Roto Keeper Monsters – Goals/SOG

Gates Imbeau

2011-06-03

Mike Green

 

Roto Keeper Monsters encourages poolies who play in rotisserie or H2H based leagues to recognize the importance of equalled category value. To accomplish that task, RKM combines both standard and unusual combo types, brewing unique results. This edition features the Top 21-30  Goals / Shots on Goal combo players and finishes of trilogy. Enjoy!

As you will soon notice, the regular "Potential" tag has been replaced by a new "Career Season" entry. With it comes a slightly different projected result. While numbers are generally rounded out to the nearest five, this option breaks that trend. Rather, when you look at a Career Season number, using a projected 42 goal player as example, expect two things: 1) At least once in his career, he will hit 40 goals and 2) he may or may not go on to hit 45. See legend below for more insight.

"Career Season" Legend – Using the example above, from 40 goals leading up to 45 goals –

One over (41 G) – not likely going to hit 45 goals in a given season
Two over (42 G) – May or may not hit 45 goals in a given season
Two away (43 G) – Decent chance at hitting 45 goals in a given season
One away (44 G) – likely going to hit 45 goals in a given season

21. Patrick Marleau

Even though Marleau fell to 21st among this crowd, he is fully capable of being bumped five or more spots into the Top 20. On draft day, Marleau always seems to slip. Simply skip over that forgettable 19 goal campaign in 2007-08, and you have yourself a quality goal scorer.  Average out his last six seasons and you get 34 goals – 37 without the season mentioned above. Marleau has also picked up the pace in the playoffs by putting in 16 goals in his last 32 post season games – not too shabby!

Consistent : 35 Goals, 275 SOG
Career Season: 46 Goals, 300 SOG

22. John Tavares

Last edition, it was mentioned that the entry league contract players would get their own ranking, and they will, but Tavares played too well not to be ranked alongside the "big boys". Finishing the season one goal shy of 30, that is a number Tavares will become all too familiar with – barring injury, of course.  Following in Stamkos' footsteps, he is poised to become the next 1st overall to hit 50 goals in a given season. It might not be next season, but rest assured, it will happen.

Consistent : 30 G, 250 SOG
Career Season : 52 G, 325 SOG


23. Patrick Kane

Patty Kane is a lock to join the "30G Club" every season and why wouldn't he? Kane is playing in his fifth NHL season this fall, and he has continually gotten more comfortable with puck. One look at his resume will show that his goal per games played average has gone up in every passing campaign. Look for more of the same from the Hawk.

Consistent : 30 G, 250 SOG
Career Season : 42 G, 300 SOG

24. Henrik Zetterberg

From 2005-06 to 2008-09, Henrik averaged 36.5 goals per season but only put up 47 in his last two. Should that be concerning? Not really. Zetterberg has all the tools needed to bounce back into the 30+ range. What makes Zetterberg so special though is the fact that he hit 300 shots on goal, finishing top 5 in all the last four seasons with a massive 358 SOG in 2007-08.  Look for more of the same in 2011-2012, but with goals pushing closer to thirty.

Fun Fact: Zetterberg played 87 straight games where he recorded at least 2 SOG (38 to end the 09/10 season and 49 in 2010/11) – 99 straight games with at least 2 SOG  if you include the 09/10 playoffs.

Consistent : 25 G, 300 G
Career Season : 42 G, 375 G


25. Mike Green

Yes, Mike Green is ranked 25th, and that is being nice! Until Green shows us another 25-plus  goal campaign or hits 250 shots on goal in a given season, he will likely stay around the same rank. Truth is, it is still an impressive feat to be included in a top 25 G/SOG as a defenseman – We have just been conditioned to expect more out of Green. For the record, the difference in rank between the Caps blue liner and Byfuglien (19th) is that not only can Dustin keep up in goals, he is also a threat to out-shoot Green by 100 shots each season. Game, set & match.

Consistent : 20 G, 200 SOG
Career Season : 32 G, 260 SOG

26. Martin St. Louis

Regular season or post season, Marty continually delivers the goods. He is fantasy gold in one year leagues and you should treat him as much. But wait, isn't this a keeper league list? Yes. Even then, at age 35, St. Louis still has at least three solid years left in the tank.  Average out his goal totals for the last eight seasons (32.5) and it is easy to expect another 30 goal campaign in 2011-2012 – Don't rule out another 40+ goal season either.

Consistent : 30 G, 250 SOG
Career Season : 43 G, 275 SOG

27. Thomas Vanek

Since entering the league six years ago Vanek has averaged 34 goals and 218 shots on goal per season.  While owners would like to see Thomas push 40 goals on a more regular basis, play it safe and expect 30. Who knows, playing a full season with the emerging talent of Buffalo's young core and a dedicated owner looking to win, might just be what the doctor ordered for Vanek. Either way, draft him for the numbers below and if he excels, bonus.

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Consistent : 30 G, 220 SOG

Career Season : 46 G, 275 SOG

28. Anze Kopitar

Kopitar, just nudged out Toews for this spot. Why? 1) While both are neck to neck in goals per season, count on Anze to outshoot Jonathan every season and 2) with the right teammate, Kopitar is arguably favoured to hit higher totals. Jeff Angus said it best : "It is amazing what Kopitar has done in his NHL career without a legitimate top line talent to play with. If/when the Kings find him a legitimate top line winger to play with, expect his production to skyrocket."

Consistent : 30 G, 230 SOG
Career Season : 43 G, 300 SOG

29. Jonathan Toews

Call him what you want, but Jonathan Toews keeps showing us poolies his fantasy worth as he   improves his overall game no matter the setting. Often times, Toews gets drafted before his time because he has a lot of appealing traits that leave his fantasy owners feeling proud and confident. No matter the case, this young hawk is quickly becoming a quality "what you see is what you get" type player, putting up decent all around numbers every week for your Roto/H2H team.

Consistent : 30 G, 220 SOG
Potential : 42 G, 275 SOG


30. Vincent Lecavalier

Vinny may never record another 50 goal campaign again, as mid-twenties seems to the norm lately. While his goals have declined, he has not lost the touch completely and if your league counts shots on goal, Lecavalier can still be useful. He has averaged out 293 SOG in the last six seasons (310 if you skip 2010-2011). Go into next season expecting 25 goals and 275 SOG, and you will be satisfied.

Consistent : 25G, 275 SOG
Career Season : 41G, 325 SOG

Honorable Mentions :

Johan Franzen

He may not score for a few games, but when you least expect it, BAM – 5 goals! Instantly giving all fantasy owners an edge in their head-to-head match ups. If only Franzen could translate his record breaking playoff resume to the regular season…

Consistent  – 72 or less games : 25 G, 225 SOG
Consistent  – 73 or more games : 30 G, 250 SOG
Career Season : 42 G, 300 SOG

Mike Richards

Consider 2010-2011 a down year in terms of goals for Richards having only put in 23. In the previous three seasons, he has averaged out 30 goals per and that will be the norm for Richards, give or take a couple. It will be interesting to see what changes the Flyers have in store for this offseason because a big move ala Carter will definitely affect Mike's numbers come October.

Consistent : 25 G, 210 SOG
Career Season : 37 G, 275 SOG

If this is your first picnic with the series and you want to see more, refer to the RKM : Top 11-20 G/SOG Edition.

The Goals / Shots on Goal combo of Roto Keeper Monsters will feature one last edition before moving capping off the series. The final edition will feature a mix of 1) Young Guns (and ELC players), such as Claude Giroux & Matt Duchene as well as 2) Depth/Underrated players such as Matt Moulson & Patric Hornqvist. Stay tuned.

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Starting Goalies

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