Confession time guys. I'm still way into the 90's. Seinfeld re-runs still crack me up, my favourite bands are mostly grunge, and my fashion sense is still awkwardly horrible (probably because my clothes from grade six still fit me). Beyond my cell phone (which I abhor) and high speed internet I really haven't moved on from that decade. I know this because over a decade later I still don't find it the least bit weird that I still have an Austin Powers "Oh Behave!" poster hanging above my bed. The irony has never ceased to crack me up, just like I'll never get over the awe I feel for players who played back then. I don't know if it is nostalgia or if I am a complete loser, my friends won't tell me.
The good news (outside of having saved a crap load of money on clothes) is that it could be worse. I mean, at least some of those things I love still exist. Seinfeld is now on more than ever, Pearl Jam is still touring and a couple of my all-time favourites, Teemu Selanne and Jaromir Jagr, are taking one last kick at the can. To be honest, the latter one is the one that interests me most because I feel like time is running out. This has repercussions not only for you fellow nostalgics but for all of us fantasy owners out there. That's why we are going old school with this week's Cage Match. It's Jagr vs. Selanne, time to rock out like it's 1995.
One of the most common biases in fantasy sports is the recency bias. This is the one where people overvalue what players have done for them lately. This is the very first thing that we have to tackle when considering any Cage Match and certainly this one in particular. Why? Well because Selanne has done a whole crap load for us lately and what has Jagr done?
Play in the KHL?
Uh… thanks, Jagr.
I think to really consider this week's Cage Match we need to wipe the slate clean or at least provide a levelling perspective.
The first thing I see is that Selanne overachieved last season. It is not that he went above and beyond his talents but rather that he simply played more games than one would expect of him. Selanne is still one of the better players in the game, particularly on the power play, but at the ripe old age of 41 his body is breaking down and has failed him the last several seasons. Over the last four years Selanne has averaged 54.5 games played and considering he had off-season knee surgery that had him contemplating retirement I do not consider him a safe bet to repeat the 73 games pla