Saturday’s Picks – November 19, 2011

Dobber Sports

2011-11-18

 

Fehr

 

A tough week last week for Anthony as he'll have some wounds to lick after only picking a single winner, however I don't think there was anyone who wasn't surprised with the Sens, Coyotes, Devils, Hurricanes, and Blues all winning last week.  Two weeks ago Thunder and I tied again in our proline dealings with 3-3 splits, although picking 5 out of 6 winners straight up hopefully helps build confidence for this week.  Although I'm only 7-11 with my proline picks this year, my straight up winners looking much better at 11-7.  Thunder has been as steady as can be at 9-9, but we all know .500 isn't going to get you into the playoffs so it's time for her to step up her game. Anyways, let's see if we can get some winners for you this week:

 

Flyers @ Jets

By the Numbers – Frozen Pool

 

It's amazing that the Flyers are able to generate 3.72 goals for per game when they don't start the play with the puck on their stick (third worst face-off percentage in the league).  The last time these two teams met it was a wild 9-8 affair that the Jets were able to pull out in Philadelphia.  Since calling himself out, Ilya Bryzgalov has gone 5-0-1 allowing 10 goals in that span and stopping 169 of 179 shots that he's faced.  On the other hand the Jets have put together two terrific home games in knocking off divisional opponents Tampa Bay and Washington by a combined score of 9-3. Despite a 3.92 career GAA against the Flyers, Pavelec is 3-1 in 5 career starts. The Flyers are 9-0 when leading after the first period.

 

Pick: V (Flyers win)

Thunder's Pick: H

 

Capitals @ Maple Leafs

By the Numbers – Frozen Pool

 

The Capitals have won four of their last five against the Maple Leafs, but most importantly Ovechkin has a higher goal per game average against the Leafs than any other team in the league with 23 markers in 23 games. This may be just what the doctor ordered to get Ovechkin rolling again. The Leafs have lost five of their last six overall and after winning all their Saturday matchups in October (4-0), they are 0-2 in November being outscored 12-2. The Leafs are 29th on the penalty kill this season, and 27th at home. The Capitals have a .778 win percentage when they allow the first goal, and a league worst .375 win percentage when they score first.  Seems like a simple game plan heading into the ACC.

 

Pick: V (Capitals win)

Thunder's Pick: H

 

Coyotes @ Sabres

By the Numbers – Frozen Pool

 

The Sabres have won their last five meetings against the Coyotes outscoring them 18-6. The over/under for their match-ups has flip flopped for their last seven head to head meetings, so based on that trend, this game should be over. If Derek Morris spent last time trash talking Bryzgalov before Thursday's game and actually covered his man Matt Read going to the front of the net on Thursday night in the final minute of the game the Coyotes would have picked up a point in their fifth straight game and tenth out of their last eleven. The Sabres are 3-1 this season on the tail end of back to back nights, with their only defeat coming last week against the Bruins after they finished the game with a concussed Ryan Miller.

 

Pick: T (Sabres win in the shootout)

Thunder's Pick: V

📢 advertisement:

 

Blue Jackets @ Predators

By the Numbers – Frozen Pool

 

Columbus and Anaheim are the only teams in the NHL who have been unable to win a game this season after surrendering the opening goal.  The Jackets haven't won on the road since last March and run into a hot Pekka Rinne.  Rinne is 7-0-2 in his last nine starts and has only surrendered nine goals in six starts in November.  Columbus is 28th in the league with a 0.71 goals for to goal against ratio at even strength, combined with a 12.5 % power play and a 75% penalty and its no wonder the Jackets have only won three games this season.  All their games have been won by rookie Ryan Johansen to boot. Throw in the recent rumblings of Jeff Carter's dissatisfaction in Columbus and I'm not sure how Arniel makes it into December.  At least Yakupov will turn out better than Filatov did. Eight of the Predators ten wins this year have been by two or more goals.

 

Pick: H+ (Predators win by 2 or more)

Thunder's Pick: H

 

Blues @ Wild

By the Numbers – Frozen Pool

 

Just when you thought watching a Minnesota Wild game couldn't get any worse.  Enter Ken Hitchcock with a talented goalie in Jaroslav Halak and I'm not sure why they wouldn't just black this game out and save us all.  Both teams are superb in even strength this year with the NHL's 2nd and 3rd best GF:GA ratios of 1.55 and 1.38 for St. Louis and Minnesota respectively.  Minnesota has the best defense in the league, and St. Louis is third.  Minnesota has won five of the last six meetings between these two; however the Blues are undefeated this season when leading after the first or second period, or when being out shot by their opponent.  Minnesota won 2-1 two weeks ago against the Blues at home.

 

Pick: H (Wild win)

Thunder's Pick: V

 

Sharks @ Stars

By the Numbers – Frozen Pool

 

After starting the season 11-3 the Stars have hit a bump in the road after coming off a high in defeating the Washington Capitals 5-2 in D.C. a week and a half ago.  Now with three straight losses being outscored 14-3 it will be interesting how the Stars respond.  Perhaps a date with the Avs on Friday will help right the ship before hosting the San Jose Sharks Saturday night. The Stars are 0-3 in the tail end of back to back games this season and lost three of the last four against their division rivals last season.  These match-ups have rarely been goaltending duels as seven of the last ten games have gone over with an average of 6.6 goals scored over that span.  The Sharks haven't lost a game this year while scoring first, unfortunately it has only happened a league low five times this season. In his career Lethonen's weakest month of the season is November and has been lit up against the Sharks for a 3.69 GAA.

 

Pick: V (Sharks win)

Thunder's Pick: V

 

Leave A Comment

UPCOMING GAMES

Apr 14 - 19:04 DET vs DAL
Apr 14 - 19:04 FLA vs NYR
Apr 14 - 19:04 MTL vs CHI
Apr 14 - 20:04 NSH vs UTA
Apr 14 - 22:04 EDM vs L.A
Apr 14 - 22:04 VAN vs S.J

Starting Goalies

Top Skater Views

  Players Team
MAX DOMI TOR
TYSON FOERSTER PHI
ALEXANDER NIKISHIN CAR
ADAM FANTILLI CBJ
QUINTON BYFIELD L.A

Top Goalie Profile Views

  Players Team
ILYA SOROKIN NYI
JET GREAVES CBJ
JACOB MARKSTROM N.J
JOSEPH WOLL TOR
LOGAN THOMPSON WSH

LINE COMBOS

  Frequency STL Players
15.8 OSKAR SUNDQVIST MATHIEU JOSEPH ZACK BOLDUC
15.6 JIMMY SNUGGERUD BRAYDEN SCHENN JAKE NEIGHBOURS
14.2 NATHAN WALKER ALEXEY TOROPCHENKO RADEK FAKSA

DobberHockey Podcasts

Fantasy Hockey Life: X Gamers and Silly Season

Jesse and Victor talk about up and coming prospects Michael Hage, Berkly Catton, and Nick Lardis. We feature polls from NHL Rank King Mason Black.In the second half Jesse asks if hockey has become as crazy as basketball for late season volatility. Lastly we talk about fantasy playoff heroes Kiefer Sherwood, Dylan Holloway, and Drake […]

Keeping Karlsson: Gr8 V16es

Elan and Brian celebrate two legends with massive accomplishments today: Alex Ovechkin, the NHL’s new goal scoring record holder, and Ian F, the newly crowned KKUPFL Ultimate Champion and undisputed best fantasy hockey manager in the world. You decide which one matters more.

Fantasy Hockey Life: Tidy Commissioner Roundtable

Our TIDY commish team joins the show for a roundtable to look back on a thrilling season. Have a listen! Our show is part of the Dobber Podcast Network and sponsored by Fantrax.com. Email fantasyhockeylife@gmail.com and ask to join our free discord. Join our Patreon at Patreon.com/fantasyhockeylife for rankings, bonus podcasts, in-depth prospect reports with […]

FIND US ON FACEBOOK

📢 advertisement: