Saturday’s Picks – November 19, 2011

Dobber Sports

2011-11-18

 

Fehr

 

A tough week last week for Anthony as he'll have some wounds to lick after only picking a single winner, however I don't think there was anyone who wasn't surprised with the Sens, Coyotes, Devils, Hurricanes, and Blues all winning last week.  Two weeks ago Thunder and I tied again in our proline dealings with 3-3 splits, although picking 5 out of 6 winners straight up hopefully helps build confidence for this week.  Although I'm only 7-11 with my proline picks this year, my straight up winners looking much better at 11-7.  Thunder has been as steady as can be at 9-9, but we all know .500 isn't going to get you into the playoffs so it's time for her to step up her game. Anyways, let's see if we can get some winners for you this week:

 

Flyers @ Jets

By the Numbers – Frozen Pool

 

It's amazing that the Flyers are able to generate 3.72 goals for per game when they don't start the play with the puck on their stick (third worst face-off percentage in the league).  The last time these two teams met it was a wild 9-8 affair that the Jets were able to pull out in Philadelphia.  Since calling himself out, Ilya Bryzgalov has gone 5-0-1 allowing 10 goals in that span and stopping 169 of 179 shots that he's faced.  On the other hand the Jets have put together two terrific home games in knocking off divisional opponents Tampa Bay and Washington by a combined score of 9-3. Despite a 3.92 career GAA against the Flyers, Pavelec is 3-1 in 5 career starts. The Flyers are 9-0 when leading after the first period.

 

Pick: V (Flyers win)

Thunder's Pick: H

 

Capitals @ Maple Leafs

By the Numbers – Frozen Pool

 

The Capitals have won four of their last five against the Maple Leafs, but most importantly Ovechkin has a higher goal per game average against the Leafs than any other team in the league with 23 markers in 23 games. This may be just what the doctor ordered to get Ovechkin rolling again. The Leafs have lost five of their last six overall and after winning all their Saturday matchups in October (4-0), they are 0-2 in November being outscored 12-2. The Leafs are 29th on the penalty kill this season, and 27th at home. The Capitals have a .778 win percentage when they allow the first goal, and a league worst .375 win percentage when they score first.  Seems like a simple game plan heading into the ACC.

 

Pick: V (Capitals win)

Thunder's Pick: H

 

Coyotes @ Sabres

By the Numbers – Frozen Pool

 

The Sabres have won their last five meetings against the Coyotes outscoring them 18-6. The over/under for their match-ups has flip flopped for their last seven head to head meetings, so based on that trend, this game should be over. If Derek Morris s