December 13, 2011

Dobber Sports

2011-12-13

 

Great

piece from Chesnokov , gives hope that he’ll at least be back to try again one more time next year.


Jason Arbuthnot did not have time to put together a Frozen Pool Forensics column this week, but he whipped up some quick thoughts which I will put here in blue in case you’re starved for fantasy content!


 

Sam Gagner

–  "Hey Taylor, maybe it's best if you just relaxed and took it easy over Christmas. Y'know, hang out with the family, play some xbox… I wouldn't want you to get hurt by coming back too soon."

Taylor Hall

– "Thanks Sam but I really want to get back there. Besides, my shoulder feels great and I have to get back to harvesting dozens of points with

Eberle

and The Nuge!"

Sam Gagner

– "Maybe you didn't hear me: I wouldn't want you to get hurt."


Cam Fowler

– with

Foster

gone, it's a good sign that

Visnovsky

is close to returning. Let's pray he starts piling on the points because it's quite evident that

Visnovsky

is vital to the well being of the Ducks PP Machine.


Jamie McBain

– is flourishing. Why does this guy have a habit of showing you brilliance just when you're about to write him off for the 10 th time. He and his partner

Justin Faulk

are now leading the Canes PP unit.


Slava Voynov

– pre-

Terry

Murray

firing, he was slated to play on the first power play unit with

Doughty

. Hopefully this hasn't changed. I like him, dare I say bromance.


Mark Flood

– has been lining up with Big Buff for first line power play duties as well. He's a very interesting (and cheap!) player. 500 bones and he's yours!


Devils PP QB Revolving Door – Ok who will it be tonight?

Fayne

?

Taormina

or

Larsson

?


Michael Del Zotto

– est en feu! Seven points in seven games and is eating up power play time like there's no tomorrow (75%). Now if only he can keep this up after the shattered confidence of last year.


Pierre-Marc Bouchard

– Again, seven in seven and is also among the leaders in team power play time on ice (70%). During this stretch, he has three power play points. He's playing with

Cullen

and

Wellman

the past few games but his value is definitely coming on the power play.


Adam Henrique

– Is there any slowing down this guy? Like seriously, he's been a machine between

Kovalchuk

and

Parise

. I can't figure out who's benefiting from who? Regardless, he has six points in the past four games (a three pointer last night) with marginal power play ice time (36.7%). He's #3 this week in the Frozen Pool Rotorater and seems to be just getting started!


Tomas Kaberle

– Left for dead by poolies, Tomas has been given a breath of life in Montreal. While his suspect defence will feel right at home with

Subban

, hopefully he can maintain his 2 point landing luck heading into the All star break.  He has six points in his last three games so far.  We'll see how things settle down after the trade novelty wears off.


Jiri Hudler

– Look I love Detroit, not as much as my Sabres but this guy drives me bat guano crazy. He's on fire right now with six points in his last three but as soon as I mention it, he'll bottom out and crush the million hearts of my twitter followers. Psst @frozenpool.


Artem Anisimov

– The big Russian is getting quite the reputation for being streaky and this is one of those times. With seven points in his last six he's really clicking with

Gaborik

and

Stepan

.


Derek Stepan

– See above, minus the Russian.


Martin Erat

– Remember five years ago when

Erat

was supposed to take it to the next level? Yeah, me neither. Despite battling injuries and earning 4.5 million for give-or-take 50 points a year,

Erat

has carved out a decent scoring stretch of six points in his last 5 games.  In years past, he used to lead the power play but now hovers in mediocrity with 34.9% Team PP time.


Lee

"Power Play"

Stempniak

– Almost all of his four points this week have been on the power play.  He's rolling with Brendan "Mario"

Morrison

and

Glencross

, so ride him while he's hot.  You can pretty much roll that whole line up while you're at it.

 

 

Matt Cullen

may miss tonight’s contest with an illness. He’s having a pretty good year, but he often has strong starts that slow down by the New Year.

 

Claude Giroux

is out “indefinitely” with a concussion. Ouch! Got him in one keeper league, and one basic one-year pool. And as with anyone who owns

Giroux

, this really hurts the chances.

Jagr

owners should also be troubled here. This helps

Couturier

. So does this make

Briere

,

Hartnell

and

Read

the first line? I think so.

 

The Winnipeg Jets have claimed Antti Mietinen off of waivers. This hurts two players the most, in my opinion. First,

Kyle Wellwood

becomes a third liner again. He’ll still have his spurts, but I don’t see the 55 points that he may have reached otherwise. Think 40 now, if healthy. This will also hurt

Eric Fehr

‘s playing time, assuming he ever gets out of the medical ward.

 

Some thoughts from below/comments – I own

Carlson

in one league,

Green

in one league. I have no bias here, other than my disdain for Band-Aid Boys.

Carlson

I saw play/followed in junior and at the time felt he was the best player there – including in a game that had

Tavares

,

Kadri

and

Hall

in it. Also to clarify

Cheechoo

and

Henrique

– I’m not comparing skill sets nor am I saying that

Henrique

will get a knee injury and become a bust. I’m saying that his ceiling is in the high 60s but if he clicks with stars that could boost by 25% or even more. And the best/classic example that I often refer to is

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Cheechoo

. That’s all, don’t read into it any deeper than the surface please ;)

 

Another great comment below – a list of Team Canada WJC cuts from Brendan

Ross

:

Matt Dumba (D, Red Deer Rebels, 2012 Draft)

Mark McNail (F,

Prince

Albert Raiders, Chicago Blackhawks)

Jerome Gauthier-Leduc

(D, Rimouski, Buffalo Sabres)

Brendan Kichton (D, Spokane Chiefs, New

York

Islanders)

Michael Ferland (F, Brandon Wheat Kings, Calgary Flames)
Zach

Phillips

(F, Saint John Sea Dog, Minnesota Wild)

Max Reinhart

(F, Kootenay, Calgary Flames)

 

Adam Henrique

with his first three-point game. The situation reminds of that of

Jonathan Cheechoo

so many years ago. A potential 65-point prospect becomes so much more because he clicks with talented linemates. So his potential becomes higher. Granted, he has more points than either of his superstar linemates (I don't need to tell you who, do I?), but that's not sustainable. Regardless of the reason,

Henrique

is the second highest rookie scorer now.

 

Marc-Andre Bergeron

has 22 points on the season, which is fantastic. But he has just seven points in his last 17 games. I don't trust this guy. I like his upside – you recall me tooting his horn back when he was with the Oilers and Islanders – but I no longer trust him. He did play 26 minutes last night which is extremely positive, but I need to see him pick things back up again before I get swayed.

 

Matt Taormina

was recalled by the Devils and in his second game last night picked up an assist. It was on the power play. Still without a shot on goal yet.

 

After losing four games in a row,

Dwayne Roloson

got the hook last night after giving up three goals on just 12 shots. He avoided the loss because his team scored four times. Strategy – quietly pick up

Dustin Tokarski

and plunk him on your bench. If the Lightning don't fire the coach, which I don't see, and they don't trade for a goalie, which could happen – then perhaps they'll give

Tokarski

a look.  He's 10-6-0, 2.43 GAA and 0.903 SP in the AHL. Not fabulous numbers, but he's their next best option.

 

Ideally they would have kept

Cedrick Desjardins

, who in my books is one of the best goalies not in the NHL. He's back from injury and is 5-4-1, 1.70 and 0.946 in the AHL. In Colorado's system. Man, he would be gold right now if TB kept him.

 

The buy-low window on

Zach Parise

has come and gone. Sorry for your luck – learn to trust in reliable, proven stars.

Parise

missed a season (pretty much) and obviously needed some time. In the last eight games he has 11 points.

 

Since that ridiculous 16:46 ice time that

Alex Ovechkin

had in his first game under Dale

Hunter

, he has only dipped under 19 minutes once. The result has been promising – 15 shots in his last two games.

 

If

Crosby

is still on the shelf on January 1, then he'll fall off of his perch as the No.1 keeper league player to own. That's a position that he has held for six years, other than three or four months with

Ovechkin

had it (and I think

Malkin

had it one month, too).

 

Sounds like

Mike Green

is still quite a ways away.

John Carlson

is the new

Mike Green

now. Under

Hunter

, I wouldn't be shocked if he was a 70-plus guy now.

 

With

Mike Weber

set to return for the Sabres, they could be looking to scratch M-A

Gragnani

. Just to give you a heads up.

 

Claude Giroux

will not make the trip for the Flyers (head injury) and will miss at least two games.

Sean Couturier

will get to sub in for him on the top line.

 

Cal Clutterbuck

is ready to return to action and he will replace

Jeff Taffe

on the first line with

Heatley

and

Koivu

.

Taffe

was sent back to the minors.

Clutterbuck

played with

John Tavares

in Oshawa here, and I thought he made a great complimentary player at the time. So if there's chemistry here, then he could produce 25% more points than you would normally expect from him.

 

Richard Bachman

gets the start tonight against the Rangers. Lots of info on

Bachman

over at Goalie Post, and as always you can sign up (just 2.99 for a month – or get a week trial FREE) and get up to the second starting goalie updates and analysis.

 

Jeff Skinner

will probably not play tonight against the Leafs.

Drayson Bowman

has been recalled.

 

Here's more on the

to the KHL thing . It sounds a little more promising that he will be back, but I'm still leaning towards him not. I wrote a big spiel on his late yesterday, you can click "next" at the bottom to read yesterday's ramblings. If he does return next year, I get the feeling that it will be more of the same. Shows nothing, then finally shows something… then gets hurt and ruins any momentum.

 

Kurtis Foster

to the Devils is the only fantasy relevant piece of yesterday's trade. I wish I could say that he'll flourish in New Jersey, but I'm not so sure. The team is going with four forwards on the PP now so

Foster

would have to make sure that he's the fifth guy. But any new opportunity is a good thing, when you're scratched as much as

Foster

was. The acquisition may, however, hurt

Taormina

's chances of continuing to make his mark.

 

I'm shocked by this news, but I suppose I shouldn't be given his minus-11. Jonathan

Blum

has been sent down to the AHL. I have to think that this move is for two or three weeks while he gets his confidence back, unless

Roman Josi

kicks ass and steals his spot.

 

Paul Stastny

is back in the lineup for the Avalanche. Beatwriter Adrian Dater also opines that Joe Sacco will not be fired any time soon and is given a lot of leeway due to the youthful roster.

 

Look at

Urbom

knock

Downie

all over the place before

Downie

finally has enough and drops the gloves:

 

 

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UPCOMING GAMES

Jan 18 - 12:01 N.J vs PHI
Jan 18 - 15:01 OTT vs BOS
Jan 18 - 16:01 COL vs DAL
Jan 18 - 18:01 FLA vs ANA
Jan 18 - 19:01 T.B vs DET
Jan 18 - 19:01 NYR vs CBJ
Jan 18 - 19:01 MTL vs TOR
Jan 18 - 19:01 WSH vs PIT
Jan 18 - 19:01 WPG vs CGY
Jan 18 - 19:01 NYI vs S.J
Jan 18 - 20:01 NSH vs MIN
Jan 18 - 20:01 CHI vs VGK
Jan 18 - 21:01 UTA vs STL
Jan 18 - 22:01 VAN vs EDM
Jan 18 - 22:01 SEA vs L.A

Starting Goalies

Top Skater Views

  Players Team
JOHN KLINGBERG
PAVEL DOROFEYEV VGK
LANE HUTSON MTL
KEVIN FIALA L.A
ADAM FANTILLI CBJ

Top Goalie Profile Views

  Players Team
JAKUB DOBES MTL
PYOTR KOCHETKOV CAR
FREDERIK ANDERSEN CAR
LEEVI MERILAINEN OTT
ALEX NEDELJKOVIC PIT

LINE COMBOS

  Frequency CAR Players
21.1 JORDAN STAAL JORDAN MARTINOOK SETH JARVIS
20.3 ANDREI SVECHNIKOV JACKSON BLAKE SEBASTIAN AHO
14.8 JACK ROSLOVIC MARTIN NECAS JACK DRURY

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