Steer Clear
Washington 2.10- two games FLA, @FLA
Philadelphia 2.73 – three games @NJ, NJ, BUF
Anaheim 2.76 – three games NAS, CBJ, SJ
Montreal 2.77 – three games PIT, BOS, @NYR
Colorado 2.78 – three games PHO, NYI, DET
Thursday January 6 to Wednesday January 12, 2010
Best Bets
NY Islanders 4.13 – four games @EDM, @COL, @CHI, VAN
St. Louis 4.05 – four games @TOR, PHO, NYR, @ANA
Toronto 4.05 – four games STL, @ATL, @LA, @SJ
Minnesota 3.95 – four games @BOS, @PIT, DAL, @NAS
Boston 3.93 – four games MIN, @MON, @PIT, OTT
Steer Clear
Calgary 2.04 – two games DET, @CAR
Atlanta 2.24 – two games TOR, @CAR
Philadelphia 2.73 – three games @NJ, NJ, @BUF
Anaheim 2.76 – three games NAS, CBJ, SJ
Buffalo 2.88 – three games @SJ, @PHO, PHI
Friday January 7 to Thursday January 13, 2010
Best Bets
San Jose 4.23 – four games NAS, @ANA, TOR, EDM
Vancouver 4.21 – four games EDM, DET, @NYI, @NYR
Toronto 4.10 – four games @ATL, @LA, @SJ, @PHO
Ottawa 4.09 – four games @CHI, TB, @BOS, @NYI
Carolina 3.93 – four games @FLA, ATL, CAL, @BUF
Steer Clear
Calgary 2.04 – two games DET, @CAR
New Jersey 2.07 – two games @PHI, TB
Atlanta 2.24 – two games TOR, @CAR
Philadelphia 2.69 – three games NJ, @BUF, @BOS
Pittsburgh 2.71 – three games MIN, BOS, @MON
Saturday January 8 to Friday January 14, 2010
Best Bets
San Jose 4.23 – four games NAS, @ANA, TOR, EDM
Washington 4.18 – four games FLA, @FLA, @TB, VAN
Vancouver 4.12 – four games DET, @NYI, @NYR, @WAS
Ottawa 4.01 – four games TB, @BOS, @NYI, CAL
Minnesota 4.00 – four games @PIT, DAL, @NAS, COL
Steer Clear
Anaheim 1.81 – two games SJ, STL
Chicago 2.03 – two games NYI, COL
Atlanta 2.07 – two games @CAR, PHI
Edmonton 2.20 – two games @DAL, @SJ
Dallas 2.21 – two games @MIN, EDM
Sunday January 9 to Saturday January 15, 2010
Best Bets
San Jose 4.23 – four games NAS, @ANA, TOR, EDM
Phoenix 4.11 – four games @STL, @CBJ, TOR, ANA
St. Louis 3.99 – four games PHO, @ANA, @LA, @SJ
Boston 3.92 – four games @PIT, OTT, PHI, PIT
Tampa Bay 3.90 – four games @NJ, WAS, NJ, @CAR
Steer Clear
NY Rangers 2.66 – three games MON, VAN, @MON
Florida 2.66 – three games WAS, NAS, NJ
Pittsburgh 2.66 – three games BOS, @MON, @BOS
Columbus 2.68 – three games PHO, DET, @DET
Anaheim 2.72 – three games SJ, STL, @PHO

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